Incumbent Republican John Moolenaar holds a commanding position in Michigan’s 2nd Congressional District heading into the November 3, 2026, general election, with trader consensus reflecting the seat’s consistent Republican lean. The district, which spans much of western and northern Michigan, carries a strong partisan advantage that has produced double-digit Republican margins in recent cycles, including Moolenaar’s 2024 victory. He advanced unopposed through the August 4 Republican primary, while Democrat Ben Ambrose emerged from a competitive primary to face him. Nonpartisan race ratings classify the contest as Safe or Solid Republican, underscoring limited path-to-victory factors for the challenger. A national political wave of unusual scale, late-breaking scandal, or unforeseen turnout surge would be required to alter the outcome.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วMI-02 House Election Winner
MI-02 House Election Winner
$53,874 ปริมาณ
$53,874 ปริมาณ
Nov 2, 2026
John Moolenaar (R)
98%
Ben Ambrose (D)
1%
$53,874 ปริมาณ
$53,874 ปริมาณ
Nov 2, 2026
John Moolenaar (R)
$22,752 ปริมาณ
98%
Ben Ambrose (D)
$31,122 ปริมาณ
1%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MI-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Republican John Moolenaar holds a commanding position in Michigan’s 2nd Congressional District heading into the November 3, 2026, general election, with trader consensus reflecting the seat’s consistent Republican lean. The district, which spans much of western and northern Michigan, carries a strong partisan advantage that has produced double-digit Republican margins in recent cycles, including Moolenaar’s 2024 victory. He advanced unopposed through the August 4 Republican primary, while Democrat Ben Ambrose emerged from a competitive primary to face him. Nonpartisan race ratings classify the contest as Safe or Solid Republican, underscoring limited path-to-victory factors for the challenger. A national political wave of unusual scale, late-breaking scandal, or unforeseen turnout surge would be required to alter the outcome.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MI-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$53,874วันสิ้นสุด
Nov 3, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETผู้ตัดสินผล
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MI-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Republican John Moolenaar holds a commanding position in Michigan’s 2nd Congressional District heading into the November 3, 2026, general election, with trader consensus reflecting the seat’s consistent Republican lean. The district, which spans much of western and northern Michigan, carries a strong partisan advantage that has produced double-digit Republican margins in recent cycles, including Moolenaar’s 2024 victory. He advanced unopposed through the August 4 Republican primary, while Democrat Ben Ambrose emerged from a competitive primary to face him. Nonpartisan race ratings classify the contest as Safe or Solid Republican, underscoring limited path-to-victory factors for the challenger. A national political wave of unusual scale, late-breaking scandal, or unforeseen turnout surge would be required to alter the outcome.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MI-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$53,874วันสิ้นสุด
Nov 3, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETผู้ตัดสินผล
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Republican John Moolenaar holds a commanding position in Michigan’s 2nd Congressional District heading into the November 3, 2026, general election, with trader consensus reflecting the seat’s consistent Republican lean. The district, which spans much of western and northern Michigan, carries a strong partisan advantage that has produced double-digit Republican margins in recent cycles, including Moolenaar’s 2024 victory. He advanced unopposed through the August 4 Republican primary, while Democrat Ben Ambrose emerged from a competitive primary to face him. Nonpartisan race ratings classify the contest as Safe or Solid Republican, underscoring limited path-to-victory factors for the challenger. A national political wave of unusual scale, late-breaking scandal, or unforeseen turnout surge would be required to alter the outcome.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
ระวังลิงก์ภายนอก
ระวังลิงก์ภายนอก
คำถามที่พบบ่อย