Latest National Weather Service and private model guidance for New York City on September 1 points to a minimum near 70°F, driven by persistent southwesterly flow advecting humid maritime air, widespread cloud cover limiting nocturnal radiative cooling, and an urban heat island that typically adds 2–4°F to overnight lows relative to rural stations. With 50% storm chances and dew points in the low 70s, the overnight temperature drop will be modest, favoring the tightly bunched 70–73°F market outcomes that together exceed 64% implied probability. Minor model spread in timing of any clearing or shower activity creates the close contest between the two leading bins, while historical early-September climatology (average low ~66°F) underscores how current warmth has shifted trader consensus higher.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоLowest temperature in NYC on September 1?
Lowest temperature in NYC on September 1?
72-73°F 35%
70-71°F 29%
74-75°F 16%
68-69°F 9%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Sep 1, 2026
65°F or below
<1%
66-67°F
7%
68-69°F
13%
70-71°F
29%
72-73°F
35%
74-75°F
16%
76-77°F
3%
78-79°F
<1%
80-81°F
<1%
82-83°F
<1%
84°F or higher
<1%
72-73°F 35%
70-71°F 29%
74-75°F 16%
68-69°F 9%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Sep 1, 2026
65°F or below
$15 Обс.
<1%
66-67°F
$96 Обс.
7%
68-69°F
$106 Обс.
13%
70-71°F
$798 Обс.
29%
72-73°F
$505 Обс.
35%
74-75°F
$377 Обс.
16%
76-77°F
$198 Обс.
3%
78-79°F
$10 Обс.
<1%
80-81°F
$79 Обс.
<1%
82-83°F
$80 Обс.
<1%
84°F or higher
$103 Обс.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 1 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klga
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Latest National Weather Service and private model guidance for New York City on September 1 points to a minimum near 70°F, driven by persistent southwesterly flow advecting humid maritime air, widespread cloud cover limiting nocturnal radiative cooling, and an urban heat island that typically adds 2–4°F to overnight lows relative to rural stations. With 50% storm chances and dew points in the low 70s, the overnight temperature drop will be modest, favoring the tightly bunched 70–73°F market outcomes that together exceed 64% implied probability. Minor model spread in timing of any clearing or shower activity creates the close contest between the two leading bins, while historical early-September climatology (average low ~66°F) underscores how current warmth has shifted trader consensus higher.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 1 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klga
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klga
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Ринок відкрито: Aug 30, 2026, 3:29 AM ET
Обсяг
$2,367Дата завершення
Sep 1, 2026Ринок відкрито
Aug 30, 2026, 3:29 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klgaВирішувач
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 1 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klga
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Latest National Weather Service and private model guidance for New York City on September 1 points to a minimum near 70°F, driven by persistent southwesterly flow advecting humid maritime air, widespread cloud cover limiting nocturnal radiative cooling, and an urban heat island that typically adds 2–4°F to overnight lows relative to rural stations. With 50% storm chances and dew points in the low 70s, the overnight temperature drop will be modest, favoring the tightly bunched 70–73°F market outcomes that together exceed 64% implied probability. Minor model spread in timing of any clearing or shower activity creates the close contest between the two leading bins, while historical early-September climatology (average low ~66°F) underscores how current warmth has shifted trader consensus higher.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 1 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klga
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klga
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Обсяг
$2,367Дата завершення
Sep 1, 2026Ринок відкрито
Aug 30, 2026, 3:29 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klgaВирішувач
0x69c47De9D...Latest National Weather Service and private model guidance for New York City on September 1 points to a minimum near 70°F, driven by persistent southwesterly flow advecting humid maritime air, widespread cloud cover limiting nocturnal radiative cooling, and an urban heat island that typically adds 2–4°F to overnight lows relative to rural stations. With 50% storm chances and dew points in the low 70s, the overnight temperature drop will be modest, favoring the tightly bunched 70–73°F market outcomes that together exceed 64% implied probability. Minor model spread in timing of any clearing or shower activity creates the close contest between the two leading bins, while historical early-September climatology (average low ~66°F) underscores how current warmth has shifted trader consensus higher.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
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Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
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