Recent polling from Quaest and Real Time Big Data shows Teresa Surita (MDB) leading overall with 19-25% support, while Nicoletti (PL), Helena da Asatur (PSD), and incumbent Chico Rodrigues (PSB) remain tightly grouped in the 11-17% range for the second Senate seat in Roraima’s October 4 election. Voters cast two ballots for the two open seats, which fragments the field and amplifies small shifts in turnout or undecided consolidation among the 13 registered candidates. Party alliances, campaign resources, and recent sabatinas have not yet produced clear separation, sustaining trader consensus on a competitive second-place outcome. Late consolidation around any of the top four could reorder probabilities before election day.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоNicoletti 31.2%
Teresa Surita 22%
Helena da Asatur 11.9%
Chico Rodrigues 4.5%
$66,016 Обс.
$66,016 Обс.
Oct 4, 2026
Nicoletti
31%
Teresa Surita
22%
Helena da Asatur
13%
Chico Rodrigues
4%
Helio Bolsonaro
3%
Mario Rocha
<1%
Bartô Macuxi
<1%
Hilton Xavier
<1%
Hiperion de Oliveira
<1%
Márcio Junqueira
<1%
Pastor Isamar
<1%
Regina Tio Ivo
<1%
Rogério Miranda
<1%
Nicoletti 31.2%
Teresa Surita 22%
Helena da Asatur 11.9%
Chico Rodrigues 4.5%
$66,016 Обс.
$66,016 Обс.
Oct 4, 2026
Nicoletti
$11,738 Обс.
31%
Teresa Surita
$20,001 Обс.
22%
Helena da Asatur
$4,826 Обс.
13%
Chico Rodrigues
$14,754 Обс.
4%
Helio Bolsonaro
$9,100 Обс.
3%
Mario Rocha
$820 Обс.
<1%
Bartô Macuxi
$581 Обс.
<1%
Hilton Xavier
$529 Обс.
<1%
Hiperion de Oliveira
$569 Обс.
<1%
Márcio Junqueira
$676 Обс.
<1%
Pastor Isamar
$952 Обс.
<1%
Regina Tio Ivo
$887 Обс.
<1%
Rogério Miranda
$583 Обс.
<1%
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Roraima is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).Recent polling from Quaest and Real Time Big Data shows Teresa Surita (MDB) leading overall with 19-25% support, while Nicoletti (PL), Helena da Asatur (PSD), and incumbent Chico Rodrigues (PSB) remain tightly grouped in the 11-17% range for the second Senate seat in Roraima’s October 4 election. Voters cast two ballots for the two open seats, which fragments the field and amplifies small shifts in turnout or undecided consolidation among the 13 registered candidates. Party alliances, campaign resources, and recent sabatinas have not yet produced clear separation, sustaining trader consensus on a competitive second-place outcome. Late consolidation around any of the top four could reorder probabilities before election day.
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Roraima is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Ринок відкрито: Aug 17, 2026, 6:15 AM ET
Обсяг
$66,016Дата завершення
Oct 4, 2026Ринок відкрито
Aug 17, 2026, 6:15 AM ETВирішувач
0x69c47De9D...The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Roraima is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).Recent polling from Quaest and Real Time Big Data shows Teresa Surita (MDB) leading overall with 19-25% support, while Nicoletti (PL), Helena da Asatur (PSD), and incumbent Chico Rodrigues (PSB) remain tightly grouped in the 11-17% range for the second Senate seat in Roraima’s October 4 election. Voters cast two ballots for the two open seats, which fragments the field and amplifies small shifts in turnout or undecided consolidation among the 13 registered candidates. Party alliances, campaign resources, and recent sabatinas have not yet produced clear separation, sustaining trader consensus on a competitive second-place outcome. Late consolidation around any of the top four could reorder probabilities before election day.
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Roraima is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Обсяг
$66,016Дата завершення
Oct 4, 2026Ринок відкрито
Aug 17, 2026, 6:15 AM ETВирішувач
0x69c47De9D...Recent polling from Quaest and Real Time Big Data shows Teresa Surita (MDB) leading overall with 19-25% support, while Nicoletti (PL), Helena da Asatur (PSD), and incumbent Chico Rodrigues (PSB) remain tightly grouped in the 11-17% range for the second Senate seat in Roraima’s October 4 election. Voters cast two ballots for the two open seats, which fragments the field and amplifies small shifts in turnout or undecided consolidation among the 13 registered candidates. Party alliances, campaign resources, and recent sabatinas have not yet produced clear separation, sustaining trader consensus on a competitive second-place outcome. Late consolidation around any of the top four could reorder probabilities before election day.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
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Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
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