Oklahoma's open gubernatorial race features Republican nominee Mike Mazzei facing Democrat Cyndi Munson on November 3, with traders assigning the GOP candidate a commanding 93.5% implied probability. The state's consistent Republican dominance, evidenced by Donald Trump's 34-point 2024 margin and sustained GOP control of statewide offices since 2011, underpins this positioning. Mazzei's narrow August primary runoff victory over Gentner Drummond, bolstered by a Trump endorsement and party committee support, further consolidated Republican backing in a contest where the primary typically decides the outcome. Forecasters rate the general election Solid Republican, reflecting limited Democratic competitiveness in a state with strong conservative voter turnout patterns. Scenarios that could narrow the gap include a major scandal involving the nominee, unusually high Democratic mobilization, or significant late-cycle national economic shifts, though historical base rates in similar open-seat races favor continuity.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado$27,551 Vol.
$27,551 Vol.
2 nov 2026
Republicano
94%
Democrata
7%
$27,551 Vol.
$27,551 Vol.
2 nov 2026
Republicano
$12,555 Vol.
94%
Democrata
$14,996 Vol.
7%
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Oklahoma gubernatorial election.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Oklahoma's open gubernatorial race features Republican nominee Mike Mazzei facing Democrat Cyndi Munson on November 3, with traders assigning the GOP candidate a commanding 93.5% implied probability. The state's consistent Republican dominance, evidenced by Donald Trump's 34-point 2024 margin and sustained GOP control of statewide offices since 2011, underpins this positioning. Mazzei's narrow August primary runoff victory over Gentner Drummond, bolstered by a Trump endorsement and party committee support, further consolidated Republican backing in a contest where the primary typically decides the outcome. Forecasters rate the general election Solid Republican, reflecting limited Democratic competitiveness in a state with strong conservative voter turnout patterns. Scenarios that could narrow the gap include a major scandal involving the nominee, unusually high Democratic mobilization, or significant late-cycle national economic shifts, though historical base rates in similar open-seat races favor continuity.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Oklahoma gubernatorial election.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
Mercado Aberto: Oct 13, 2025, 5:45 PM ET
Volume
$27,551Data de Término
3 nov 2026Mercado Aberto
Oct 13, 2025, 5:45 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Oklahoma gubernatorial election.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Oklahoma's open gubernatorial race features Republican nominee Mike Mazzei facing Democrat Cyndi Munson on November 3, with traders assigning the GOP candidate a commanding 93.5% implied probability. The state's consistent Republican dominance, evidenced by Donald Trump's 34-point 2024 margin and sustained GOP control of statewide offices since 2011, underpins this positioning. Mazzei's narrow August primary runoff victory over Gentner Drummond, bolstered by a Trump endorsement and party committee support, further consolidated Republican backing in a contest where the primary typically decides the outcome. Forecasters rate the general election Solid Republican, reflecting limited Democratic competitiveness in a state with strong conservative voter turnout patterns. Scenarios that could narrow the gap include a major scandal involving the nominee, unusually high Democratic mobilization, or significant late-cycle national economic shifts, though historical base rates in similar open-seat races favor continuity.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Oklahoma gubernatorial election.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
Volume
$27,551Data de Término
3 nov 2026Mercado Aberto
Oct 13, 2025, 5:45 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Oklahoma's open gubernatorial race features Republican nominee Mike Mazzei facing Democrat Cyndi Munson on November 3, with traders assigning the GOP candidate a commanding 93.5% implied probability. The state's consistent Republican dominance, evidenced by Donald Trump's 34-point 2024 margin and sustained GOP control of statewide offices since 2011, underpins this positioning. Mazzei's narrow August primary runoff victory over Gentner Drummond, bolstered by a Trump endorsement and party committee support, further consolidated Republican backing in a contest where the primary typically decides the outcome. Forecasters rate the general election Solid Republican, reflecting limited Democratic competitiveness in a state with strong conservative voter turnout patterns. Scenarios that could narrow the gap include a major scandal involving the nominee, unusually high Democratic mobilization, or significant late-cycle national economic shifts, though historical base rates in similar open-seat races favor continuity.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
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