The district's entrenched Republican tilt, with a substantial voter registration edge and no Democratic winner in its history, underpins trader consensus favoring David Flippo. His June primary victory as the Trump-endorsed nominee over the establishment-backed James Settelmeyer, following incumbent Mark Amodei's retirement, reinforced positioning in a safely conservative seat spanning Reno, Carson City, and rural northern Nevada. Teresa Benitez-Thompson secured the Democratic nod with state legislative experience, but faces structural barriers despite targeted fundraising and DCCC attention. Recent polling shows a competitive race in spots, yet forecasters rate it Likely or Solid Republican, aligning with market pricing. The November general election remains the resolution trigger amid ongoing campaign dynamics.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วNV-02 House Election Winner
NV-02 House Election Winner
$30,883 ปริมาณ
$30,883 ปริมาณ
Nov 2, 2026
David Flippo (R)
75%
Teresa Benitez-Thompson (D)
24%
$30,883 ปริมาณ
$30,883 ปริมาณ
Nov 2, 2026
David Flippo (R)
$16,074 ปริมาณ
75%
Teresa Benitez-Thompson (D)
$14,809 ปริมาณ
24%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NV-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).The district's entrenched Republican tilt, with a substantial voter registration edge and no Democratic winner in its history, underpins trader consensus favoring David Flippo. His June primary victory as the Trump-endorsed nominee over the establishment-backed James Settelmeyer, following incumbent Mark Amodei's retirement, reinforced positioning in a safely conservative seat spanning Reno, Carson City, and rural northern Nevada. Teresa Benitez-Thompson secured the Democratic nod with state legislative experience, but faces structural barriers despite targeted fundraising and DCCC attention. Recent polling shows a competitive race in spots, yet forecasters rate it Likely or Solid Republican, aligning with market pricing. The November general election remains the resolution trigger amid ongoing campaign dynamics.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NV-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Jan 28, 2026, 11:10 AM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$30,883วันสิ้นสุด
Nov 3, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Jan 28, 2026, 11:10 AM ETผู้ตัดสินผล
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NV-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).The district's entrenched Republican tilt, with a substantial voter registration edge and no Democratic winner in its history, underpins trader consensus favoring David Flippo. His June primary victory as the Trump-endorsed nominee over the establishment-backed James Settelmeyer, following incumbent Mark Amodei's retirement, reinforced positioning in a safely conservative seat spanning Reno, Carson City, and rural northern Nevada. Teresa Benitez-Thompson secured the Democratic nod with state legislative experience, but faces structural barriers despite targeted fundraising and DCCC attention. Recent polling shows a competitive race in spots, yet forecasters rate it Likely or Solid Republican, aligning with market pricing. The November general election remains the resolution trigger amid ongoing campaign dynamics.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NV-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$30,883วันสิ้นสุด
Nov 3, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Jan 28, 2026, 11:10 AM ETผู้ตัดสินผล
0x2F5e3684c...The district's entrenched Republican tilt, with a substantial voter registration edge and no Democratic winner in its history, underpins trader consensus favoring David Flippo. His June primary victory as the Trump-endorsed nominee over the establishment-backed James Settelmeyer, following incumbent Mark Amodei's retirement, reinforced positioning in a safely conservative seat spanning Reno, Carson City, and rural northern Nevada. Teresa Benitez-Thompson secured the Democratic nod with state legislative experience, but faces structural barriers despite targeted fundraising and DCCC attention. Recent polling shows a competitive race in spots, yet forecasters rate it Likely or Solid Republican, aligning with market pricing. The November general election remains the resolution trigger amid ongoing campaign dynamics.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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