Lorenia Valles Sampedro leads trader pricing at 48.5% as the implied favorite for the 2027 Sonora gubernatorial election, with Luis Donaldo Colosio Riojas at 14.7% and Javier Lamarque Cano at 11.5%. Multiple June–July 2026 polls show Morena holding a wide lead in statewide party intention (35–53%), while Valles consistently tops or near-tops Morena’s internal preference surveys ahead of Lamarque and Célida López. Opposition support remains fragmented across Movimiento Ciudadano, PAN, and PRI, with no single challenger consolidating. The race stays tight because party nomination processes and potential alliances remain unresolved a year out, and head-to-head scenarios show Valles competitive but not dominant against Colosio or Astiazarán. Recent candidate registrations and early campaigning have not yet shifted the consensus reflected in current prices.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoLorenia Valles Sampedro 48%
Luis Donaldo Colosio Riojas 14.6%
Javier Lamarque Cano 12%
María Dolores del Río Sánchez 8.5%
$31,924 Vol.
$31,924 Vol.
Lorenia Valles Sampedro
48%
Luis Donaldo Colosio Riojas
15%
Javier Lamarque Cano
12%
María Dolores del Río Sánchez
9%
Antonio Astiazarán Gutiérrez
8%
Patricia Mercado Castro
6%
Lilly Téllez García
5%
Natalia Rivera Grijalva
5%
Ernesto Gándara Camou
5%
Sylvana Beltrones Sánchez
5%
Froylán Gámez Gamboa
3%
Heriberto Aguilar Castillo
3%
Rogelio Díaz Brown
1%
Manuel Scott Sánchez
1%
Guadalupe María Soto
1%
Víctor Hugo Celaya
1%
Omar del Valle Colosio
1%
Célida Teresa López Cárdenas
<1%
Damián Zepeda Vidales
<1%
Lorenia Valles Sampedro 48%
Luis Donaldo Colosio Riojas 14.6%
Javier Lamarque Cano 12%
María Dolores del Río Sánchez 8.5%
$31,924 Vol.
$31,924 Vol.
Lorenia Valles Sampedro
48%
Luis Donaldo Colosio Riojas
15%
Javier Lamarque Cano
12%
María Dolores del Río Sánchez
9%
Antonio Astiazarán Gutiérrez
8%
Patricia Mercado Castro
6%
Lilly Téllez García
5%
Natalia Rivera Grijalva
5%
Ernesto Gándara Camou
5%
Sylvana Beltrones Sánchez
5%
Froylán Gámez Gamboa
3%
Heriberto Aguilar Castillo
3%
Rogelio Díaz Brown
1%
Manuel Scott Sánchez
1%
Guadalupe María Soto
1%
Víctor Hugo Celaya
1%
Omar del Valle Colosio
1%
Célida Teresa López Cárdenas
<1%
Damián Zepeda Vidales
<1%
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who wins the 2027 Sonora gubernatorial elections. Any interim or caretaker Governor will not qualify.
If the results are not known definitively by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results as reported by government sources of Sonora and Mexico, including the Electoral Institute of Sonora and the National Electoral Institute of Mexico.
Mercado Aberto: Aug 5, 2026, 6:49 AM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who wins the 2027 Sonora gubernatorial elections. Any interim or caretaker Governor will not qualify.
If the results are not known definitively by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results as reported by government sources of Sonora and Mexico, including the Electoral Institute of Sonora and the National Electoral Institute of Mexico.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Lorenia Valles Sampedro leads trader pricing at 48.5% as the implied favorite for the 2027 Sonora gubernatorial election, with Luis Donaldo Colosio Riojas at 14.7% and Javier Lamarque Cano at 11.5%. Multiple June–July 2026 polls show Morena holding a wide lead in statewide party intention (35–53%), while Valles consistently tops or near-tops Morena’s internal preference surveys ahead of Lamarque and Célida López. Opposition support remains fragmented across Movimiento Ciudadano, PAN, and PRI, with no single challenger consolidating. The race stays tight because party nomination processes and potential alliances remain unresolved a year out, and head-to-head scenarios show Valles competitive but not dominant against Colosio or Astiazarán. Recent candidate registrations and early campaigning have not yet shifted the consensus reflected in current prices.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
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