Celeste Maloy secured the Republican nomination for Utah’s 3rd Congressional District in the June 2026 primary, defeating challenger Phil Lyman by a wide margin in a contest shaped by the district’s post-redistricting boundaries. The seat carries a strong Republican lean, reflected in its R+21 or higher Partisan Voter Index and consistent historical margins exceeding 30 points for GOP candidates. Maloy’s established fundraising edge, incumbency profile, and broad support across urban and rural counties in the district have reinforced trader consensus around a Republican outcome. Democratic nominee Kent Udell faces structural barriers in this environment. Late developments such as a major scandal, significant national partisan shift, or unexpected candidate withdrawal could still alter the trajectory before the November general election.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoVencedor da Eleição da Casa UT-03
$12,508 Vol.
$12,508 Vol.
Celeste Maloy (R)
95%
Kent Udell (D)
6%
$12,508 Vol.
$12,508 Vol.
Celeste Maloy (R)
95%
Kent Udell (D)
6%
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Mercado Aberto: Dec 16, 2025, 1:15 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Celeste Maloy secured the Republican nomination for Utah’s 3rd Congressional District in the June 2026 primary, defeating challenger Phil Lyman by a wide margin in a contest shaped by the district’s post-redistricting boundaries. The seat carries a strong Republican lean, reflected in its R+21 or higher Partisan Voter Index and consistent historical margins exceeding 30 points for GOP candidates. Maloy’s established fundraising edge, incumbency profile, and broad support across urban and rural counties in the district have reinforced trader consensus around a Republican outcome. Democratic nominee Kent Udell faces structural barriers in this environment. Late developments such as a major scandal, significant national partisan shift, or unexpected candidate withdrawal could still alter the trajectory before the November general election.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado



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