Incumbent Democrat Kim Schrier’s commanding primary performance in Washington’s 8th Congressional District, where she secured over half the vote in the August 2026 top-two contest while Republican contenders split the remainder, underpins trader consensus on her general election prospects. The district’s D+3 Partisan Voter Index, consistent Solid or Likely Democratic ratings from forecasters, and Schrier’s established record since 2019 contribute to the market positioning ahead of the November 3 ballot. Her substantial fundraising edge, exceeding $3 million compared with far lower totals for challenger Spencer Meline, further reinforces the gap. A Republican upset would require significant late-cycle shifts in turnout, national political conditions, or unforeseen developments to overcome the structural Democratic advantage in this suburban and exurban seat east of Seattle.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоWA-08 House Election Winner
WA-08 House Election Winner
$22,656 Обс.
$22,656 Обс.
Nov 3, 2026
Kim Schrier (D)
98%
Spencer Meline (R)
1%
$22,656 Обс.
$22,656 Обс.
Nov 3, 2026
Kim Schrier (D)
$9,508 Обс.
98%
Spencer Meline (R)
$13,148 Обс.
1%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the WA-08 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Democrat Kim Schrier’s commanding primary performance in Washington’s 8th Congressional District, where she secured over half the vote in the August 2026 top-two contest while Republican contenders split the remainder, underpins trader consensus on her general election prospects. The district’s D+3 Partisan Voter Index, consistent Solid or Likely Democratic ratings from forecasters, and Schrier’s established record since 2019 contribute to the market positioning ahead of the November 3 ballot. Her substantial fundraising edge, exceeding $3 million compared with far lower totals for challenger Spencer Meline, further reinforces the gap. A Republican upset would require significant late-cycle shifts in turnout, national political conditions, or unforeseen developments to overcome the structural Democratic advantage in this suburban and exurban seat east of Seattle.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the WA-08 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Ринок відкрито: Dec 16, 2025, 1:15 PM ET
Обсяг
$22,656Дата завершення
Nov 4, 2026Ринок відкрито
Dec 16, 2025, 1:15 PM ETВирішувач
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the WA-08 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Democrat Kim Schrier’s commanding primary performance in Washington’s 8th Congressional District, where she secured over half the vote in the August 2026 top-two contest while Republican contenders split the remainder, underpins trader consensus on her general election prospects. The district’s D+3 Partisan Voter Index, consistent Solid or Likely Democratic ratings from forecasters, and Schrier’s established record since 2019 contribute to the market positioning ahead of the November 3 ballot. Her substantial fundraising edge, exceeding $3 million compared with far lower totals for challenger Spencer Meline, further reinforces the gap. A Republican upset would require significant late-cycle shifts in turnout, national political conditions, or unforeseen developments to overcome the structural Democratic advantage in this suburban and exurban seat east of Seattle.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the WA-08 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Обсяг
$22,656Дата завершення
Nov 4, 2026Ринок відкрито
Dec 16, 2025, 1:15 PM ETВирішувач
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Democrat Kim Schrier’s commanding primary performance in Washington’s 8th Congressional District, where she secured over half the vote in the August 2026 top-two contest while Republican contenders split the remainder, underpins trader consensus on her general election prospects. The district’s D+3 Partisan Voter Index, consistent Solid or Likely Democratic ratings from forecasters, and Schrier’s established record since 2019 contribute to the market positioning ahead of the November 3 ballot. Her substantial fundraising edge, exceeding $3 million compared with far lower totals for challenger Spencer Meline, further reinforces the gap. A Republican upset would require significant late-cycle shifts in turnout, national political conditions, or unforeseen developments to overcome the structural Democratic advantage in this suburban and exurban seat east of Seattle.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
Часті запитання