Republican nominee Aaron Flint holds a 62.5% implied probability in the MT-01 House race against Democrat Sam Forstag at 37.5%, reflecting the district’s R+5 partisan voting index and its status as an open Republican seat after Ryan Zinke’s retirement. Flint secured the GOP nomination in the June primary with backing from President Trump, while Forstag won a competitive Democratic primary emphasizing his background as a smokejumper and union leader. A June internal poll showed the matchup tied, and nonpartisan ratings classify the contest as likely or lean Republican. The general election on November 3 features Democratic strength in western counties such as Missoula and Bozeman, yet the modest Republican lean and historical voting patterns support trader pricing that favors the GOP candidate.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoMT-01 Vencedor da Eleição da Casa
MT-01 Vencedor da Eleição da Casa
$11,119 Vol.
$11,119 Vol.
3 nov 2026
Partido Republicano
63%
Partido Democrata
38%
$11,119 Vol.
$11,119 Vol.
3 nov 2026
Partido Republicano
$6,168 Vol.
63%
Partido Democrata
$4,952 Vol.
38%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MT-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Republican nominee Aaron Flint holds a 62.5% implied probability in the MT-01 House race against Democrat Sam Forstag at 37.5%, reflecting the district’s R+5 partisan voting index and its status as an open Republican seat after Ryan Zinke’s retirement. Flint secured the GOP nomination in the June primary with backing from President Trump, while Forstag won a competitive Democratic primary emphasizing his background as a smokejumper and union leader. A June internal poll showed the matchup tied, and nonpartisan ratings classify the contest as likely or lean Republican. The general election on November 3 features Democratic strength in western counties such as Missoula and Bozeman, yet the modest Republican lean and historical voting patterns support trader pricing that favors the GOP candidate.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MT-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Mercado Aberto: Dec 16, 2025, 12:19 PM ET
Volume
$11,119Data de Término
4 nov 2026Mercado Aberto
Dec 16, 2025, 12:19 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MT-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Republican nominee Aaron Flint holds a 62.5% implied probability in the MT-01 House race against Democrat Sam Forstag at 37.5%, reflecting the district’s R+5 partisan voting index and its status as an open Republican seat after Ryan Zinke’s retirement. Flint secured the GOP nomination in the June primary with backing from President Trump, while Forstag won a competitive Democratic primary emphasizing his background as a smokejumper and union leader. A June internal poll showed the matchup tied, and nonpartisan ratings classify the contest as likely or lean Republican. The general election on November 3 features Democratic strength in western counties such as Missoula and Bozeman, yet the modest Republican lean and historical voting patterns support trader pricing that favors the GOP candidate.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MT-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Volume
$11,119Data de Término
4 nov 2026Mercado Aberto
Dec 16, 2025, 12:19 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Republican nominee Aaron Flint holds a 62.5% implied probability in the MT-01 House race against Democrat Sam Forstag at 37.5%, reflecting the district’s R+5 partisan voting index and its status as an open Republican seat after Ryan Zinke’s retirement. Flint secured the GOP nomination in the June primary with backing from President Trump, while Forstag won a competitive Democratic primary emphasizing his background as a smokejumper and union leader. A June internal poll showed the matchup tied, and nonpartisan ratings classify the contest as likely or lean Republican. The general election on November 3 features Democratic strength in western counties such as Missoula and Bozeman, yet the modest Republican lean and historical voting patterns support trader pricing that favors the GOP candidate.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
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