Sort by

Event Status

Sort by

Event Status

Claude 5 predictions & odds

Tech·AI

Will Anthropic or OpenAI IPO first?

$330K Vol.

$45.4K Liq.

Ends in over 1 year

95%

Anthropic

$330K Vol.

$45.4K Liq.

Ends in over 1 year

Tech·AI

Will Claude go down on __ days in September?

$934 Vol.

$2.4K Liq.

Ends in 29 days

38%

5-7

$934 Vol.

$2.4K Liq.

Ends in 29 days

Tech·AI

Anthropic IPO Closing Market Cap (Lower Brackets)

$443K Vol.

$148K Liq.

Ends in over 1 year

96%

600B+

$443K Vol.

$148K Liq.

Ends in over 1 year

Tech·AI

Anthropic IPO closing market cap above ___ ?

$3.1K Vol.

$26.0K Liq.

Ends in over 1 year

95%

$1.5T

$3.1K Vol.

$26.0K Liq.

Ends in over 1 year

Tech·AI

Next Claude Haiku released by...?

$9.0K Vol.

$2.4K Liq.

Ends in 4 months

73%

December 31

$9.0K Vol.

$2.4K Liq.

Ends in 4 months

Tech·AI

Anthropic or OpenAI: higher IPO closing market cap?

$9 Vol.

$2.0K Liq.

Ends in over 2 years

72%

Anthropic

$9 Vol.

$2.0K Liq.

Ends in over 2 years

Tech·AI

Anthropic acquired before 2027?

$29.7K Vol.

$1.5K Liq.

Ends in 4 months

$29.7K Vol.

$1.5K Liq.

Ends in 4 months

Tech·AI

Next Claude Opus released by...?

$66.3K Vol.

$22.3K Liq.

Ends in 4 months

99%

December 31

$66.3K Vol.

$22.3K Liq.

Ends in 4 months

Tech·AI

Anthropic IPO Closing Market Cap

$555K Vol.

$173K Liq.

Ends in over 1 year

26%

$1.75–$2.0T

$555K Vol.

$173K Liq.

Ends in over 1 year

Tech·AI

Anthropic IPO Closing Market Cap (Middle Brackets)

$386K Vol.

$106K Liq.

Ends in over 1 year

83%

1.8T+

$386K Vol.

$106K Liq.

Ends in over 1 year

Tech·AI

Next Claude Sonnet released by...?

$10.4K Vol.

$13.3K Liq.

Ends in 4 months

92%

December 31

$10.4K Vol.

$13.3K Liq.

Ends in 4 months

Tech·AI

Best AI model on September 7?

$37.7K Vol.

$7.8K Liq.

Ends in 6 days

52%

claude-opus-5-max

$37.7K Vol.

$7.8K Liq.

Ends in 6 days

Tech·AI

Next Claude Opus Model: Text Arena Debut?

$17.7K Vol.

$5.2K Liq.

Ends in 4 months

62%

1500+

$17.7K Vol.

$5.2K Liq.

Ends in 4 months

Tech·AI

Next Mythos-Class Model: Text Arena Debut?

$28.6K Vol.

$6.0K Liq.

Ends in 4 months

96%

1470+

$28.6K Vol.

$6.0K Liq.

Ends in 4 months

Tech·AI

Next Mythos-Class Model: Humanity's Last Exam Debut?

$4.9K Vol.

$7.5K Liq.

Ends in 4 months

94%

45%+

$4.9K Vol.

$7.5K Liq.

Ends in 4 months

Tech·AI

Next Claude Opus Model: Humanity’s Last Exam Debut?

$4.8K Vol.

$2.0K Liq.

Ends in 4 months

90%

45%+

$4.8K Vol.

$2.0K Liq.

Ends in 4 months

Sports·Games

Paris Saint-Germain FC vs. AS Monaco FC - Player Props

$0 Vol.

$168 Liq.

Ends in 2 days

50%

Yes

$0 Vol.

$168 Liq.

Ends in 2 days

Sports·Games

M25 Casablanca: Dorian Tremblay vs Pierre Delage

$398 Vol.

$1.9K Liq.

Ends in 7 days

Dorian Tremblay

$398 Vol.

$1.9K Liq.

