Professora Dorinha (União Brasil) and Vicentinho Júnior (PSDB) dominate trader positioning in the Tocantins gubernatorial race ahead of the October 4 first round, reflecting their consistent leads in late August polling averages where both hover near 30-37% in simulated first-round scenarios while trailing candidates such as Laurez Moreira and Ataídes de Oliveira remain in single digits. Recent campaign activity, including Dorinha's electoral programming and Vicentinho's regional events, alongside finalized registrations and minor legal resolutions on other candidacies, has reinforced the two-way dynamic. The implied probability edge for Dorinha aligns with slight polling variations favoring her in some surveys, though the race remains competitive and subject to shifts from turnout or coalition mobilization in the final weeks.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоProfessora Dorinha 63%
Vicentinho Júnior 38%
Du Pereira <1%
Ataides de Oliveira <1%
$17,170 Обс.
$17,170 Обс.
Oct 4, 2026
Professora Dorinha
63%
Vicentinho Júnior
38%
Du Pereira
<1%
Ataides de Oliveira
<1%
Laurez Moreira
<1%
Prof. Witer Naves
<1%
Subtenente Luiz Carlos
<1%
Professora Dorinha 63%
Vicentinho Júnior 38%
Du Pereira <1%
Ataides de Oliveira <1%
$17,170 Обс.
$17,170 Обс.
Oct 4, 2026
Professora Dorinha
$3,536 Обс.
63%
Vicentinho Júnior
$6,242 Обс.
38%
Du Pereira
$2,542 Обс.
<1%
Ataides de Oliveira
$1,715 Обс.
<1%
Laurez Moreira
$645 Обс.
<1%
Prof. Witer Naves
$1,515 Обс.
<1%
Subtenente Luiz Carlos
$977 Обс.
<1%
The Tocantins gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).Professora Dorinha (União Brasil) and Vicentinho Júnior (PSDB) dominate trader positioning in the Tocantins gubernatorial race ahead of the October 4 first round, reflecting their consistent leads in late August polling averages where both hover near 30-37% in simulated first-round scenarios while trailing candidates such as Laurez Moreira and Ataídes de Oliveira remain in single digits. Recent campaign activity, including Dorinha's electoral programming and Vicentinho's regional events, alongside finalized registrations and minor legal resolutions on other candidacies, has reinforced the two-way dynamic. The implied probability edge for Dorinha aligns with slight polling variations favoring her in some surveys, though the race remains competitive and subject to shifts from turnout or coalition mobilization in the final weeks.
The Tocantins gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Ринок відкрито: Aug 17, 2026, 5:39 AM ET
Обсяг
$17,170Дата завершення
Oct 4, 2026Ринок відкрито
Aug 17, 2026, 5:39 AM ETВирішувач
0x69c47De9D...The Tocantins gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).Professora Dorinha (União Brasil) and Vicentinho Júnior (PSDB) dominate trader positioning in the Tocantins gubernatorial race ahead of the October 4 first round, reflecting their consistent leads in late August polling averages where both hover near 30-37% in simulated first-round scenarios while trailing candidates such as Laurez Moreira and Ataídes de Oliveira remain in single digits. Recent campaign activity, including Dorinha's electoral programming and Vicentinho's regional events, alongside finalized registrations and minor legal resolutions on other candidacies, has reinforced the two-way dynamic. The implied probability edge for Dorinha aligns with slight polling variations favoring her in some surveys, though the race remains competitive and subject to shifts from turnout or coalition mobilization in the final weeks.
The Tocantins gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Обсяг
$17,170Дата завершення
Oct 4, 2026Ринок відкрито
Aug 17, 2026, 5:39 AM ETВирішувач
0x69c47De9D...Professora Dorinha (União Brasil) and Vicentinho Júnior (PSDB) dominate trader positioning in the Tocantins gubernatorial race ahead of the October 4 first round, reflecting their consistent leads in late August polling averages where both hover near 30-37% in simulated first-round scenarios while trailing candidates such as Laurez Moreira and Ataídes de Oliveira remain in single digits. Recent campaign activity, including Dorinha's electoral programming and Vicentinho's regional events, alongside finalized registrations and minor legal resolutions on other candidacies, has reinforced the two-way dynamic. The implied probability edge for Dorinha aligns with slight polling variations favoring her in some surveys, though the race remains competitive and subject to shifts from turnout or coalition mobilization in the final weeks.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
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Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
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