Incumbent Jim Baird holds a commanding lead in Indiana's 4th Congressional District, reflecting the seat's consistent Republican performance and his established position. Baird secured the GOP nomination in the May 2026 primary with over 60 percent of the vote and benefits from strong fundraising and endorsements aligned with the district's west-central Indiana electorate. Forecasters rate the race Safe or Solid Republican, consistent with Baird's prior victories exceeding 60 percent. Drew Cox, the Democratic nominee following a fragmented primary, faces structural headwinds in a district that has favored Republicans in recent cycles. Late developments such as major scandals, health events, or significant national political shifts could narrow the margin, though current conditions show limited volatility heading into the November 3 general election.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วIN-04 House Election Winner
IN-04 House Election Winner
$12,564 ปริมาณ
$12,564 ปริมาณ
Nov 2, 2026
Jim Baird (R)
94%
Drew Cox (D)
6%
$12,564 ปริมาณ
$12,564 ปริมาณ
Nov 2, 2026
Jim Baird (R)
$9,248 ปริมาณ
94%
Drew Cox (D)
$3,316 ปริมาณ
6%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the IN-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Jim Baird holds a commanding lead in Indiana's 4th Congressional District, reflecting the seat's consistent Republican performance and his established position. Baird secured the GOP nomination in the May 2026 primary with over 60 percent of the vote and benefits from strong fundraising and endorsements aligned with the district's west-central Indiana electorate. Forecasters rate the race Safe or Solid Republican, consistent with Baird's prior victories exceeding 60 percent. Drew Cox, the Democratic nominee following a fragmented primary, faces structural headwinds in a district that has favored Republicans in recent cycles. Late developments such as major scandals, health events, or significant national political shifts could narrow the margin, though current conditions show limited volatility heading into the November 3 general election.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the IN-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$12,564วันสิ้นสุด
Nov 3, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETผู้ตัดสินผล
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the IN-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Jim Baird holds a commanding lead in Indiana's 4th Congressional District, reflecting the seat's consistent Republican performance and his established position. Baird secured the GOP nomination in the May 2026 primary with over 60 percent of the vote and benefits from strong fundraising and endorsements aligned with the district's west-central Indiana electorate. Forecasters rate the race Safe or Solid Republican, consistent with Baird's prior victories exceeding 60 percent. Drew Cox, the Democratic nominee following a fragmented primary, faces structural headwinds in a district that has favored Republicans in recent cycles. Late developments such as major scandals, health events, or significant national political shifts could narrow the margin, though current conditions show limited volatility heading into the November 3 general election.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the IN-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$12,564วันสิ้นสุด
Nov 3, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETผู้ตัดสินผล
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Jim Baird holds a commanding lead in Indiana's 4th Congressional District, reflecting the seat's consistent Republican performance and his established position. Baird secured the GOP nomination in the May 2026 primary with over 60 percent of the vote and benefits from strong fundraising and endorsements aligned with the district's west-central Indiana electorate. Forecasters rate the race Safe or Solid Republican, consistent with Baird's prior victories exceeding 60 percent. Drew Cox, the Democratic nominee following a fragmented primary, faces structural headwinds in a district that has favored Republicans in recent cycles. Late developments such as major scandals, health events, or significant national political shifts could narrow the margin, though current conditions show limited volatility heading into the November 3 general election.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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