Incumbent Republican Mike Carey holds a clear edge in Ohio’s 15th congressional district, a suburban Columbus area with a modest Republican lean, where he won 56.5% in 2024. His unopposed primary victory and substantial fundraising lead over Democrat Don Leonard, who narrowly won his May 5 primary, reinforce trader consensus favoring Carey. Forecasters rate the race Likely or Solid Republican, citing the district’s partisan baseline and Carey’s incumbency. Summer Democratic-sponsored polls showed Leonard within single digits, yet no major shifts in voter sentiment or late developments have altered the outlook ahead of the November 3 general election, where minor-party candidates are expected to draw limited support.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoVencedor da eleição para a Câmara dos Deputados OH-15
Vencedor da eleição para a Câmara dos Deputados OH-15
$12,672 Vol.
$12,672 Vol.
2 nov 2026
Mike Carey (R)
78%
Don Leonard (D)
21%
$12,672 Vol.
$12,672 Vol.
2 nov 2026
Mike Carey (R)
$4,947 Vol.
78%
Don Leonard (D)
$7,725 Vol.
21%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the OH-15 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Republican Mike Carey holds a clear edge in Ohio’s 15th congressional district, a suburban Columbus area with a modest Republican lean, where he won 56.5% in 2024. His unopposed primary victory and substantial fundraising lead over Democrat Don Leonard, who narrowly won his May 5 primary, reinforce trader consensus favoring Carey. Forecasters rate the race Likely or Solid Republican, citing the district’s partisan baseline and Carey’s incumbency. Summer Democratic-sponsored polls showed Leonard within single digits, yet no major shifts in voter sentiment or late developments have altered the outlook ahead of the November 3 general election, where minor-party candidates are expected to draw limited support.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the OH-15 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Mercado Aberto: Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ET
Volume
$12,672Data de Término
3 nov 2026Mercado Aberto
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the OH-15 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Republican Mike Carey holds a clear edge in Ohio’s 15th congressional district, a suburban Columbus area with a modest Republican lean, where he won 56.5% in 2024. His unopposed primary victory and substantial fundraising lead over Democrat Don Leonard, who narrowly won his May 5 primary, reinforce trader consensus favoring Carey. Forecasters rate the race Likely or Solid Republican, citing the district’s partisan baseline and Carey’s incumbency. Summer Democratic-sponsored polls showed Leonard within single digits, yet no major shifts in voter sentiment or late developments have altered the outlook ahead of the November 3 general election, where minor-party candidates are expected to draw limited support.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the OH-15 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Volume
$12,672Data de Término
3 nov 2026Mercado Aberto
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Republican Mike Carey holds a clear edge in Ohio’s 15th congressional district, a suburban Columbus area with a modest Republican lean, where he won 56.5% in 2024. His unopposed primary victory and substantial fundraising lead over Democrat Don Leonard, who narrowly won his May 5 primary, reinforce trader consensus favoring Carey. Forecasters rate the race Likely or Solid Republican, citing the district’s partisan baseline and Carey’s incumbency. Summer Democratic-sponsored polls showed Leonard within single digits, yet no major shifts in voter sentiment or late developments have altered the outlook ahead of the November 3 general election, where minor-party candidates are expected to draw limited support.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
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