Incumbent Mike Ezell holds a commanding position in the Mississippi 4th congressional district race due to the area's strong Republican lean, reflected in its partisan voting index and consistent electoral history. Ezell secured his party's nomination with over 84 percent in the March 2026 primary and benefits from incumbency, substantial fundraising, and endorsements in a district encompassing the Gulf Coast and areas like Hattiesburg. Democratic nominee Jeffrey Hulum III advanced from a competitive primary but faces structural barriers, including limited campaign resources and the district's voting patterns. Forecasters rate the contest as safe or solid Republican. Late developments such as scandals, significant health events for the incumbent, or unexpected national political shifts could still influence the November 3, 2026, outcome, though trader consensus currently assigns minimal probability to an upset.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วMS-04 House Election Winner
MS-04 House Election Winner
$40,255 ปริมาณ
$40,255 ปริมาณ
Nov 2, 2026
Mike Ezell (R)
97%
Jeffrey Hulum III (D)
3%
$40,255 ปริมาณ
$40,255 ปริมาณ
Nov 2, 2026
Mike Ezell (R)
$25,175 ปริมาณ
97%
Jeffrey Hulum III (D)
$15,080 ปริมาณ
3%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MS-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Mike Ezell holds a commanding position in the Mississippi 4th congressional district race due to the area's strong Republican lean, reflected in its partisan voting index and consistent electoral history. Ezell secured his party's nomination with over 84 percent in the March 2026 primary and benefits from incumbency, substantial fundraising, and endorsements in a district encompassing the Gulf Coast and areas like Hattiesburg. Democratic nominee Jeffrey Hulum III advanced from a competitive primary but faces structural barriers, including limited campaign resources and the district's voting patterns. Forecasters rate the contest as safe or solid Republican. Late developments such as scandals, significant health events for the incumbent, or unexpected national political shifts could still influence the November 3, 2026, outcome, though trader consensus currently assigns minimal probability to an upset.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MS-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Jan 28, 2026, 11:10 AM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$40,255วันสิ้นสุด
Nov 3, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Jan 28, 2026, 11:10 AM ETผู้ตัดสินผล
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MS-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Mike Ezell holds a commanding position in the Mississippi 4th congressional district race due to the area's strong Republican lean, reflected in its partisan voting index and consistent electoral history. Ezell secured his party's nomination with over 84 percent in the March 2026 primary and benefits from incumbency, substantial fundraising, and endorsements in a district encompassing the Gulf Coast and areas like Hattiesburg. Democratic nominee Jeffrey Hulum III advanced from a competitive primary but faces structural barriers, including limited campaign resources and the district's voting patterns. Forecasters rate the contest as safe or solid Republican. Late developments such as scandals, significant health events for the incumbent, or unexpected national political shifts could still influence the November 3, 2026, outcome, though trader consensus currently assigns minimal probability to an upset.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MS-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$40,255วันสิ้นสุด
Nov 3, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Jan 28, 2026, 11:10 AM ETผู้ตัดสินผล
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Mike Ezell holds a commanding position in the Mississippi 4th congressional district race due to the area's strong Republican lean, reflected in its partisan voting index and consistent electoral history. Ezell secured his party's nomination with over 84 percent in the March 2026 primary and benefits from incumbency, substantial fundraising, and endorsements in a district encompassing the Gulf Coast and areas like Hattiesburg. Democratic nominee Jeffrey Hulum III advanced from a competitive primary but faces structural barriers, including limited campaign resources and the district's voting patterns. Forecasters rate the contest as safe or solid Republican. Late developments such as scandals, significant health events for the incumbent, or unexpected national political shifts could still influence the November 3, 2026, outcome, though trader consensus currently assigns minimal probability to an upset.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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