Daniel Biss secured the Democratic nomination for Illinois' 9th Congressional District in the March 2026 primary, prevailing in a crowded field as mayor of Evanston and a former state senator with endorsements from the Congressional Progressive Caucus and U.S. senators. The open seat, vacated by longtime incumbent Jan Schakowsky, lies in a heavily Democratic district encompassing northern Chicago suburbs and the North Shore that has not elected a Republican since the 1940s. Republican nominee John Elleson, a pastor who won his primary with under 50 percent, maintains low visibility ahead of the November 3 general election. Trader consensus reflects these structural advantages and the absence of recent developments capable of narrowing the gap. Late developments such as a major scandal, health event, or sharp national partisan swing remain the primary scenarios that could realistically alter the outcome.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoIL-09 Vencedor da eleição da casa
$31,625 Vol.
$31,625 Vol.
Daniel Biss (D)
95%
John Elleson (R)
5%
$31,625 Vol.
$31,625 Vol.
Daniel Biss (D)
95%
John Elleson (R)
5%
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Mercado Aberto: Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Daniel Biss secured the Democratic nomination for Illinois' 9th Congressional District in the March 2026 primary, prevailing in a crowded field as mayor of Evanston and a former state senator with endorsements from the Congressional Progressive Caucus and U.S. senators. The open seat, vacated by longtime incumbent Jan Schakowsky, lies in a heavily Democratic district encompassing northern Chicago suburbs and the North Shore that has not elected a Republican since the 1940s. Republican nominee John Elleson, a pastor who won his primary with under 50 percent, maintains low visibility ahead of the November 3 general election. Trader consensus reflects these structural advantages and the absence of recent developments capable of narrowing the gap. Late developments such as a major scandal, health event, or sharp national partisan swing remain the primary scenarios that could realistically alter the outcome.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
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