Recent polling from institutes including Datafolha, Quaest, and AtlasIntel shows Cid Gomes (PSB) leading overall intentions for one Senate seat in Ceará, while the second seat remains contested among Luizianne Lins (Rede), Capitão Wagner (União), and lower-polling names such as Alcides Fernandes (PL). Luizianne’s confirmation in the government coalition alongside Cid in early August narrowed options for allied voters and lifted her standing in subsequent surveys. Capitão Wagner maintains competitive support in opposition-leaning segments. With the October 4 first-round vote weeks away and each elector casting two ballots, trader consensus on second-place probabilities reflects these narrow polling margins, coalition alignments, and the potential for late shifts in undecided or split-ticket voting.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-updateCapitão Wagner 35%
Luizianne 34%
Cid Gomes 27%
Alcides Fernandes 4.6%
$36,524 Vol.
$36,524 Vol.
Oct 4, 2026
Capitão Wagner
35%
Luizianne
27%
Cid Gomes
27%
Alcides Fernandes
5%
Lino Alves
1%
Guilherme Theophilo
<1%
Catarina Matos
<1%
Reginaldo
<1%
Capitão Wagner 35%
Luizianne 34%
Cid Gomes 27%
Alcides Fernandes 4.6%
$36,524 Vol.
$36,524 Vol.
Oct 4, 2026
Capitão Wagner
$14,348 Vol.
35%
Luizianne
$11,623 Vol.
27%
Cid Gomes
$4,910 Vol.
27%
Alcides Fernandes
$1,100 Vol.
5%
Lino Alves
$942 Vol.
1%
Guilherme Theophilo
$825 Vol.
<1%
Catarina Matos
$1,541 Vol.
<1%
Reginaldo
$1,234 Vol.
<1%
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Ceará is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).Recent polling from institutes including Datafolha, Quaest, and AtlasIntel shows Cid Gomes (PSB) leading overall intentions for one Senate seat in Ceará, while the second seat remains contested among Luizianne Lins (Rede), Capitão Wagner (União), and lower-polling names such as Alcides Fernandes (PL). Luizianne’s confirmation in the government coalition alongside Cid in early August narrowed options for allied voters and lifted her standing in subsequent surveys. Capitão Wagner maintains competitive support in opposition-leaning segments. With the October 4 first-round vote weeks away and each elector casting two ballots, trader consensus on second-place probabilities reflects these narrow polling margins, coalition alignments, and the potential for late shifts in undecided or split-ticket voting.
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Ceará is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Binuksan ang Market: Aug 17, 2026, 5:56 AM ET
Volume
$36,524Petsa ng Pagtatapos
Oct 4, 2026Binuksan ang Market
Aug 17, 2026, 5:56 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Ceará is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).Recent polling from institutes including Datafolha, Quaest, and AtlasIntel shows Cid Gomes (PSB) leading overall intentions for one Senate seat in Ceará, while the second seat remains contested among Luizianne Lins (Rede), Capitão Wagner (União), and lower-polling names such as Alcides Fernandes (PL). Luizianne’s confirmation in the government coalition alongside Cid in early August narrowed options for allied voters and lifted her standing in subsequent surveys. Capitão Wagner maintains competitive support in opposition-leaning segments. With the October 4 first-round vote weeks away and each elector casting two ballots, trader consensus on second-place probabilities reflects these narrow polling margins, coalition alignments, and the potential for late shifts in undecided or split-ticket voting.
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Ceará is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Volume
$36,524Petsa ng Pagtatapos
Oct 4, 2026Binuksan ang Market
Aug 17, 2026, 5:56 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent polling from institutes including Datafolha, Quaest, and AtlasIntel shows Cid Gomes (PSB) leading overall intentions for one Senate seat in Ceará, while the second seat remains contested among Luizianne Lins (Rede), Capitão Wagner (União), and lower-polling names such as Alcides Fernandes (PL). Luizianne’s confirmation in the government coalition alongside Cid in early August narrowed options for allied voters and lifted her standing in subsequent surveys. Capitão Wagner maintains competitive support in opposition-leaning segments. With the October 4 first-round vote weeks away and each elector casting two ballots, trader consensus on second-place probabilities reflects these narrow polling margins, coalition alignments, and the potential for late shifts in undecided or split-ticket voting.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-update
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