Pat Ryan, the Democratic incumbent seeking a third term in New York’s 18th Congressional District, holds a commanding position in the November 2026 general election due to the seat’s Solid Democratic rating from multiple forecasters, his substantial fundraising edge exceeding $3 million in cash on hand, and polling that showed him leading Republican challenger Jacqueline Auringer by double digits as recently as July 2026. Auringer, a 29-year-old political newcomer and businesswoman, secured her nomination without opposition but trails significantly in resources and name recognition. Recent campaign activity has centered on mutual accusations over donations, competing pledges for issue-focused debates, and scheduled forums ahead of Election Day, yet these have not narrowed the gap in trader assessments. A late-breaking scandal, health event, or unexpected national shift could still alter the outcome, though such developments remain low-probability factors at present.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วNY-18 House Election Winner
NY-18 House Election Winner
$42,868 ปริมาณ
$42,868 ปริมาณ
Nov 3, 2026
Pat Ryan (D)
93%
Jacqueline Auringer (R)
6%
$42,868 ปริมาณ
$42,868 ปริมาณ
Nov 3, 2026
Pat Ryan (D)
$33,491 ปริมาณ
93%
Jacqueline Auringer (R)
$9,377 ปริมาณ
6%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-18 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Pat Ryan, the Democratic incumbent seeking a third term in New York’s 18th Congressional District, holds a commanding position in the November 2026 general election due to the seat’s Solid Democratic rating from multiple forecasters, his substantial fundraising edge exceeding $3 million in cash on hand, and polling that showed him leading Republican challenger Jacqueline Auringer by double digits as recently as July 2026. Auringer, a 29-year-old political newcomer and businesswoman, secured her nomination without opposition but trails significantly in resources and name recognition. Recent campaign activity has centered on mutual accusations over donations, competing pledges for issue-focused debates, and scheduled forums ahead of Election Day, yet these have not narrowed the gap in trader assessments. A late-breaking scandal, health event, or unexpected national shift could still alter the outcome, though such developments remain low-probability factors at present.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-18 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Dec 16, 2025, 12:27 PM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$42,868วันสิ้นสุด
Nov 4, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Dec 16, 2025, 12:27 PM ETผู้ตัดสินผล
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-18 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Pat Ryan, the Democratic incumbent seeking a third term in New York’s 18th Congressional District, holds a commanding position in the November 2026 general election due to the seat’s Solid Democratic rating from multiple forecasters, his substantial fundraising edge exceeding $3 million in cash on hand, and polling that showed him leading Republican challenger Jacqueline Auringer by double digits as recently as July 2026. Auringer, a 29-year-old political newcomer and businesswoman, secured her nomination without opposition but trails significantly in resources and name recognition. Recent campaign activity has centered on mutual accusations over donations, competing pledges for issue-focused debates, and scheduled forums ahead of Election Day, yet these have not narrowed the gap in trader assessments. A late-breaking scandal, health event, or unexpected national shift could still alter the outcome, though such developments remain low-probability factors at present.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-18 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$42,868วันสิ้นสุด
Nov 4, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Dec 16, 2025, 12:27 PM ETผู้ตัดสินผล
0x2F5e3684c...Pat Ryan, the Democratic incumbent seeking a third term in New York’s 18th Congressional District, holds a commanding position in the November 2026 general election due to the seat’s Solid Democratic rating from multiple forecasters, his substantial fundraising edge exceeding $3 million in cash on hand, and polling that showed him leading Republican challenger Jacqueline Auringer by double digits as recently as July 2026. Auringer, a 29-year-old political newcomer and businesswoman, secured her nomination without opposition but trails significantly in resources and name recognition. Recent campaign activity has centered on mutual accusations over donations, competing pledges for issue-focused debates, and scheduled forums ahead of Election Day, yet these have not narrowed the gap in trader assessments. A late-breaking scandal, health event, or unexpected national shift could still alter the outcome, though such developments remain low-probability factors at present.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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