Illinois's deep Democratic tilt and the retirement of longtime Sen. Dick Durbin have positioned Lt. Gov. Juliana Stratton as the clear frontrunner to hold the open Senate seat. Stratton secured the Democratic nomination in the March 2026 primary with backing from Gov. JB Pritzker and Sen. Tammy Duckworth, outpacing other contenders in a high-spending contest. Republican nominee Don Tracy, a former state party chair, won a fragmented GOP primary but faces limited resources and operates in a state where Democrats have dominated recent statewide results. The race has remained low-profile since the primaries, with Stratton maintaining a substantial fundraising edge and treating the contest as low-risk. Trader consensus aligns with the structural advantages of incumbency-style party support and historical voting patterns. A late national shift, major scandal, or turnout surprise could narrow the gap, though such developments appear improbable this close to the November 3 general election.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоПобедитель выборов в Сенат штата Иллинойс
Победитель выборов в Сенат штата Иллинойс
$32,370 Объем
$32,370 Объем
2 нояб. 2026 г.
Джулиана Стрэттон (Д)
96%
Дон Трейси (Р)
4%
$32,370 Объем
$32,370 Объем
2 нояб. 2026 г.
Джулиана Стрэттон (Д)
$16,811 Объем
96%
Дон Трейси (Р)
$15,559 Объем
4%
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Illinois U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Illinois's deep Democratic tilt and the retirement of longtime Sen. Dick Durbin have positioned Lt. Gov. Juliana Stratton as the clear frontrunner to hold the open Senate seat. Stratton secured the Democratic nomination in the March 2026 primary with backing from Gov. JB Pritzker and Sen. Tammy Duckworth, outpacing other contenders in a high-spending contest. Republican nominee Don Tracy, a former state party chair, won a fragmented GOP primary but faces limited resources and operates in a state where Democrats have dominated recent statewide results. The race has remained low-profile since the primaries, with Stratton maintaining a substantial fundraising edge and treating the contest as low-risk. Trader consensus aligns with the structural advantages of incumbency-style party support and historical voting patterns. A late national shift, major scandal, or turnout surprise could narrow the gap, though such developments appear improbable this close to the November 3 general election.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Illinois U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
Открытие рынка: Oct 13, 2025, 5:35 PM ET
Объем
$32,370Дата окончания
3 нояб. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Oct 13, 2025, 5:35 PM ETКто определяет исход
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Illinois U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Illinois's deep Democratic tilt and the retirement of longtime Sen. Dick Durbin have positioned Lt. Gov. Juliana Stratton as the clear frontrunner to hold the open Senate seat. Stratton secured the Democratic nomination in the March 2026 primary with backing from Gov. JB Pritzker and Sen. Tammy Duckworth, outpacing other contenders in a high-spending contest. Republican nominee Don Tracy, a former state party chair, won a fragmented GOP primary but faces limited resources and operates in a state where Democrats have dominated recent statewide results. The race has remained low-profile since the primaries, with Stratton maintaining a substantial fundraising edge and treating the contest as low-risk. Trader consensus aligns with the structural advantages of incumbency-style party support and historical voting patterns. A late national shift, major scandal, or turnout surprise could narrow the gap, though such developments appear improbable this close to the November 3 general election.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Illinois U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
Объем
$32,370Дата окончания
3 нояб. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Oct 13, 2025, 5:35 PM ETКто определяет исход
0x2F5e3684c...Illinois's deep Democratic tilt and the retirement of longtime Sen. Dick Durbin have positioned Lt. Gov. Juliana Stratton as the clear frontrunner to hold the open Senate seat. Stratton secured the Democratic nomination in the March 2026 primary with backing from Gov. JB Pritzker and Sen. Tammy Duckworth, outpacing other contenders in a high-spending contest. Republican nominee Don Tracy, a former state party chair, won a fragmented GOP primary but faces limited resources and operates in a state where Democrats have dominated recent statewide results. The race has remained low-profile since the primaries, with Stratton maintaining a substantial fundraising edge and treating the contest as low-risk. Trader consensus aligns with the structural advantages of incumbency-style party support and historical voting patterns. A late national shift, major scandal, or turnout surprise could narrow the gap, though such developments appear improbable this close to the November 3 general election.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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