Michael Alfonso secured the Republican nomination for Wisconsin's 7th Congressional District after winning the August 11 primary with endorsements from President Trump and connections to former Representative Sean Duffy. The open seat, vacated by Representative Tom Tiffany's gubernatorial bid, sits in a district that has favored Republicans by wide margins in recent cycles. Fred Clark won the Democratic primary but faces structural headwinds in a solidly Republican area. Traders reflect this through Alfonso's commanding lead, with limited recent catalysts—such as the candidates' agreed September debate—unlikely to alter the trajectory absent major unforeseen developments like scandals or turnout anomalies before the November 3 general election.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoVencedor da eleição para a Casa WI-07
Vencedor da eleição para a Casa WI-07
$42,374 Vol.
$42,374 Vol.
2 nov 2026
Michael Alfonso (R)
95%
Fred Clark (D)
3%
$42,374 Vol.
$42,374 Vol.
2 nov 2026
Michael Alfonso (R)
$21,551 Vol.
95%
Fred Clark (D)
$20,823 Vol.
3%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the WI-07 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Michael Alfonso secured the Republican nomination for Wisconsin's 7th Congressional District after winning the August 11 primary with endorsements from President Trump and connections to former Representative Sean Duffy. The open seat, vacated by Representative Tom Tiffany's gubernatorial bid, sits in a district that has favored Republicans by wide margins in recent cycles. Fred Clark won the Democratic primary but faces structural headwinds in a solidly Republican area. Traders reflect this through Alfonso's commanding lead, with limited recent catalysts—such as the candidates' agreed September debate—unlikely to alter the trajectory absent major unforeseen developments like scandals or turnout anomalies before the November 3 general election.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the WI-07 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Mercado Aberto: Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ET
Volume
$42,374Data de Término
3 nov 2026Mercado Aberto
Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the WI-07 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Michael Alfonso secured the Republican nomination for Wisconsin's 7th Congressional District after winning the August 11 primary with endorsements from President Trump and connections to former Representative Sean Duffy. The open seat, vacated by Representative Tom Tiffany's gubernatorial bid, sits in a district that has favored Republicans by wide margins in recent cycles. Fred Clark won the Democratic primary but faces structural headwinds in a solidly Republican area. Traders reflect this through Alfonso's commanding lead, with limited recent catalysts—such as the candidates' agreed September debate—unlikely to alter the trajectory absent major unforeseen developments like scandals or turnout anomalies before the November 3 general election.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the WI-07 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Volume
$42,374Data de Término
3 nov 2026Mercado Aberto
Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Michael Alfonso secured the Republican nomination for Wisconsin's 7th Congressional District after winning the August 11 primary with endorsements from President Trump and connections to former Representative Sean Duffy. The open seat, vacated by Representative Tom Tiffany's gubernatorial bid, sits in a district that has favored Republicans by wide margins in recent cycles. Fred Clark won the Democratic primary but faces structural headwinds in a solidly Republican area. Traders reflect this through Alfonso's commanding lead, with limited recent catalysts—such as the candidates' agreed September debate—unlikely to alter the trajectory absent major unforeseen developments like scandals or turnout anomalies before the November 3 general election.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
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