Ilhan Omar holds a commanding position in Minnesota's 5th congressional district due to its consistent strong Democratic performance, including large margins in recent cycles and a 2024 presidential result exceeding 60 points for the Democratic nominee. As the incumbent seeking a fifth term, Omar secured her party's nomination in the August 11 primary with roughly 81 percent of the vote against several challengers. Republican nominee John Nagel advanced from his primary but faces structural barriers in the Minneapolis-centered district, which features high Democratic turnout and limited crossover support. Recent ethics scrutiny and partisan allegations have surfaced but have not shifted the race ratings from outlets such as Cook Political Report and Sabato's Crystal Ball, which classify it as Solid or Safe Democratic. An independent candidate appears on the November 3 ballot, though historical patterns indicate minimal impact on the outcome. Trader consensus reflects these fundamentals, with late developments like health events or major scandals representing the narrow paths to altering the result.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วMN-05 House Election Winner
MN-05 House Election Winner
$49,097 ปริมาณ
$49,097 ปริมาณ
Nov 2, 2026
Ilhan Omar (D)
98%
John Nagel (R)
1%
$49,097 ปริมาณ
$49,097 ปริมาณ
Nov 2, 2026
Ilhan Omar (D)
$18,221 ปริมาณ
98%
John Nagel (R)
$30,876 ปริมาณ
1%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MN-05 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Ilhan Omar holds a commanding position in Minnesota's 5th congressional district due to its consistent strong Democratic performance, including large margins in recent cycles and a 2024 presidential result exceeding 60 points for the Democratic nominee. As the incumbent seeking a fifth term, Omar secured her party's nomination in the August 11 primary with roughly 81 percent of the vote against several challengers. Republican nominee John Nagel advanced from his primary but faces structural barriers in the Minneapolis-centered district, which features high Democratic turnout and limited crossover support. Recent ethics scrutiny and partisan allegations have surfaced but have not shifted the race ratings from outlets such as Cook Political Report and Sabato's Crystal Ball, which classify it as Solid or Safe Democratic. An independent candidate appears on the November 3 ballot, though historical patterns indicate minimal impact on the outcome. Trader consensus reflects these fundamentals, with late developments like health events or major scandals representing the narrow paths to altering the result.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MN-05 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$49,097วันสิ้นสุด
Nov 3, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETผู้ตัดสินผล
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MN-05 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Ilhan Omar holds a commanding position in Minnesota's 5th congressional district due to its consistent strong Democratic performance, including large margins in recent cycles and a 2024 presidential result exceeding 60 points for the Democratic nominee. As the incumbent seeking a fifth term, Omar secured her party's nomination in the August 11 primary with roughly 81 percent of the vote against several challengers. Republican nominee John Nagel advanced from his primary but faces structural barriers in the Minneapolis-centered district, which features high Democratic turnout and limited crossover support. Recent ethics scrutiny and partisan allegations have surfaced but have not shifted the race ratings from outlets such as Cook Political Report and Sabato's Crystal Ball, which classify it as Solid or Safe Democratic. An independent candidate appears on the November 3 ballot, though historical patterns indicate minimal impact on the outcome. Trader consensus reflects these fundamentals, with late developments like health events or major scandals representing the narrow paths to altering the result.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MN-05 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$49,097วันสิ้นสุด
Nov 3, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETผู้ตัดสินผล
0x2F5e3684c...Ilhan Omar holds a commanding position in Minnesota's 5th congressional district due to its consistent strong Democratic performance, including large margins in recent cycles and a 2024 presidential result exceeding 60 points for the Democratic nominee. As the incumbent seeking a fifth term, Omar secured her party's nomination in the August 11 primary with roughly 81 percent of the vote against several challengers. Republican nominee John Nagel advanced from his primary but faces structural barriers in the Minneapolis-centered district, which features high Democratic turnout and limited crossover support. Recent ethics scrutiny and partisan allegations have surfaced but have not shifted the race ratings from outlets such as Cook Political Report and Sabato's Crystal Ball, which classify it as Solid or Safe Democratic. An independent candidate appears on the November 3 ballot, though historical patterns indicate minimal impact on the outcome. Trader consensus reflects these fundamentals, with late developments like health events or major scandals representing the narrow paths to altering the result.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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