Jamie Raskin holds a commanding lead in trader consensus for Maryland's 8th congressional district due to the seat's entrenched Democratic tilt, reflected in a Cook Partisan Voter Index around D+30 and Raskin's consistent double-digit victories in prior cycles. As the incumbent since 2017, he secured over 92 percent in the June 2026 Democratic primary against minimal opposition. Republican nominee Cheryl Riley, who prevailed in her low-turnout primary, faces structural barriers including limited fundraising compared to Raskin's multimillion-dollar war chest and the district's voting patterns in recent presidential and House contests. Forecasters rate the race Safe Democratic. Late developments such as an unforeseen scandal, health crisis, or extreme national political realignment could theoretically shift dynamics before the November 3 general election, though historical precedent suggests limited impact in this environment.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoMD-08 Vencedor da eleição da Câmara
MD-08 Vencedor da eleição da Câmara
$27,431 Vol.
$27,431 Vol.
2 nov 2026
Jamie Raskin (D)
96%
Cheryl Riley (R)
4%
$27,431 Vol.
$27,431 Vol.
2 nov 2026
Jamie Raskin (D)
$18,904 Vol.
96%
Cheryl Riley (R)
$8,528 Vol.
4%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MD-08 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Jamie Raskin holds a commanding lead in trader consensus for Maryland's 8th congressional district due to the seat's entrenched Democratic tilt, reflected in a Cook Partisan Voter Index around D+30 and Raskin's consistent double-digit victories in prior cycles. As the incumbent since 2017, he secured over 92 percent in the June 2026 Democratic primary against minimal opposition. Republican nominee Cheryl Riley, who prevailed in her low-turnout primary, faces structural barriers including limited fundraising compared to Raskin's multimillion-dollar war chest and the district's voting patterns in recent presidential and House contests. Forecasters rate the race Safe Democratic. Late developments such as an unforeseen scandal, health crisis, or extreme national political realignment could theoretically shift dynamics before the November 3 general election, though historical precedent suggests limited impact in this environment.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MD-08 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Mercado Aberto: Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ET
Volume
$27,431Data de Término
3 nov 2026Mercado Aberto
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MD-08 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Jamie Raskin holds a commanding lead in trader consensus for Maryland's 8th congressional district due to the seat's entrenched Democratic tilt, reflected in a Cook Partisan Voter Index around D+30 and Raskin's consistent double-digit victories in prior cycles. As the incumbent since 2017, he secured over 92 percent in the June 2026 Democratic primary against minimal opposition. Republican nominee Cheryl Riley, who prevailed in her low-turnout primary, faces structural barriers including limited fundraising compared to Raskin's multimillion-dollar war chest and the district's voting patterns in recent presidential and House contests. Forecasters rate the race Safe Democratic. Late developments such as an unforeseen scandal, health crisis, or extreme national political realignment could theoretically shift dynamics before the November 3 general election, though historical precedent suggests limited impact in this environment.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MD-08 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Volume
$27,431Data de Término
3 nov 2026Mercado Aberto
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Jamie Raskin holds a commanding lead in trader consensus for Maryland's 8th congressional district due to the seat's entrenched Democratic tilt, reflected in a Cook Partisan Voter Index around D+30 and Raskin's consistent double-digit victories in prior cycles. As the incumbent since 2017, he secured over 92 percent in the June 2026 Democratic primary against minimal opposition. Republican nominee Cheryl Riley, who prevailed in her low-turnout primary, faces structural barriers including limited fundraising compared to Raskin's multimillion-dollar war chest and the district's voting patterns in recent presidential and House contests. Forecasters rate the race Safe Democratic. Late developments such as an unforeseen scandal, health crisis, or extreme national political realignment could theoretically shift dynamics before the November 3 general election, though historical precedent suggests limited impact in this environment.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
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