Incumbent Kelly Morrison holds a commanding position in Minnesota's 3rd Congressional District due to the seat's consistent Democratic lean, reflected in its D+11 partisan voting index and her 2024 victory margin of over 16 points. Multiple nonpartisan forecasters rate the race Solid or Safe Democratic ahead of the November 3, 2026, general election. Morrison secured the Democratic nomination without opposition in the August primary, while Republican nominee Tyler Bass, a business owner, prevailed in a competitive primary but faces structural headwinds in a district where Republicans have not won since 2016. Trader consensus pricing these factors at 94.5% for Morrison aligns with the absence of recent polling shifts or major campaign developments that would alter the outlook. Late-breaking national trends, candidate health events, or unusually low turnout could still influence the final result.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วMN-03 House Election Winner
MN-03 House Election Winner
$21,966 ปริมาณ
$21,966 ปริมาณ
Nov 2, 2026
Kelly Morrison (D)
95%
Tyler Bass (R)
6%
$21,966 ปริมาณ
$21,966 ปริมาณ
Nov 2, 2026
Kelly Morrison (D)
$12,428 ปริมาณ
95%
Tyler Bass (R)
$9,538 ปริมาณ
6%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MN-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Kelly Morrison holds a commanding position in Minnesota's 3rd Congressional District due to the seat's consistent Democratic lean, reflected in its D+11 partisan voting index and her 2024 victory margin of over 16 points. Multiple nonpartisan forecasters rate the race Solid or Safe Democratic ahead of the November 3, 2026, general election. Morrison secured the Democratic nomination without opposition in the August primary, while Republican nominee Tyler Bass, a business owner, prevailed in a competitive primary but faces structural headwinds in a district where Republicans have not won since 2016. Trader consensus pricing these factors at 94.5% for Morrison aligns with the absence of recent polling shifts or major campaign developments that would alter the outlook. Late-breaking national trends, candidate health events, or unusually low turnout could still influence the final result.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MN-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$21,966วันสิ้นสุด
Nov 3, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETผู้ตัดสินผล
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MN-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Kelly Morrison holds a commanding position in Minnesota's 3rd Congressional District due to the seat's consistent Democratic lean, reflected in its D+11 partisan voting index and her 2024 victory margin of over 16 points. Multiple nonpartisan forecasters rate the race Solid or Safe Democratic ahead of the November 3, 2026, general election. Morrison secured the Democratic nomination without opposition in the August primary, while Republican nominee Tyler Bass, a business owner, prevailed in a competitive primary but faces structural headwinds in a district where Republicans have not won since 2016. Trader consensus pricing these factors at 94.5% for Morrison aligns with the absence of recent polling shifts or major campaign developments that would alter the outlook. Late-breaking national trends, candidate health events, or unusually low turnout could still influence the final result.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MN-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$21,966วันสิ้นสุด
Nov 3, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETผู้ตัดสินผล
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Kelly Morrison holds a commanding position in Minnesota's 3rd Congressional District due to the seat's consistent Democratic lean, reflected in its D+11 partisan voting index and her 2024 victory margin of over 16 points. Multiple nonpartisan forecasters rate the race Solid or Safe Democratic ahead of the November 3, 2026, general election. Morrison secured the Democratic nomination without opposition in the August primary, while Republican nominee Tyler Bass, a business owner, prevailed in a competitive primary but faces structural headwinds in a district where Republicans have not won since 2016. Trader consensus pricing these factors at 94.5% for Morrison aligns with the absence of recent polling shifts or major campaign developments that would alter the outlook. Late-breaking national trends, candidate health events, or unusually low turnout could still influence the final result.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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