Incumbent John Mannion holds a commanding lead in the NY-22 House race due to the district's Solid Democratic rating from forecasters like the Cook Political Report and his 54.6% victory in 2024. Central New York voters in Syracuse and Utica have favored Democrats in recent cycles, and Mannion benefits from a substantial fundraising edge exceeding $1.8 million in cash on hand compared to challenger Kailee Buller's roughly $186,000. Both candidates advanced unopposed in the June 2026 primaries, limiting early momentum for the Republican. A major national Republican surge, significant late shifts in local polling, or unforeseen developments affecting turnout could narrow the gap, though current trader consensus reflects the structural and financial barriers facing Buller ahead of the November general election.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado$22,693 Vol.
$22,693 Vol.
3 nov 2026
John Mannion (D)
94%
Kailee Buller (R)
6%
$22,693 Vol.
$22,693 Vol.
3 nov 2026
John Mannion (D)
$11,334 Vol.
94%
Kailee Buller (R)
$11,358 Vol.
6%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-22 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent John Mannion holds a commanding lead in the NY-22 House race due to the district's Solid Democratic rating from forecasters like the Cook Political Report and his 54.6% victory in 2024. Central New York voters in Syracuse and Utica have favored Democrats in recent cycles, and Mannion benefits from a substantial fundraising edge exceeding $1.8 million in cash on hand compared to challenger Kailee Buller's roughly $186,000. Both candidates advanced unopposed in the June 2026 primaries, limiting early momentum for the Republican. A major national Republican surge, significant late shifts in local polling, or unforeseen developments affecting turnout could narrow the gap, though current trader consensus reflects the structural and financial barriers facing Buller ahead of the November general election.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-22 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Mercado Aberto: Dec 16, 2025, 12:48 PM ET
Volume
$22,693Data de Término
4 nov 2026Mercado Aberto
Dec 16, 2025, 12:48 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-22 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent John Mannion holds a commanding lead in the NY-22 House race due to the district's Solid Democratic rating from forecasters like the Cook Political Report and his 54.6% victory in 2024. Central New York voters in Syracuse and Utica have favored Democrats in recent cycles, and Mannion benefits from a substantial fundraising edge exceeding $1.8 million in cash on hand compared to challenger Kailee Buller's roughly $186,000. Both candidates advanced unopposed in the June 2026 primaries, limiting early momentum for the Republican. A major national Republican surge, significant late shifts in local polling, or unforeseen developments affecting turnout could narrow the gap, though current trader consensus reflects the structural and financial barriers facing Buller ahead of the November general election.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-22 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Volume
$22,693Data de Término
4 nov 2026Mercado Aberto
Dec 16, 2025, 12:48 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent John Mannion holds a commanding lead in the NY-22 House race due to the district's Solid Democratic rating from forecasters like the Cook Political Report and his 54.6% victory in 2024. Central New York voters in Syracuse and Utica have favored Democrats in recent cycles, and Mannion benefits from a substantial fundraising edge exceeding $1.8 million in cash on hand compared to challenger Kailee Buller's roughly $186,000. Both candidates advanced unopposed in the June 2026 primaries, limiting early momentum for the Republican. A major national Republican surge, significant late shifts in local polling, or unforeseen developments affecting turnout could narrow the gap, though current trader consensus reflects the structural and financial barriers facing Buller ahead of the November general election.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
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