Alma Adams holds a commanding position in the NC-12 House race due to the district’s strong Democratic lean, reflected in its D+24 Cook Partisan Voting Index and her 74 percent victory in 2024. As the incumbent since 2014 representing central Mecklenburg County, Adams cleared her March primary with nearly 79 percent and maintains a substantial fundraising edge over Republican nominee Jack Codiga. Nonpartisan forecasters rate the seat Solid or Safe Democratic, aligning with trader consensus that prices in the structural advantages of incumbency, partisan composition, and limited opposition resources. A realistic shift would require an unprecedented national Republican wave or collapse in Democratic turnout that overcomes the district’s consistent margins.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoVencedor da eleição para a Câmara dos Deputados da NC-12
Vencedor da eleição para a Câmara dos Deputados da NC-12
$64,306 Vol.
$64,306 Vol.
2 nov 2026
Alma Adams (D)
97%
Jack Codiga (R)
3%
$64,306 Vol.
$64,306 Vol.
2 nov 2026
Alma Adams (D)
$17,082 Vol.
97%
Jack Codiga (R)
$47,224 Vol.
3%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NC-12 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Alma Adams holds a commanding position in the NC-12 House race due to the district’s strong Democratic lean, reflected in its D+24 Cook Partisan Voting Index and her 74 percent victory in 2024. As the incumbent since 2014 representing central Mecklenburg County, Adams cleared her March primary with nearly 79 percent and maintains a substantial fundraising edge over Republican nominee Jack Codiga. Nonpartisan forecasters rate the seat Solid or Safe Democratic, aligning with trader consensus that prices in the structural advantages of incumbency, partisan composition, and limited opposition resources. A realistic shift would require an unprecedented national Republican wave or collapse in Democratic turnout that overcomes the district’s consistent margins.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NC-12 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Mercado Aberto: Jan 28, 2026, 11:10 AM ET
Volume
$64,306Data de Término
3 nov 2026Mercado Aberto
Jan 28, 2026, 11:10 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NC-12 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Alma Adams holds a commanding position in the NC-12 House race due to the district’s strong Democratic lean, reflected in its D+24 Cook Partisan Voting Index and her 74 percent victory in 2024. As the incumbent since 2014 representing central Mecklenburg County, Adams cleared her March primary with nearly 79 percent and maintains a substantial fundraising edge over Republican nominee Jack Codiga. Nonpartisan forecasters rate the seat Solid or Safe Democratic, aligning with trader consensus that prices in the structural advantages of incumbency, partisan composition, and limited opposition resources. A realistic shift would require an unprecedented national Republican wave or collapse in Democratic turnout that overcomes the district’s consistent margins.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NC-12 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Volume
$64,306Data de Término
3 nov 2026Mercado Aberto
Jan 28, 2026, 11:10 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Alma Adams holds a commanding position in the NC-12 House race due to the district’s strong Democratic lean, reflected in its D+24 Cook Partisan Voting Index and her 74 percent victory in 2024. As the incumbent since 2014 representing central Mecklenburg County, Adams cleared her March primary with nearly 79 percent and maintains a substantial fundraising edge over Republican nominee Jack Codiga. Nonpartisan forecasters rate the seat Solid or Safe Democratic, aligning with trader consensus that prices in the structural advantages of incumbency, partisan composition, and limited opposition resources. A realistic shift would require an unprecedented national Republican wave or collapse in Democratic turnout that overcomes the district’s consistent margins.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
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