Melissa Bean secured the Democratic nomination in the March 2026 primary for Illinois' 8th congressional district, an open seat previously held by Raja Krishnamoorthi. The district's strong Democratic lean, reflected in consistent ratings from the Cook Political Report and similar forecasters as Solid or Safe Democratic, underpins the current trader consensus. Bean, a former representative with established name recognition and fundraising capacity, faces Republican nominee Jennifer Davis in the November 3 general election. This positioning leaves limited room for shifts absent major national swings, unusually high Republican turnout, or late-breaking candidate developments that could alter the implied probability.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоПобедитель выборов в Палату представителей IL-08
Победитель выборов в Палату представителей IL-08
$21,818 Объем
$21,818 Объем
2 нояб. 2026 г.
Мелисса Бин (Д)
94%
Дженнифер Дэвис (Р)
6%
$21,818 Объем
$21,818 Объем
2 нояб. 2026 г.
Мелисса Бин (Д)
$9,791 Объем
94%
Дженнифер Дэвис (Р)
$12,027 Объем
6%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the IL-08 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Melissa Bean secured the Democratic nomination in the March 2026 primary for Illinois' 8th congressional district, an open seat previously held by Raja Krishnamoorthi. The district's strong Democratic lean, reflected in consistent ratings from the Cook Political Report and similar forecasters as Solid or Safe Democratic, underpins the current trader consensus. Bean, a former representative with established name recognition and fundraising capacity, faces Republican nominee Jennifer Davis in the November 3 general election. This positioning leaves limited room for shifts absent major national swings, unusually high Republican turnout, or late-breaking candidate developments that could alter the implied probability.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the IL-08 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Открытие рынка: Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ET
Объем
$21,818Дата окончания
3 нояб. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETКто определяет исход
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the IL-08 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Melissa Bean secured the Democratic nomination in the March 2026 primary for Illinois' 8th congressional district, an open seat previously held by Raja Krishnamoorthi. The district's strong Democratic lean, reflected in consistent ratings from the Cook Political Report and similar forecasters as Solid or Safe Democratic, underpins the current trader consensus. Bean, a former representative with established name recognition and fundraising capacity, faces Republican nominee Jennifer Davis in the November 3 general election. This positioning leaves limited room for shifts absent major national swings, unusually high Republican turnout, or late-breaking candidate developments that could alter the implied probability.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the IL-08 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Объем
$21,818Дата окончания
3 нояб. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETКто определяет исход
0x2F5e3684c...Melissa Bean secured the Democratic nomination in the March 2026 primary for Illinois' 8th congressional district, an open seat previously held by Raja Krishnamoorthi. The district's strong Democratic lean, reflected in consistent ratings from the Cook Political Report and similar forecasters as Solid or Safe Democratic, underpins the current trader consensus. Bean, a former representative with established name recognition and fundraising capacity, faces Republican nominee Jennifer Davis in the November 3 general election. This positioning leaves limited room for shifts absent major national swings, unusually high Republican turnout, or late-breaking candidate developments that could alter the implied probability.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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