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icon for Победитель выборов в Палату представителей MT-01
Выборы·Выборы 4 ноября

Победитель выборов в Палату представителей MT-01

icon for Победитель выборов в Палату представителей MT-01
Выборы·Выборы 4 ноября

Победитель выборов в Палату представителей MT-01

Polymarket

$11,119 Объем

Polymarket

$11,119 Объем

Республиканская партия

$6,168 Объем

63%

Демократическая партия

$4,952 Объем

38%

This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MT-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026. ​​A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Republican nominee Aaron Flint holds a 62.5% implied probability in the MT-01 House race against Democrat Sam Forstag at 37.5%, reflecting the district’s R+5 partisan voting index and its status as an open Republican seat after Ryan Zinke’s retirement. Flint secured the GOP nomination in the June primary with backing from President Trump, while Forstag won a competitive Democratic primary emphasizing his background as a smokejumper and union leader. A June internal poll showed the matchup tied, and nonpartisan ratings classify the contest as likely or lean Republican. The general election on November 3 features Democratic strength in western counties such as Missoula and Bozeman, yet the modest Republican lean and historical voting patterns support trader pricing that favors the GOP candidate.

This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MT-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.

​​A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.

This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MT-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026. ​​A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Объем
$11,119
Дата окончания
4 нояб. 2026 г.
Открытие рынка
Dec 16, 2025, 12:19 PM ET

Кто определяет исход

0x2F5e3684c...
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MT-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026. ​​A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Republican nominee Aaron Flint holds a 62.5% implied probability in the MT-01 House race against Democrat Sam Forstag at 37.5%, reflecting the district’s R+5 partisan voting index and its status as an open Republican seat after Ryan Zinke’s retirement. Flint secured the GOP nomination in the June primary with backing from President Trump, while Forstag won a competitive Democratic primary emphasizing his background as a smokejumper and union leader. A June internal poll showed the matchup tied, and nonpartisan ratings classify the contest as likely or lean Republican. The general election on November 3 features Democratic strength in western counties such as Missoula and Bozeman, yet the modest Republican lean and historical voting patterns support trader pricing that favors the GOP candidate.

This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MT-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.

​​A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.

This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MT-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026. ​​A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Объем
$11,119
Дата окончания
4 нояб. 2026 г.
Открытие рынка
Dec 16, 2025, 12:19 PM ET

Кто определяет исход

0x2F5e3684c...

Связанные

icon for Выиграет ли Республиканская партия место в Палате представителей от округа MT-02?

Выиграет ли Республиканская партия место в Палате представителей от округа MT-02?

95%
Да
icon for Выиграет ли Демократическая партия место в Палате представителей по округу MO-01?

Выиграет ли Демократическая партия место в Палате представителей по округу MO-01?

97%
Да
icon for Выиграет ли Демократическая партия место в Палате представителей от округа MA-01?

Выиграет ли Демократическая партия место в Палате представителей от округа MA-01?

95%
Да

Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.

Часто задаваемые вопросы

«Победитель выборов в Палату представителей MT-01» — это рынок прогнозов на Polymarket с 2 возможными исходами, где трейдеры покупают и продают акции на основе своих прогнозов. Текущий лидирующий исход — «Республиканская партия» с 63%, за ним следует «Демократическая партия» с 38%. Цены отражают вероятности сообщества в реальном времени. Например, акция по цене 63¢ означает, что рынок коллективно оценивает вероятность этого исхода в 63%. Эти коэффициенты постоянно меняются. Акции правильного исхода можно обменять на $1 каждую при разрешении рынка.

На сегодняшний день «Победитель выборов в Палату представителей MT-01» сгенерировал общий объём торгов $11.1K с момента запуска рынка Dec 16, 2025. Такой уровень активности отражает высокую вовлечённость сообщества Polymarket и гарантирует, что текущие коэффициенты формируются широким кругом участников рынка. Ты можешь отслеживать движение цен в реальном времени и торговать любым исходом прямо на этой странице.

Чтобы торговать на «Победитель выборов в Палату представителей MT-01», просмотри 2 доступных исходов на этой странице. Каждый исход показывает текущую цену, представляющую подразумеваемую вероятность рынка. Чтобы занять позицию, выбери исход, который считаешь наиболее вероятным, выбери «Да» для торговли в его пользу или «Нет» для торговли против, введи сумму и нажми «Торговать». Если твой выбранный исход окажется верным, твои акции «Да» принесут $1 каждая. Если нет — $0. Ты также можешь продать акции до разрешения.

Текущий фаворит для «Победитель выборов в Палату представителей MT-01» — «Республиканская партия» с 63%, что означает, что рынок оценивает вероятность этого исхода в 63%. Следующий ближайший исход — «Демократическая партия» с 38%. Эти коэффициенты обновляются в реальном времени по мере покупки и продажи акций. Заходи чаще или добавь страницу в закладки.

Правила разрешения «Победитель выборов в Палату представителей MT-01» точно определяют, что должно произойти, чтобы каждый исход был объявлен победителем, включая официальные источники данных, используемые для определения результата. Ты можешь просмотреть полные критерии разрешения в разделе «Правила» на этой странице над комментариями. Мы рекомендуем внимательно прочитать правила перед торговлей, так как они определяют точные условия, особые случаи и источники.