Tom Sell secured the Republican nomination for Texas’s 19th Congressional District after a decisive May 2026 runoff victory, positioning him as the clear frontrunner in a seat vacated by retiring incumbent Jodey Arrington. The sprawling West Texas district has delivered consistent Republican margins exceeding 45 points in recent cycles, reinforced by Sell’s substantial fundraising edge exceeding $2 million against Kyle Rable’s limited resources. Primary endorsements from House Republican leaders and business organizations further consolidated party support ahead of the November general election. Trader consensus at these levels reflects the district’s structural partisan composition and the absence of competitive polling or late-cycle shifts. Only a major unforeseen development, such as a candidate withdrawal or significant scandal, would realistically alter the outcome before Election Day.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоTX-19 Победитель выборов в Палату представителей
TX-19 Победитель выборов в Палату представителей
$25,027 Объем
$25,027 Объем
2 нояб. 2026 г.
Том Селл (Р)
95%
Кайл Рейбл (Д)
5%
$25,027 Объем
$25,027 Объем
2 нояб. 2026 г.
Том Селл (Р)
$2,921 Объем
95%
Кайл Рейбл (Д)
$22,106 Объем
5%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-19 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Tom Sell secured the Republican nomination for Texas’s 19th Congressional District after a decisive May 2026 runoff victory, positioning him as the clear frontrunner in a seat vacated by retiring incumbent Jodey Arrington. The sprawling West Texas district has delivered consistent Republican margins exceeding 45 points in recent cycles, reinforced by Sell’s substantial fundraising edge exceeding $2 million against Kyle Rable’s limited resources. Primary endorsements from House Republican leaders and business organizations further consolidated party support ahead of the November general election. Trader consensus at these levels reflects the district’s structural partisan composition and the absence of competitive polling or late-cycle shifts. Only a major unforeseen development, such as a candidate withdrawal or significant scandal, would realistically alter the outcome before Election Day.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-19 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Открытие рынка: Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ET
Объем
$25,027Дата окончания
3 нояб. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ETКто определяет исход
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-19 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Tom Sell secured the Republican nomination for Texas’s 19th Congressional District after a decisive May 2026 runoff victory, positioning him as the clear frontrunner in a seat vacated by retiring incumbent Jodey Arrington. The sprawling West Texas district has delivered consistent Republican margins exceeding 45 points in recent cycles, reinforced by Sell’s substantial fundraising edge exceeding $2 million against Kyle Rable’s limited resources. Primary endorsements from House Republican leaders and business organizations further consolidated party support ahead of the November general election. Trader consensus at these levels reflects the district’s structural partisan composition and the absence of competitive polling or late-cycle shifts. Only a major unforeseen development, such as a candidate withdrawal or significant scandal, would realistically alter the outcome before Election Day.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-19 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Объем
$25,027Дата окончания
3 нояб. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ETКто определяет исход
0x2F5e3684c...Tom Sell secured the Republican nomination for Texas’s 19th Congressional District after a decisive May 2026 runoff victory, positioning him as the clear frontrunner in a seat vacated by retiring incumbent Jodey Arrington. The sprawling West Texas district has delivered consistent Republican margins exceeding 45 points in recent cycles, reinforced by Sell’s substantial fundraising edge exceeding $2 million against Kyle Rable’s limited resources. Primary endorsements from House Republican leaders and business organizations further consolidated party support ahead of the November general election. Trader consensus at these levels reflects the district’s structural partisan composition and the absence of competitive polling or late-cycle shifts. Only a major unforeseen development, such as a candidate withdrawal or significant scandal, would realistically alter the outcome before Election Day.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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