Recent polls from late August 2026 show Marília Arraes (PDT) holding a narrow lead for one Senate seat in Pernambuco, with Humberto Costa (PT) close behind in combined first- and second-choice intentions around 13-16 percent each, followed by Mendonça Filho (PL) at 9-12 percent and Eduardo da Fonte (PP) at 6-11 percent. High undecided and blank/null shares near 50 percent keep the contest for second place fluid between Costa, Mendonça, and Arraes. The two-seat structure, overlapping coalition support for the leading pair, and modest recent gains by Mendonça have narrowed gaps without producing separation. Traders price Costa highest for second among listed contenders, reflecting polling volatility and the impact of late shifts in voter preferences before October.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоHumberto Costa 39%
Mendonça Filho 32%
Marília Arraes 23.4%
Eduardo da Fonte 7.3%
$24,304 Обс.
$24,304 Обс.
Oct 4, 2026
Humberto Costa
39%
Mendonça Filho
32%
Marília Arraes
23%
Eduardo da Fonte
7%
Túlio Gadêlha
1%
Pastor Gilvan Costa
<1%
Samuel Timoteo
<1%
Mariano Macedo
<1%
Carlos Sant'Anna
<1%
Paulo Rubem Santiago
<1%
Gorett Bitu
<1%
Mailson da Silva Neto
<1%
Humberto Costa 39%
Mendonça Filho 32%
Marília Arraes 23.4%
Eduardo da Fonte 7.3%
$24,304 Обс.
$24,304 Обс.
Oct 4, 2026
Humberto Costa
$8,801 Обс.
39%
Mendonça Filho
$5,433 Обс.
32%
Marília Arraes
$4,440 Обс.
23%
Eduardo da Fonte
$927 Обс.
7%
Túlio Gadêlha
$688 Обс.
1%
Pastor Gilvan Costa
$659 Обс.
<1%
Samuel Timoteo
$664 Обс.
<1%
Mariano Macedo
$647 Обс.
<1%
Carlos Sant'Anna
$494 Обс.
<1%
Paulo Rubem Santiago
$490 Обс.
<1%
Gorett Bitu
$629 Обс.
<1%
Mailson da Silva Neto
$433 Обс.
<1%
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Pernambuco is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).Recent polls from late August 2026 show Marília Arraes (PDT) holding a narrow lead for one Senate seat in Pernambuco, with Humberto Costa (PT) close behind in combined first- and second-choice intentions around 13-16 percent each, followed by Mendonça Filho (PL) at 9-12 percent and Eduardo da Fonte (PP) at 6-11 percent. High undecided and blank/null shares near 50 percent keep the contest for second place fluid between Costa, Mendonça, and Arraes. The two-seat structure, overlapping coalition support for the leading pair, and modest recent gains by Mendonça have narrowed gaps without producing separation. Traders price Costa highest for second among listed contenders, reflecting polling volatility and the impact of late shifts in voter preferences before October.
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Pernambuco is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Ринок відкрито: Aug 17, 2026, 6:12 AM ET
Обсяг
$24,304Дата завершення
Oct 4, 2026Ринок відкрито
Aug 17, 2026, 6:12 AM ETВирішувач
0x69c47De9D...The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Pernambuco is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).Recent polls from late August 2026 show Marília Arraes (PDT) holding a narrow lead for one Senate seat in Pernambuco, with Humberto Costa (PT) close behind in combined first- and second-choice intentions around 13-16 percent each, followed by Mendonça Filho (PL) at 9-12 percent and Eduardo da Fonte (PP) at 6-11 percent. High undecided and blank/null shares near 50 percent keep the contest for second place fluid between Costa, Mendonça, and Arraes. The two-seat structure, overlapping coalition support for the leading pair, and modest recent gains by Mendonça have narrowed gaps without producing separation. Traders price Costa highest for second among listed contenders, reflecting polling volatility and the impact of late shifts in voter preferences before October.
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Pernambuco is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Обсяг
$24,304Дата завершення
Oct 4, 2026Ринок відкрито
Aug 17, 2026, 6:12 AM ETВирішувач
0x69c47De9D...Recent polls from late August 2026 show Marília Arraes (PDT) holding a narrow lead for one Senate seat in Pernambuco, with Humberto Costa (PT) close behind in combined first- and second-choice intentions around 13-16 percent each, followed by Mendonça Filho (PL) at 9-12 percent and Eduardo da Fonte (PP) at 6-11 percent. High undecided and blank/null shares near 50 percent keep the contest for second place fluid between Costa, Mendonça, and Arraes. The two-seat structure, overlapping coalition support for the leading pair, and modest recent gains by Mendonça have narrowed gaps without producing separation. Traders price Costa highest for second among listed contenders, reflecting polling volatility and the impact of late shifts in voter preferences before October.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
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Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
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