Ami Bera holds a commanding lead in trader consensus for California's 3rd congressional district general election due to the district's redrawn boundaries under Proposition 50, which shifted it toward a roughly 10-point Democratic lean based on 2024 presidential results. As the seven-term incumbent with extensive name recognition, committee roles on foreign affairs and intelligence, and over $1.8 million in cash on hand, Bera advanced comfortably from the June 2026 top-two primary alongside Robb Tucker. Forecasters across outlets rate the seat solid or safe Democratic, reflecting limited Republican viability in the Sacramento-area and foothill counties. Tucker, a Nevada County supervisor, secured the nomination but trails significantly in fundraising and faces structural headwinds. Scenarios that could narrow the gap include major national political shifts or late developments affecting turnout, though the current positioning shows few near-term catalysts for change before the November 3 vote.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоCA-03 House Election Winner
CA-03 House Election Winner
$43,504 Обс.
$43,504 Обс.
Nov 2, 2026
Ami Bera (D)
95%
Robb Tucker (R)
3%
$43,504 Обс.
$43,504 Обс.
Nov 2, 2026
Ami Bera (D)
$25,885 Обс.
95%
Robb Tucker (R)
$17,619 Обс.
3%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Ami Bera holds a commanding lead in trader consensus for California's 3rd congressional district general election due to the district's redrawn boundaries under Proposition 50, which shifted it toward a roughly 10-point Democratic lean based on 2024 presidential results. As the seven-term incumbent with extensive name recognition, committee roles on foreign affairs and intelligence, and over $1.8 million in cash on hand, Bera advanced comfortably from the June 2026 top-two primary alongside Robb Tucker. Forecasters across outlets rate the seat solid or safe Democratic, reflecting limited Republican viability in the Sacramento-area and foothill counties. Tucker, a Nevada County supervisor, secured the nomination but trails significantly in fundraising and faces structural headwinds. Scenarios that could narrow the gap include major national political shifts or late developments affecting turnout, though the current positioning shows few near-term catalysts for change before the November 3 vote.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Ринок відкрито: Jan 27, 2026, 11:54 PM ET
Обсяг
$43,504Дата завершення
Nov 3, 2026Ринок відкрито
Jan 27, 2026, 11:54 PM ETВирішувач
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Ami Bera holds a commanding lead in trader consensus for California's 3rd congressional district general election due to the district's redrawn boundaries under Proposition 50, which shifted it toward a roughly 10-point Democratic lean based on 2024 presidential results. As the seven-term incumbent with extensive name recognition, committee roles on foreign affairs and intelligence, and over $1.8 million in cash on hand, Bera advanced comfortably from the June 2026 top-two primary alongside Robb Tucker. Forecasters across outlets rate the seat solid or safe Democratic, reflecting limited Republican viability in the Sacramento-area and foothill counties. Tucker, a Nevada County supervisor, secured the nomination but trails significantly in fundraising and faces structural headwinds. Scenarios that could narrow the gap include major national political shifts or late developments affecting turnout, though the current positioning shows few near-term catalysts for change before the November 3 vote.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Обсяг
$43,504Дата завершення
Nov 3, 2026Ринок відкрито
Jan 27, 2026, 11:54 PM ETВирішувач
0x2F5e3684c...Ami Bera holds a commanding lead in trader consensus for California's 3rd congressional district general election due to the district's redrawn boundaries under Proposition 50, which shifted it toward a roughly 10-point Democratic lean based on 2024 presidential results. As the seven-term incumbent with extensive name recognition, committee roles on foreign affairs and intelligence, and over $1.8 million in cash on hand, Bera advanced comfortably from the June 2026 top-two primary alongside Robb Tucker. Forecasters across outlets rate the seat solid or safe Democratic, reflecting limited Republican viability in the Sacramento-area and foothill counties. Tucker, a Nevada County supervisor, secured the nomination but trails significantly in fundraising and faces structural headwinds. Scenarios that could narrow the gap include major national political shifts or late developments affecting turnout, though the current positioning shows few near-term catalysts for change before the November 3 vote.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
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