Incumbent Republican Rick Crawford seeks a ninth term in Arkansas’s 1st Congressional District, a seat rated Solid or Safe Republican by Cook, Inside Elections, Sabato’s Crystal Ball, and Decision Desk HQ. The district’s strong Republican lean, reflected in Crawford’s 72.9% victory in 2024, has produced uncontested primaries and limited Democratic infrastructure. Nominee Terri Yarbrough Green, a retired pathologist, and Libertarian Steve Parsons face structural disadvantages in fundraising and name recognition ahead of the November 3 general election. Trader consensus at 94.5% for the Republican nominee aligns with historical margins and the absence of competitive polling. Late developments such as a major scandal, candidate health event, or unanticipated national political shift could theoretically narrow the gap, though comparable districts have shown few such reversals in recent cycles.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоAR-01 Победитель выборов в Палату представителей
AR-01 Победитель выборов в Палату представителей
$26,556 Объем
$26,556 Объем
2 нояб. 2026 г.
Республиканская партия
94%
Демократическая партия
1%
$26,556 Объем
$26,556 Объем
2 нояб. 2026 г.
Республиканская партия
$16,297 Объем
94%
Демократическая партия
$10,259 Объем
1%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the AR-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Republican Rick Crawford seeks a ninth term in Arkansas’s 1st Congressional District, a seat rated Solid or Safe Republican by Cook, Inside Elections, Sabato’s Crystal Ball, and Decision Desk HQ. The district’s strong Republican lean, reflected in Crawford’s 72.9% victory in 2024, has produced uncontested primaries and limited Democratic infrastructure. Nominee Terri Yarbrough Green, a retired pathologist, and Libertarian Steve Parsons face structural disadvantages in fundraising and name recognition ahead of the November 3 general election. Trader consensus at 94.5% for the Republican nominee aligns with historical margins and the absence of competitive polling. Late developments such as a major scandal, candidate health event, or unanticipated national political shift could theoretically narrow the gap, though comparable districts have shown few such reversals in recent cycles.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the AR-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Открытие рынка: Jan 27, 2026, 11:54 PM ET
Объем
$26,556Дата окончания
3 нояб. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Jan 27, 2026, 11:54 PM ETКто определяет исход
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the AR-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Republican Rick Crawford seeks a ninth term in Arkansas’s 1st Congressional District, a seat rated Solid or Safe Republican by Cook, Inside Elections, Sabato’s Crystal Ball, and Decision Desk HQ. The district’s strong Republican lean, reflected in Crawford’s 72.9% victory in 2024, has produced uncontested primaries and limited Democratic infrastructure. Nominee Terri Yarbrough Green, a retired pathologist, and Libertarian Steve Parsons face structural disadvantages in fundraising and name recognition ahead of the November 3 general election. Trader consensus at 94.5% for the Republican nominee aligns with historical margins and the absence of competitive polling. Late developments such as a major scandal, candidate health event, or unanticipated national political shift could theoretically narrow the gap, though comparable districts have shown few such reversals in recent cycles.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the AR-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Объем
$26,556Дата окончания
3 нояб. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Jan 27, 2026, 11:54 PM ETКто определяет исход
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Republican Rick Crawford seeks a ninth term in Arkansas’s 1st Congressional District, a seat rated Solid or Safe Republican by Cook, Inside Elections, Sabato’s Crystal Ball, and Decision Desk HQ. The district’s strong Republican lean, reflected in Crawford’s 72.9% victory in 2024, has produced uncontested primaries and limited Democratic infrastructure. Nominee Terri Yarbrough Green, a retired pathologist, and Libertarian Steve Parsons face structural disadvantages in fundraising and name recognition ahead of the November 3 general election. Trader consensus at 94.5% for the Republican nominee aligns with historical margins and the absence of competitive polling. Late developments such as a major scandal, candidate health event, or unanticipated national political shift could theoretically narrow the gap, though comparable districts have shown few such reversals in recent cycles.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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