Incumbent Scott Peters holds a commanding position in the CA-50 general election due to his established record in a San Diego-area district that remains Democratic-leaning after the 2025 redistricting under Proposition 50. Peters advanced comfortably from the June 2026 top-two primary with roughly 48 percent of the vote against Republican Steve Cohen, who received about 40 percent, while other Democratic candidates split the remainder. Peters maintains a substantial fundraising advantage and benefits from consistent support in independent race ratings classifying the seat as solid or safe Democratic. Cohen, a former local journalist endorsed by the state Republican Party, faces structural challenges including lower name recognition and limited resources in a district where Democratic voter registration and recent presidential margins favor the incumbent. Late developments such as national economic shifts, candidate health issues, or turnout surprises remain the primary variables that could alter the current trader consensus ahead of the November 3 contest.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoVencedor da eleição da casa CA-50
Vencedor da eleição da casa CA-50
$64,418 Vol.
$64,418 Vol.
2 nov 2026
Scott Peters (D)
96%
Steve Cohen (R)
5%
$64,418 Vol.
$64,418 Vol.
2 nov 2026
Scott Peters (D)
$38,700 Vol.
96%
Steve Cohen (R)
$25,718 Vol.
5%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-50 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Scott Peters holds a commanding position in the CA-50 general election due to his established record in a San Diego-area district that remains Democratic-leaning after the 2025 redistricting under Proposition 50. Peters advanced comfortably from the June 2026 top-two primary with roughly 48 percent of the vote against Republican Steve Cohen, who received about 40 percent, while other Democratic candidates split the remainder. Peters maintains a substantial fundraising advantage and benefits from consistent support in independent race ratings classifying the seat as solid or safe Democratic. Cohen, a former local journalist endorsed by the state Republican Party, faces structural challenges including lower name recognition and limited resources in a district where Democratic voter registration and recent presidential margins favor the incumbent. Late developments such as national economic shifts, candidate health issues, or turnout surprises remain the primary variables that could alter the current trader consensus ahead of the November 3 contest.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-50 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Mercado Aberto: Jan 28, 2026, 10:30 AM ET
Volume
$64,418Data de Término
3 nov 2026Mercado Aberto
Jan 28, 2026, 10:30 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-50 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Scott Peters holds a commanding position in the CA-50 general election due to his established record in a San Diego-area district that remains Democratic-leaning after the 2025 redistricting under Proposition 50. Peters advanced comfortably from the June 2026 top-two primary with roughly 48 percent of the vote against Republican Steve Cohen, who received about 40 percent, while other Democratic candidates split the remainder. Peters maintains a substantial fundraising advantage and benefits from consistent support in independent race ratings classifying the seat as solid or safe Democratic. Cohen, a former local journalist endorsed by the state Republican Party, faces structural challenges including lower name recognition and limited resources in a district where Democratic voter registration and recent presidential margins favor the incumbent. Late developments such as national economic shifts, candidate health issues, or turnout surprises remain the primary variables that could alter the current trader consensus ahead of the November 3 contest.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-50 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Volume
$64,418Data de Término
3 nov 2026Mercado Aberto
Jan 28, 2026, 10:30 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Scott Peters holds a commanding position in the CA-50 general election due to his established record in a San Diego-area district that remains Democratic-leaning after the 2025 redistricting under Proposition 50. Peters advanced comfortably from the June 2026 top-two primary with roughly 48 percent of the vote against Republican Steve Cohen, who received about 40 percent, while other Democratic candidates split the remainder. Peters maintains a substantial fundraising advantage and benefits from consistent support in independent race ratings classifying the seat as solid or safe Democratic. Cohen, a former local journalist endorsed by the state Republican Party, faces structural challenges including lower name recognition and limited resources in a district where Democratic voter registration and recent presidential margins favor the incumbent. Late developments such as national economic shifts, candidate health issues, or turnout surprises remain the primary variables that could alter the current trader consensus ahead of the November 3 contest.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
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