Ends in 7 days

Tech·AI

Will the next Mythos-Class model debut as #1? (Text Arena)

$85 Vol.

$216 Liq.

Ends in 10 months

50%

$85 Vol.

$216 Liq.

Ends in 10 months

Tech·AI

Highest Claude score on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026?

$82.5K Vol.

$5.0K Liq.

Ends in 4 months

94%

55%+

$82.5K Vol.

$5.0K Liq.

Ends in 4 months

Sort by

Event Status

Frequently Asked Questions

Polymarket is the world’s largest prediction market, where you can stay informed and profit from your knowledge by trading on things related to breaking news, politics, sports, elections, crypto, finance, tech, culture, including topics like Claude 5.

Polymarket currently hosts 500 active markets for Claude 5 that lets you track or trade on predictions like “Will Anthropic or OpenAI IPO first?”. Whether you are tracking widely debated events or niche outcomes, the platform aggregates real-time odds based on over $2.0M in trading volume, providing a comprehensive view of fan and investor sentiment.

Each polymarket is a yes/no question, like “Anthropic acquired before 2027?”. You buy shares in “yes” or “no” outcomes. Prices reflect crowd-sourced odds and probabilities. For example, if yes is at 30 cents, that’s a 30% chance. Markets resolve based on official results. For multi-outcome events, like “Anthropic IPO Closing Market Cap,” you simply trade on the specific outcome you think will win.

As of today, the most active market is “Anthropic IPO Closing Market Cap,” where the crowd is currently assigning a 26% chance to $1.75–$2.0T. These odds update in real-time as new information emerges and users trade, offering a dynamic snapshot of what the market believes will happen compared to traditional bookmaker odds.

It cuts through the noise. Unlike polls or punditry, Polymarket shows you real-time odds on Claude 5 predictions backed by financial conviction that are often faster and more accurate than experts or surveys. You get an unbiased view of what thousands of traders think will actually happen, often more accurate than polls. Plus, you can trade shares and potentially profit if your predictions are spot on.

Polymarket is accurate more than 94% of the time an entire month before an outcome is definitively known. Prediction markets aggregate wisdom from informed users, often outperforming experts. For more context, view these stats on Polymarket’s accuracy.

Yes. You can treat this page as a live data source and watch how the odds for Claude 5 shift in real-time. It’s a free way to track market sentiment on major outcomes like “Anthropic IPO Closing Market Cap” without ever needing to place a trade.

Sign up and fund your account with crypto, credit/debit card, or bank transfer. Browse the Claude 5 prediction markets, and when you’re ready you can buy shares in your picks.

Market resolution relies on trusted or official data sources. For complete clarity, you can check the “Rules” section on any individual market page like “Will Anthropic or OpenAI IPO first?,” to see the exact criteria and sources used to determine the winner.

Claude 5 Predictions & Real-Time Odds | Polymarket

Frequently Asked Questions

Sign up and fund your account with crypto, credit/debit card, or bank transfer. Browse the Claude 5 prediction markets, and when you’re ready you can buy shares in your picks.

Claude 5 predictions & odds

Tech·AI

Will Anthropic or OpenAI IPO first?

$330K Vol.

$45.4K Liq.

Ends in over 1 year

95%

Anthropic

$330K Vol.

$45.4K Liq.

Ends in over 1 year

Tech·AI

Will Claude go down on __ days in September?

$934 Vol.

$2.4K Liq.

Ends in 29 days

38%

5-7

$934 Vol.

$2.4K Liq.

Ends in 29 days

Tech·AI

Anthropic IPO Closing Market Cap (Lower Brackets)

$443K Vol.

$148K Liq.

Ends in over 1 year

96%

600B+

$443K Vol.

$148K Liq.

Ends in over 1 year

Tech·AI

Anthropic IPO closing market cap above ___ ?

$3.1K Vol.

$26.0K Liq.

Ends in over 1 year

95%

$1.5T

$3.1K Vol.

$26.0K Liq.

Ends in over 1 year

Tech·AI

Next Claude Haiku released by...?

$9.0K Vol.

$2.4K Liq.

Ends in 4 months

73%

December 31

$9.0K Vol.

$2.4K Liq.

Ends in 4 months

Tech·AI

Anthropic or OpenAI: higher IPO closing market cap?

$9 Vol.

$2.0K Liq.

