Missouri's 1st Congressional District remains one of the most reliably Democratic seats in the country, with a partisan lean exceeding D+50 and consistent Democratic performance in recent cycles. Incumbent Wesley Bell secured the nomination in the August 2026 primary by defeating former Representative Cori Bush, while Republican nominee Paul Berry advanced from a low-turnout primary. All major forecasters rate the November general election as Solid or Safe Democratic. Trader consensus at 97% for the Democratic Party reflects the district's structural advantages, the absence of competitive polling or notable Republican momentum, and historical margins that would require an unprecedented national shift to overcome. Late developments such as a major scandal, candidate withdrawal, or extreme turnout anomaly could theoretically alter the outcome before November 3.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoMO-01 Vencedor da Eleição da Casa
MO-01 Vencedor da Eleição da Casa
$36,818 Vol.
$36,818 Vol.
2 nov 2026
Partido Democrata
97%
Partido Republicano
2%
$36,818 Vol.
$36,818 Vol.
2 nov 2026
Partido Democrata
$22,847 Vol.
97%
Partido Republicano
$13,971 Vol.
2%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MO-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Missouri's 1st Congressional District remains one of the most reliably Democratic seats in the country, with a partisan lean exceeding D+50 and consistent Democratic performance in recent cycles. Incumbent Wesley Bell secured the nomination in the August 2026 primary by defeating former Representative Cori Bush, while Republican nominee Paul Berry advanced from a low-turnout primary. All major forecasters rate the November general election as Solid or Safe Democratic. Trader consensus at 97% for the Democratic Party reflects the district's structural advantages, the absence of competitive polling or notable Republican momentum, and historical margins that would require an unprecedented national shift to overcome. Late developments such as a major scandal, candidate withdrawal, or extreme turnout anomaly could theoretically alter the outcome before November 3.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MO-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Mercado Aberto: Jan 28, 2026, 11:10 AM ET
Volume
$36,818Data de Término
3 nov 2026Mercado Aberto
Jan 28, 2026, 11:10 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MO-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Missouri's 1st Congressional District remains one of the most reliably Democratic seats in the country, with a partisan lean exceeding D+50 and consistent Democratic performance in recent cycles. Incumbent Wesley Bell secured the nomination in the August 2026 primary by defeating former Representative Cori Bush, while Republican nominee Paul Berry advanced from a low-turnout primary. All major forecasters rate the November general election as Solid or Safe Democratic. Trader consensus at 97% for the Democratic Party reflects the district's structural advantages, the absence of competitive polling or notable Republican momentum, and historical margins that would require an unprecedented national shift to overcome. Late developments such as a major scandal, candidate withdrawal, or extreme turnout anomaly could theoretically alter the outcome before November 3.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MO-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Volume
$36,818Data de Término
3 nov 2026Mercado Aberto
Jan 28, 2026, 11:10 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Missouri's 1st Congressional District remains one of the most reliably Democratic seats in the country, with a partisan lean exceeding D+50 and consistent Democratic performance in recent cycles. Incumbent Wesley Bell secured the nomination in the August 2026 primary by defeating former Representative Cori Bush, while Republican nominee Paul Berry advanced from a low-turnout primary. All major forecasters rate the November general election as Solid or Safe Democratic. Trader consensus at 97% for the Democratic Party reflects the district's structural advantages, the absence of competitive polling or notable Republican momentum, and historical margins that would require an unprecedented national shift to overcome. Late developments such as a major scandal, candidate withdrawal, or extreme turnout anomaly could theoretically alter the outcome before November 3.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
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