**Persistent cloud cover, high humidity, and widespread thunderstorm activity from the active southwest monsoon are expected to cap maximum temperatures in Lucknow on September 1, 2026, keeping the daily high most likely in the 29–31°C range according to trader-implied probabilities.** Official and model guidance from the India Meteorological Department (IMD) and global sources (including WeatherBug, Met Office, and ECMWF-influenced outputs) point to generally cloudy skies with spells of rain or thundershowers, limiting solar insolation and surface heating. Forecast highs cluster around 29–32°C (roughly 84–90°F), with 70–90% precipitation chances and easterly winds of 5–7 mph further moderating conditions. This aligns with the market’s heaviest weighting on 30°C (39%) and 31°C (27.5%), followed by 29°C (23%), while lower-probability outcomes like 32°C (7%) or below 29°C reflect residual uncertainty in exact rainfall timing and intensity. Recent developments reinforcing these odds include IMD’s late-August assessments of ongoing monsoon activity over Uttar Pradesh, coupled with a broader below-normal September rainfall outlook tied to strengthening El Niño conditions. Historical September averages near 33°C are being tempered by the current synoptic pattern of moisture convergence and cloud decks, which have already produced similar suppressed maxima in late August. Updated model runs and official briefings expected overnight will provide the final adjustments before market resolution, but the consensus favors modest daytime temperatures amid widespread convective activity rather than clear-sky heating.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоHighest temperature in Lucknow on September 1?
Highest temperature in Lucknow on September 1?
30°C 39%
31°C 26%
29°C 22%
32°C 7%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Sep 1, 2026
25°C or below
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
2%
28°C
5%
29°C
22%
30°C
39%
31°C
26%
32°C
7%
33°C
3%
34°C
<1%
35°C or higher
<1%
30°C 39%
31°C 26%
29°C 22%
32°C 7%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Sep 1, 2026
25°C or below
$318 Обс.
<1%
26°C
$322 Обс.
<1%
27°C
$100 Обс.
2%
28°C
$368 Обс.
5%
29°C
$222 Обс.
22%
30°C
$157 Обс.
39%
31°C
$780 Обс.
26%
32°C
$336 Обс.
7%
33°C
$233 Обс.
3%
34°C
$136 Обс.
<1%
35°C or higher
$158 Обс.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=vilk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Persistent cloud cover, high humidity, and widespread thunderstorm activity from the active southwest monsoon are expected to cap maximum temperatures in Lucknow on September 1, 2026, keeping the daily high most likely in the 29–31°C range according to trader-implied probabilities.**
Official and model guidance from the India Meteorological Department (IMD) and global sources (including WeatherBug, Met Office, and ECMWF-influenced outputs) point to generally cloudy skies with spells of rain or thundershowers, limiting solar insolation and surface heating. Forecast highs cluster around 29–32°C (roughly 84–90°F), with 70–90% precipitation chances and easterly winds of 5–7 mph further moderating conditions. This aligns with the market’s heaviest weighting on 30°C (39%) and 31°C (27.5%), followed by 29°C (23%), while lower-probability outcomes like 32°C (7%) or below 29°C reflect residual uncertainty in exact rainfall timing and intensity.
Recent developments reinforcing these odds include IMD’s late-August assessments of ongoing monsoon activity over Uttar Pradesh, coupled with a broader below-normal September rainfall outlook tied to strengthening El Niño conditions. Historical September averages near 33°C are being tempered by the current synoptic pattern of moisture convergence and cloud decks, which have already produced similar suppressed maxima in late August. Updated model runs and official briefings expected overnight will provide the final adjustments before market resolution, but the consensus favors modest daytime temperatures amid widespread convective activity rather than clear-sky heating.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=vilk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=vilk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Ринок відкрито: Aug 30, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
Обсяг
$3,132Дата завершення
Sep 1, 2026Ринок відкрито
Aug 30, 2026, 12:56 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=vilkВирішувач
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=vilk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Persistent cloud cover, high humidity, and widespread thunderstorm activity from the active southwest monsoon are expected to cap maximum temperatures in Lucknow on September 1, 2026, keeping the daily high most likely in the 29–31°C range according to trader-implied probabilities.**
Official and model guidance from the India Meteorological Department (IMD) and global sources (including WeatherBug, Met Office, and ECMWF-influenced outputs) point to generally cloudy skies with spells of rain or thundershowers, limiting solar insolation and surface heating. Forecast highs cluster around 29–32°C (roughly 84–90°F), with 70–90% precipitation chances and easterly winds of 5–7 mph further moderating conditions. This aligns with the market’s heaviest weighting on 30°C (39%) and 31°C (27.5%), followed by 29°C (23%), while lower-probability outcomes like 32°C (7%) or below 29°C reflect residual uncertainty in exact rainfall timing and intensity.
Recent developments reinforcing these odds include IMD’s late-August assessments of ongoing monsoon activity over Uttar Pradesh, coupled with a broader below-normal September rainfall outlook tied to strengthening El Niño conditions. Historical September averages near 33°C are being tempered by the current synoptic pattern of moisture convergence and cloud decks, which have already produced similar suppressed maxima in late August. Updated model runs and official briefings expected overnight will provide the final adjustments before market resolution, but the consensus favors modest daytime temperatures amid widespread convective activity rather than clear-sky heating.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=vilk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=vilk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Обсяг
$3,132Дата завершення
Sep 1, 2026Ринок відкрито
Aug 30, 2026, 12:56 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=vilkВирішувач
0x69c47De9D...**Persistent cloud cover, high humidity, and widespread thunderstorm activity from the active southwest monsoon are expected to cap maximum temperatures in Lucknow on September 1, 2026, keeping the daily high most likely in the 29–31°C range according to trader-implied probabilities.** Official and model guidance from the India Meteorological Department (IMD) and global sources (including WeatherBug, Met Office, and ECMWF-influenced outputs) point to generally cloudy skies with spells of rain or thundershowers, limiting solar insolation and surface heating. Forecast highs cluster around 29–32°C (roughly 84–90°F), with 70–90% precipitation chances and easterly winds of 5–7 mph further moderating conditions. This aligns with the market’s heaviest weighting on 30°C (39%) and 31°C (27.5%), followed by 29°C (23%), while lower-probability outcomes like 32°C (7%) or below 29°C reflect residual uncertainty in exact rainfall timing and intensity. Recent developments reinforcing these odds include IMD’s late-August assessments of ongoing monsoon activity over Uttar Pradesh, coupled with a broader below-normal September rainfall outlook tied to strengthening El Niño conditions. Historical September averages near 33°C are being tempered by the current synoptic pattern of moisture convergence and cloud decks, which have already produced similar suppressed maxima in late August. Updated model runs and official briefings expected overnight will provide the final adjustments before market resolution, but the consensus favors modest daytime temperatures amid widespread convective activity rather than clear-sky heating.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
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