Ends in over 2 years

72%

Anthropic

$9 Vol.

$2.0K Liq.

Ends in over 2 years

Tech·AI

Anthropic acquired before 2027?

$29.7K Vol.

$1.5K Liq.

Ends in 4 months

$29.7K Vol.

$1.5K Liq.

Ends in 4 months

Tech·AI

Next Claude Opus released by...?

$66.3K Vol.

$22.3K Liq.

Ends in 4 months

99%

December 31

$66.3K Vol.

$22.3K Liq.

Ends in 4 months

Tech·AI

Anthropic IPO Closing Market Cap

$555K Vol.

$173K Liq.

Ends in over 1 year

26%

$1.75–$2.0T

$555K Vol.

$173K Liq.

Ends in over 1 year

Tech·AI

Anthropic IPO Closing Market Cap (Middle Brackets)

$386K Vol.

$106K Liq.

Ends in over 1 year

83%

1.8T+

$386K Vol.

$106K Liq.

Ends in over 1 year

Tech·AI

Next Claude Sonnet released by...?

$10.4K Vol.

$13.3K Liq.

Ends in 4 months

92%

December 31

$10.4K Vol.

$13.3K Liq.

Ends in 4 months

Tech·AI

Best AI model on September 7?

$37.7K Vol.

$7.8K Liq.

Ends in 6 days

52%

claude-opus-5-max

$37.7K Vol.

$7.8K Liq.

Ends in 6 days

Tech·AI

Next Claude Opus Model: Text Arena Debut?

$17.7K Vol.

$5.2K Liq.

Ends in 4 months

62%

1500+

$17.7K Vol.

$5.2K Liq.

Ends in 4 months

Tech·AI

Next Mythos-Class Model: Text Arena Debut?

$28.6K Vol.

$6.0K Liq.

Ends in 4 months

96%

1470+

$28.6K Vol.

$6.0K Liq.

Ends in 4 months

Tech·AI

Next Mythos-Class Model: Humanity's Last Exam Debut?

$4.9K Vol.

$7.5K Liq.

Ends in 4 months

94%

45%+

$4.9K Vol.

$7.5K Liq.

Ends in 4 months

Tech·AI

Next Claude Opus Model: Humanity’s Last Exam Debut?

$4.8K Vol.

$2.0K Liq.

Ends in 4 months

90%

45%+

$4.8K Vol.

$2.0K Liq.

Ends in 4 months

Sports·Games

Paris Saint-Germain FC vs. AS Monaco FC - Player Props

$0 Vol.

$168 Liq.

Ends in 2 days

50%

Yes

$0 Vol.

$168 Liq.

Ends in 2 days

Sports·Games

M25 Casablanca: Dorian Tremblay vs Pierre Delage

$398 Vol.

$1.9K Liq.

Ends in 7 days

Dorian Tremblay

$398 Vol.

$1.9K Liq.

Ends in 7 days

Tech·AI

Will the next Mythos-Class model debut as #1? (Text Arena)

$85 Vol.

$216 Liq.

Ends in 10 months

50%

$85 Vol.

$216 Liq.

Ends in 10 months

Tech·AI

Highest Claude score on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026?

$82.5K Vol.

$5.0K Liq.

Ends in 4 months

94%

55%+

$82.5K Vol.

$5.0K Liq.

Ends in 4 months

Claude 5 predictions & odds

Frequently Asked Questions

What is Polymarket?

What types of Claude 5 prediction markets can I trade on Polymarket?

How do Claude 5 markets work on Polymarket?

What is the current top Claude 5 prediction?

Why use Polymarket for Claude 5 predictions?

How accurate are Polymarket’s Claude 5 odds?

Can I track Claude 5 predictions without trading?

How do I get started with Claude 5 markets on Polymarket?

How are markets resolved?

Frequently Asked Questions

What is Polymarket?

What types of Claude 5 prediction markets can I trade on Polymarket?

How do Claude 5 markets work on Polymarket?

What is the current top Claude 5 prediction?

Why use Polymarket for Claude 5 predictions?

How accurate are Polymarket’s Claude 5 odds?

Can I track Claude 5 predictions without trading?

How do I get started with Claude 5 markets on Polymarket?

How are markets resolved?

Claude 5 predictions & odds