Incumbent Republican Darin LaHood holds a commanding lead in the Illinois 16th congressional district race due to the seat’s R+11 partisan voting index and his established incumbency in a rural northern Illinois district. LaHood secured the Republican nomination without primary opposition in March 2026 after winning reelection unopposed in 2024, while Democrat Paul Nolley advanced as the sole Democratic nominee. Forecasters consistently rate the contest Solid or Safe Republican, reflecting LaHood’s fundraising edge and the absence of major local shifts. Trader consensus aligns with these structural factors ahead of the November 3, 2026 general election. A Democratic victory would likely require an unusually strong national midterm environment, late-cycle developments such as a significant scandal or health event, or exceptionally high turnout that overcomes the district’s baseline partisan lean.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วIL-16 House Election Winner
IL-16 House Election Winner
$38,710 ปริมาณ
$38,710 ปริมาณ
Nov 2, 2026
Darin LaHood (R)
94%
Paul Nolley (D)
7%
$38,710 ปริมาณ
$38,710 ปริมาณ
Nov 2, 2026
Darin LaHood (R)
$15,407 ปริมาณ
94%
Paul Nolley (D)
$23,303 ปริมาณ
7%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the IL-16 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Republican Darin LaHood holds a commanding lead in the Illinois 16th congressional district race due to the seat’s R+11 partisan voting index and his established incumbency in a rural northern Illinois district. LaHood secured the Republican nomination without primary opposition in March 2026 after winning reelection unopposed in 2024, while Democrat Paul Nolley advanced as the sole Democratic nominee. Forecasters consistently rate the contest Solid or Safe Republican, reflecting LaHood’s fundraising edge and the absence of major local shifts. Trader consensus aligns with these structural factors ahead of the November 3, 2026 general election. A Democratic victory would likely require an unusually strong national midterm environment, late-cycle developments such as a significant scandal or health event, or exceptionally high turnout that overcomes the district’s baseline partisan lean.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the IL-16 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$38,710วันสิ้นสุด
Nov 3, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETผู้ตัดสินผล
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the IL-16 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Republican Darin LaHood holds a commanding lead in the Illinois 16th congressional district race due to the seat’s R+11 partisan voting index and his established incumbency in a rural northern Illinois district. LaHood secured the Republican nomination without primary opposition in March 2026 after winning reelection unopposed in 2024, while Democrat Paul Nolley advanced as the sole Democratic nominee. Forecasters consistently rate the contest Solid or Safe Republican, reflecting LaHood’s fundraising edge and the absence of major local shifts. Trader consensus aligns with these structural factors ahead of the November 3, 2026 general election. A Democratic victory would likely require an unusually strong national midterm environment, late-cycle developments such as a significant scandal or health event, or exceptionally high turnout that overcomes the district’s baseline partisan lean.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the IL-16 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$38,710วันสิ้นสุด
Nov 3, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETผู้ตัดสินผล
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Republican Darin LaHood holds a commanding lead in the Illinois 16th congressional district race due to the seat’s R+11 partisan voting index and his established incumbency in a rural northern Illinois district. LaHood secured the Republican nomination without primary opposition in March 2026 after winning reelection unopposed in 2024, while Democrat Paul Nolley advanced as the sole Democratic nominee. Forecasters consistently rate the contest Solid or Safe Republican, reflecting LaHood’s fundraising edge and the absence of major local shifts. Trader consensus aligns with these structural factors ahead of the November 3, 2026 general election. A Democratic victory would likely require an unusually strong national midterm environment, late-cycle developments such as a significant scandal or health event, or exceptionally high turnout that overcomes the district’s baseline partisan lean.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
ระวังลิงก์ภายนอก
ระวังลิงก์ภายนอก
คำถามที่พบบ่อย