Arthur Henrique (PL) holds a commanding lead in trader consensus for the October 4, 2026, Roraima gubernatorial election, reflecting his 60.87% victory in the June special election for the caretaker term, strong name recognition from two terms as Boa Vista mayor, and a recent Quaest poll showing him near 60% against Soldado Sampaio. His candidacy for the full term beginning in 2027 cleared registration hurdles after proper resignation timing, backed by PL party infrastructure and alliances. Sampaio, the current interim governor from Republicanos, trails significantly in both polling and market pricing. Late shifts could arise from court developments on eligibility precedents, turnout patterns in the small electorate, or unexpected consolidation among the remaining candidates including Farah Mesquita and Rosi Aires.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоАртур Энрике 94%
Солдадо Сампайо 3.0%
Фара Мескита 1.9%
Клэбио Генуину 1.1%
НОВОЕ
НОВОЕ
4 окт. 2026 г.
Артур Энрике
94%
Солдадо Сампайо
3%
Фара Мескита
2%
Клэбио Генуину
1%
Рози Айрес
1%
Артур Энрике 94%
Солдадо Сампайо 3.0%
Фара Мескита 1.9%
Клэбио Генуину 1.1%
НОВОЕ
НОВОЕ
4 окт. 2026 г.
Артур Энрике
$4,794 Объем
94%
Солдадо Сампайо
$183 Объем
3%
Фара Мескита
$153 Объем
2%
Клэбио Генуину
$287 Объем
1%
Рози Айрес
$222 Объем
1%
The Roraima gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).Arthur Henrique (PL) holds a commanding lead in trader consensus for the October 4, 2026, Roraima gubernatorial election, reflecting his 60.87% victory in the June special election for the caretaker term, strong name recognition from two terms as Boa Vista mayor, and a recent Quaest poll showing him near 60% against Soldado Sampaio. His candidacy for the full term beginning in 2027 cleared registration hurdles after proper resignation timing, backed by PL party infrastructure and alliances. Sampaio, the current interim governor from Republicanos, trails significantly in both polling and market pricing. Late shifts could arise from court developments on eligibility precedents, turnout patterns in the small electorate, or unexpected consolidation among the remaining candidates including Farah Mesquita and Rosi Aires.
The Roraima gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Открытие рынка: Aug 17, 2026, 5:38 AM ET
Объем
$5,639Дата окончания
4 окт. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Aug 17, 2026, 5:38 AM ETКто определяет исход
0x69c47De9D...The Roraima gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).Arthur Henrique (PL) holds a commanding lead in trader consensus for the October 4, 2026, Roraima gubernatorial election, reflecting his 60.87% victory in the June special election for the caretaker term, strong name recognition from two terms as Boa Vista mayor, and a recent Quaest poll showing him near 60% against Soldado Sampaio. His candidacy for the full term beginning in 2027 cleared registration hurdles after proper resignation timing, backed by PL party infrastructure and alliances. Sampaio, the current interim governor from Republicanos, trails significantly in both polling and market pricing. Late shifts could arise from court developments on eligibility precedents, turnout patterns in the small electorate, or unexpected consolidation among the remaining candidates including Farah Mesquita and Rosi Aires.
The Roraima gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Объем
$5,639Дата окончания
4 окт. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Aug 17, 2026, 5:38 AM ETКто определяет исход
0x69c47De9D...Arthur Henrique (PL) holds a commanding lead in trader consensus for the October 4, 2026, Roraima gubernatorial election, reflecting his 60.87% victory in the June special election for the caretaker term, strong name recognition from two terms as Boa Vista mayor, and a recent Quaest poll showing him near 60% against Soldado Sampaio. His candidacy for the full term beginning in 2027 cleared registration hurdles after proper resignation timing, backed by PL party infrastructure and alliances. Sampaio, the current interim governor from Republicanos, trails significantly in both polling and market pricing. Late shifts could arise from court developments on eligibility precedents, turnout patterns in the small electorate, or unexpected consolidation among the remaining candidates including Farah Mesquita and Rosi Aires.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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