Cait Conley’s decisive June 2026 Democratic primary victory has positioned her as the stronger general-election contender in traders’ assessments for New York’s 17th Congressional District. As a West Point graduate, combat veteran with multiple deployments, and former National Security Council official, Conley brings a service-oriented profile that aligns with the district’s demographics, including substantial numbers of veterans and service members. The seat, rated a toss-up by Cook Political Report and viewed as one of the most competitive House races, favored Kamala Harris in 2024 and holds a Democratic registration edge of roughly 80,000 voters. Incumbent Republican Mike Lawler, who won narrow victories in 2022 and 2024, faces a rematch dynamic in a swing Hudson Valley district where national midterm dynamics and local turnout could determine the outcome.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วNY-17 House Election Winner
NY-17 House Election Winner
$14,767 ปริมาณ
$14,767 ปริมาณ
Nov 3, 2026
Cait Conley (D)
61%
Mike Lawler (R)
39%
$14,767 ปริมาณ
$14,767 ปริมาณ
Nov 3, 2026
Cait Conley (D)
$6,165 ปริมาณ
61%
Mike Lawler (R)
$8,602 ปริมาณ
39%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-17 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Cait Conley’s decisive June 2026 Democratic primary victory has positioned her as the stronger general-election contender in traders’ assessments for New York’s 17th Congressional District. As a West Point graduate, combat veteran with multiple deployments, and former National Security Council official, Conley brings a service-oriented profile that aligns with the district’s demographics, including substantial numbers of veterans and service members. The seat, rated a toss-up by Cook Political Report and viewed as one of the most competitive House races, favored Kamala Harris in 2024 and holds a Democratic registration edge of roughly 80,000 voters. Incumbent Republican Mike Lawler, who won narrow victories in 2022 and 2024, faces a rematch dynamic in a swing Hudson Valley district where national midterm dynamics and local turnout could determine the outcome.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-17 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Dec 16, 2025, 12:27 PM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$14,767วันสิ้นสุด
Nov 4, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Dec 16, 2025, 12:27 PM ETผู้ตัดสินผล
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-17 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Cait Conley’s decisive June 2026 Democratic primary victory has positioned her as the stronger general-election contender in traders’ assessments for New York’s 17th Congressional District. As a West Point graduate, combat veteran with multiple deployments, and former National Security Council official, Conley brings a service-oriented profile that aligns with the district’s demographics, including substantial numbers of veterans and service members. The seat, rated a toss-up by Cook Political Report and viewed as one of the most competitive House races, favored Kamala Harris in 2024 and holds a Democratic registration edge of roughly 80,000 voters. Incumbent Republican Mike Lawler, who won narrow victories in 2022 and 2024, faces a rematch dynamic in a swing Hudson Valley district where national midterm dynamics and local turnout could determine the outcome.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-17 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$14,767วันสิ้นสุด
Nov 4, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Dec 16, 2025, 12:27 PM ETผู้ตัดสินผล
0x2F5e3684c...Cait Conley’s decisive June 2026 Democratic primary victory has positioned her as the stronger general-election contender in traders’ assessments for New York’s 17th Congressional District. As a West Point graduate, combat veteran with multiple deployments, and former National Security Council official, Conley brings a service-oriented profile that aligns with the district’s demographics, including substantial numbers of veterans and service members. The seat, rated a toss-up by Cook Political Report and viewed as one of the most competitive House races, favored Kamala Harris in 2024 and holds a Democratic registration edge of roughly 80,000 voters. Incumbent Republican Mike Lawler, who won narrow victories in 2022 and 2024, faces a rematch dynamic in a swing Hudson Valley district where national midterm dynamics and local turnout could determine the outcome.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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