Wu Hsiu-hua, the Kuomintang nominee and current Taitung County Council speaker, leads the market at 86.5% implied probability for the November 28, 2026, magistrate election. This positioning reflects Taitung’s longstanding KMT structural advantage in a county the DPP has never won, combined with Wu’s institutional role and the party’s early December 2025 nomination to replace term-limited incumbent Yao Ching-ling. The DPP’s October 2025 selection of legislator Chen Ying, who holds an indigenous Puyuma background that could appeal to roughly 25% of voters, sits at 14.5% amid unified party support after a potential rival bowed out in July 2026. An independent candidate registers negligible odds. Limited recent polling and the absence of major shifts since candidate registration opened in late August have kept trader consensus stable on thin volume ahead of the vote.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoWu Hsiu-hua 87%
Chen Ying 15%
Li Wu Ying-chih <1%
NOVO
NOVO
30 jun 2027
Wu Hsiu-hua
87%
Chen Ying
15%
Li Wu Ying-chih
<1%
Wu Hsiu-hua 87%
Chen Ying 15%
Li Wu Ying-chih <1%
NOVO
NOVO
30 jun 2027
Wu Hsiu-hua
$3,975 Vol.
87%
Chen Ying
$2,568 Vol.
15%
Li Wu Ying-chih
$1,124 Vol.
<1%
Taiwanese local elections are scheduled to be held on November 28, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next Magistrate of Taitung County as a result of this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder Magistrates appointed before the election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known, or no candidate has been elected, by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the results of the elections as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Taiwanese government, specifically the Central Election Commission (https://db.cec.gov.tw/).Wu Hsiu-hua, the Kuomintang nominee and current Taitung County Council speaker, leads the market at 86.5% implied probability for the November 28, 2026, magistrate election. This positioning reflects Taitung’s longstanding KMT structural advantage in a county the DPP has never won, combined with Wu’s institutional role and the party’s early December 2025 nomination to replace term-limited incumbent Yao Ching-ling. The DPP’s October 2025 selection of legislator Chen Ying, who holds an indigenous Puyuma background that could appeal to roughly 25% of voters, sits at 14.5% amid unified party support after a potential rival bowed out in July 2026. An independent candidate registers negligible odds. Limited recent polling and the absence of major shifts since candidate registration opened in late August have kept trader consensus stable on thin volume ahead of the vote.
Taiwanese local elections are scheduled to be held on November 28, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next Magistrate of Taitung County as a result of this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder Magistrates appointed before the election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known, or no candidate has been elected, by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the results of the elections as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Taiwanese government, specifically the Central Election Commission (https://db.cec.gov.tw/).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next Magistrate of Taitung County as a result of this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder Magistrates appointed before the election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known, or no candidate has been elected, by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the results of the elections as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Taiwanese government, specifically the Central Election Commission (https://db.cec.gov.tw/).
Mercado Aberto: Aug 14, 2026, 9:02 AM ET
Volume
$7,668Data de Término
28 nov 2026Mercado Aberto
Aug 14, 2026, 9:02 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Taiwanese local elections are scheduled to be held on November 28, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next Magistrate of Taitung County as a result of this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder Magistrates appointed before the election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known, or no candidate has been elected, by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the results of the elections as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Taiwanese government, specifically the Central Election Commission (https://db.cec.gov.tw/).Wu Hsiu-hua, the Kuomintang nominee and current Taitung County Council speaker, leads the market at 86.5% implied probability for the November 28, 2026, magistrate election. This positioning reflects Taitung’s longstanding KMT structural advantage in a county the DPP has never won, combined with Wu’s institutional role and the party’s early December 2025 nomination to replace term-limited incumbent Yao Ching-ling. The DPP’s October 2025 selection of legislator Chen Ying, who holds an indigenous Puyuma background that could appeal to roughly 25% of voters, sits at 14.5% amid unified party support after a potential rival bowed out in July 2026. An independent candidate registers negligible odds. Limited recent polling and the absence of major shifts since candidate registration opened in late August have kept trader consensus stable on thin volume ahead of the vote.
Taiwanese local elections are scheduled to be held on November 28, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next Magistrate of Taitung County as a result of this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder Magistrates appointed before the election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known, or no candidate has been elected, by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the results of the elections as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Taiwanese government, specifically the Central Election Commission (https://db.cec.gov.tw/).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next Magistrate of Taitung County as a result of this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder Magistrates appointed before the election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known, or no candidate has been elected, by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the results of the elections as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Taiwanese government, specifically the Central Election Commission (https://db.cec.gov.tw/).
Volume
$7,668Data de Término
28 nov 2026Mercado Aberto
Aug 14, 2026, 9:02 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Wu Hsiu-hua, the Kuomintang nominee and current Taitung County Council speaker, leads the market at 86.5% implied probability for the November 28, 2026, magistrate election. This positioning reflects Taitung’s longstanding KMT structural advantage in a county the DPP has never won, combined with Wu’s institutional role and the party’s early December 2025 nomination to replace term-limited incumbent Yao Ching-ling. The DPP’s October 2025 selection of legislator Chen Ying, who holds an indigenous Puyuma background that could appeal to roughly 25% of voters, sits at 14.5% amid unified party support after a potential rival bowed out in July 2026. An independent candidate registers negligible odds. Limited recent polling and the absence of major shifts since candidate registration opened in late August have kept trader consensus stable on thin volume ahead of the vote.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
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