The district's strong Republican lean, reflected in its R+10 to R+13 Partisan Voter Index and consistent double-digit margins for GOP candidates in recent cycles, anchors trader consensus behind the Republican nominee. Incumbent Bob Onder secured the August 4 primary with roughly two-thirds of the vote, advancing to face Democrat Bethany Mann in the November 3 general election. Forecasters across outlets rate the seat Solid or Safe Republican, consistent with 2024 results where Onder prevailed by 26 points in a district Trump carried by 27. Limited Democratic fundraising and the absence of major recent shifts in local or national conditions reinforce the positioning. A late scandal, health event, or unusually strong national Democratic wave could narrow the gap, though structural factors make such outcomes low-probability.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoMO-03 House Election Winner
MO-03 House Election Winner
$28,181 Vol.
$28,181 Vol.
2 nov 2026
Republican Party
94%
Democratic Party
7%
$28,181 Vol.
$28,181 Vol.
2 nov 2026
Republican Party
$12,435 Vol.
94%
Democratic Party
$15,746 Vol.
7%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MO-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).The district's strong Republican lean, reflected in its R+10 to R+13 Partisan Voter Index and consistent double-digit margins for GOP candidates in recent cycles, anchors trader consensus behind the Republican nominee. Incumbent Bob Onder secured the August 4 primary with roughly two-thirds of the vote, advancing to face Democrat Bethany Mann in the November 3 general election. Forecasters across outlets rate the seat Solid or Safe Republican, consistent with 2024 results where Onder prevailed by 26 points in a district Trump carried by 27. Limited Democratic fundraising and the absence of major recent shifts in local or national conditions reinforce the positioning. A late scandal, health event, or unusually strong national Democratic wave could narrow the gap, though structural factors make such outcomes low-probability.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MO-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Mercado Aberto: Jan 28, 2026, 11:10 AM ET
Volume
$28,181Data de Término
3 nov 2026Mercado Aberto
Jan 28, 2026, 11:10 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MO-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).The district's strong Republican lean, reflected in its R+10 to R+13 Partisan Voter Index and consistent double-digit margins for GOP candidates in recent cycles, anchors trader consensus behind the Republican nominee. Incumbent Bob Onder secured the August 4 primary with roughly two-thirds of the vote, advancing to face Democrat Bethany Mann in the November 3 general election. Forecasters across outlets rate the seat Solid or Safe Republican, consistent with 2024 results where Onder prevailed by 26 points in a district Trump carried by 27. Limited Democratic fundraising and the absence of major recent shifts in local or national conditions reinforce the positioning. A late scandal, health event, or unusually strong national Democratic wave could narrow the gap, though structural factors make such outcomes low-probability.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MO-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Volume
$28,181Data de Término
3 nov 2026Mercado Aberto
Jan 28, 2026, 11:10 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...The district's strong Republican lean, reflected in its R+10 to R+13 Partisan Voter Index and consistent double-digit margins for GOP candidates in recent cycles, anchors trader consensus behind the Republican nominee. Incumbent Bob Onder secured the August 4 primary with roughly two-thirds of the vote, advancing to face Democrat Bethany Mann in the November 3 general election. Forecasters across outlets rate the seat Solid or Safe Republican, consistent with 2024 results where Onder prevailed by 26 points in a district Trump carried by 27. Limited Democratic fundraising and the absence of major recent shifts in local or national conditions reinforce the positioning. A late scandal, health event, or unusually strong national Democratic wave could narrow the gap, though structural factors make such outcomes low-probability.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
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