Ben McAdams holds a commanding lead in the UT-01 House race due to court-ordered redistricting that created a new Democratic-leaning district centered on Salt Lake City and surrounding areas, where Kamala Harris carried the seat by 24 points in 2024. McAdams secured the Democratic nomination in June after defeating progressive challengers in the primary, bolstered by superior fundraising exceeding $2 million, prior congressional and mayoral experience, and broad name recognition. Republican nominee Riley Owen, an intelligence officer and former White House policy analyst, advanced unopposed at the state convention but trails significantly in resources and visibility. The implied probability reflects the district's structural partisan tilt and McAdams' established position heading into the November general election. Late developments such as major scandals, health issues, or unusually low Democratic turnout could still alter the outcome.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоUT-01 House Election Winner
UT-01 House Election Winner
$42,110 Обс.
$42,110 Обс.
Nov 3, 2026
Ben McAdams (D)
95%
Riley Owen (R)
4%
$42,110 Обс.
$42,110 Обс.
Nov 3, 2026
Ben McAdams (D)
$5,649 Обс.
95%
Riley Owen (R)
$36,462 Обс.
4%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the UT-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Ben McAdams holds a commanding lead in the UT-01 House race due to court-ordered redistricting that created a new Democratic-leaning district centered on Salt Lake City and surrounding areas, where Kamala Harris carried the seat by 24 points in 2024. McAdams secured the Democratic nomination in June after defeating progressive challengers in the primary, bolstered by superior fundraising exceeding $2 million, prior congressional and mayoral experience, and broad name recognition. Republican nominee Riley Owen, an intelligence officer and former White House policy analyst, advanced unopposed at the state convention but trails significantly in resources and visibility. The implied probability reflects the district's structural partisan tilt and McAdams' established position heading into the November general election. Late developments such as major scandals, health issues, or unusually low Democratic turnout could still alter the outcome.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the UT-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Ринок відкрито: Dec 16, 2025, 1:13 PM ET
Обсяг
$42,110Дата завершення
Nov 4, 2026Ринок відкрито
Dec 16, 2025, 1:13 PM ETВирішувач
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the UT-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Ben McAdams holds a commanding lead in the UT-01 House race due to court-ordered redistricting that created a new Democratic-leaning district centered on Salt Lake City and surrounding areas, where Kamala Harris carried the seat by 24 points in 2024. McAdams secured the Democratic nomination in June after defeating progressive challengers in the primary, bolstered by superior fundraising exceeding $2 million, prior congressional and mayoral experience, and broad name recognition. Republican nominee Riley Owen, an intelligence officer and former White House policy analyst, advanced unopposed at the state convention but trails significantly in resources and visibility. The implied probability reflects the district's structural partisan tilt and McAdams' established position heading into the November general election. Late developments such as major scandals, health issues, or unusually low Democratic turnout could still alter the outcome.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the UT-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Обсяг
$42,110Дата завершення
Nov 4, 2026Ринок відкрито
Dec 16, 2025, 1:13 PM ETВирішувач
0x2F5e3684c...Ben McAdams holds a commanding lead in the UT-01 House race due to court-ordered redistricting that created a new Democratic-leaning district centered on Salt Lake City and surrounding areas, where Kamala Harris carried the seat by 24 points in 2024. McAdams secured the Democratic nomination in June after defeating progressive challengers in the primary, bolstered by superior fundraising exceeding $2 million, prior congressional and mayoral experience, and broad name recognition. Republican nominee Riley Owen, an intelligence officer and former White House policy analyst, advanced unopposed at the state convention but trails significantly in resources and visibility. The implied probability reflects the district's structural partisan tilt and McAdams' established position heading into the November general election. Late developments such as major scandals, health issues, or unusually low Democratic turnout could still alter the outcome.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
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