Melanie Stansbury maintains a commanding lead in the NM-01 House race due to the district's consistent Democratic lean, reflected in its D+5 to D+11 partisan voting index and the incumbent's 56.4% victory in 2024. As the sitting representative since 2021, Stansbury secured unopposed renomination in the June 2026 primary while facing Republican pharmacist Didi Okpareke, who also ran unopposed. Fundraising disparities further reinforce the positioning, with Stansbury reporting over $1.3 million raised compared to Okpareke's roughly $100,000 as of mid-2026. Nonpartisan forecasters rate the contest Solid or Safe Democratic. Trader consensus at 93.5% for Stansbury aligns with these fundamentals, though late developments such as a significant scandal, health event, or unanticipated national partisan swing could still alter the outcome before the November 3 general election.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоNM-01 Победитель выборов в Палату представителей
NM-01 Победитель выборов в Палату представителей
$36,462 Объем
$36,462 Объем
2 нояб. 2026 г.
Мелани Стэнсбери (Д)
94%
Диди Окпареке (Р)
6%
$36,462 Объем
$36,462 Объем
2 нояб. 2026 г.
Мелани Стэнсбери (Д)
$18,947 Объем
94%
Диди Окпареке (Р)
$17,515 Объем
6%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NM-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Melanie Stansbury maintains a commanding lead in the NM-01 House race due to the district's consistent Democratic lean, reflected in its D+5 to D+11 partisan voting index and the incumbent's 56.4% victory in 2024. As the sitting representative since 2021, Stansbury secured unopposed renomination in the June 2026 primary while facing Republican pharmacist Didi Okpareke, who also ran unopposed. Fundraising disparities further reinforce the positioning, with Stansbury reporting over $1.3 million raised compared to Okpareke's roughly $100,000 as of mid-2026. Nonpartisan forecasters rate the contest Solid or Safe Democratic. Trader consensus at 93.5% for Stansbury aligns with these fundamentals, though late developments such as a significant scandal, health event, or unanticipated national partisan swing could still alter the outcome before the November 3 general election.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NM-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Открытие рынка: Jan 28, 2026, 11:10 AM ET
Объем
$36,462Дата окончания
3 нояб. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Jan 28, 2026, 11:10 AM ETКто определяет исход
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NM-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Melanie Stansbury maintains a commanding lead in the NM-01 House race due to the district's consistent Democratic lean, reflected in its D+5 to D+11 partisan voting index and the incumbent's 56.4% victory in 2024. As the sitting representative since 2021, Stansbury secured unopposed renomination in the June 2026 primary while facing Republican pharmacist Didi Okpareke, who also ran unopposed. Fundraising disparities further reinforce the positioning, with Stansbury reporting over $1.3 million raised compared to Okpareke's roughly $100,000 as of mid-2026. Nonpartisan forecasters rate the contest Solid or Safe Democratic. Trader consensus at 93.5% for Stansbury aligns with these fundamentals, though late developments such as a significant scandal, health event, or unanticipated national partisan swing could still alter the outcome before the November 3 general election.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NM-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Объем
$36,462Дата окончания
3 нояб. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Jan 28, 2026, 11:10 AM ETКто определяет исход
0x2F5e3684c...Melanie Stansbury maintains a commanding lead in the NM-01 House race due to the district's consistent Democratic lean, reflected in its D+5 to D+11 partisan voting index and the incumbent's 56.4% victory in 2024. As the sitting representative since 2021, Stansbury secured unopposed renomination in the June 2026 primary while facing Republican pharmacist Didi Okpareke, who also ran unopposed. Fundraising disparities further reinforce the positioning, with Stansbury reporting over $1.3 million raised compared to Okpareke's roughly $100,000 as of mid-2026. Nonpartisan forecasters rate the contest Solid or Safe Democratic. Trader consensus at 93.5% for Stansbury aligns with these fundamentals, though late developments such as a significant scandal, health event, or unanticipated national partisan swing could still alter the outcome before the November 3 general election.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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