The strong trader consensus behind NASDAQ at 82.5% implied probability stems from Anthropic’s profile as a leading artificial intelligence developer behind the Claude large language model, where NASDAQ remains the standard venue for high-growth tech IPOs due to its liquidity, investor base, and historical precedent with peers. Recent developments, including the June 2026 confidential S-1 filing and expectations for a public prospectus shortly after Labor Day, have accelerated timelines toward a potential late-September or October listing without any signals favoring NYSE. Underwriters including Goldman Sachs and JPMorgan, combined with the company’s rapid valuation growth to near $1 trillion privately, further align with NASDAQ’s ecosystem for AI firms. The low 3% odds on NYSE highlight the limited precedent for such companies choosing the more traditional exchange.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоNASDAQ 72%
Other 15%
NYSE 3.0%
NASDAQ
83%
NYSE
3%
Other
15%
NASDAQ 72%
Other 15%
NYSE 3.0%
NASDAQ
83%
NYSE
3%
Other
15%
For purposes of this market, “NASDAQ” includes all listing tiers of The Nasdaq Stock Market, including the Nasdaq Global Select Market, Nasdaq Global Market, and Nasdaq Capital Market. “NYSE” includes the New York Stock Exchange and other U.S. equity listing exchanges operated under the NYSE brand, including NYSE American, NYSE Arca, and NYSE Texas.
The exchange will be determined based on the primary listing venue where Anthropic's shares are initially listed and begin regular-way trading following its IPO.
An IPO refers to Anthropic shares becoming listed and open for trading on a public securities exchange, whether through a traditional initial public offering or a direct listing. If Anthropic becomes publicly traded through a merger, SPAC transaction, reverse merger, acquisition, or absorption by an entity that is already publicly traded, this market will resolve to "Other".
If Anthropic lists on multiple exchanges simultaneously, the exchange designated as the primary listing venue by the company or in official exchange materials will be used for resolution.
If Anthropic lists primarily on an exchange other than the Nasdaq Stock Market or the New York Stock Exchange, or if its shares do not begin regular-way public trading through an IPO or direct listing by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
Announcements, reports, or indications of intended listing venue prior to the IPO will not be considered. The market will resolve based on the actual listing at the time trading begins.
The primary resolution source will be official information from Anthropic or the relevant exchange; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Ринок відкрито: Aug 19, 2026, 11:52 AM ET
Вирішувач
0x69c47De9D...For purposes of this market, “NASDAQ” includes all listing tiers of The Nasdaq Stock Market, including the Nasdaq Global Select Market, Nasdaq Global Market, and Nasdaq Capital Market. “NYSE” includes the New York Stock Exchange and other U.S. equity listing exchanges operated under the NYSE brand, including NYSE American, NYSE Arca, and NYSE Texas.
The exchange will be determined based on the primary listing venue where Anthropic's shares are initially listed and begin regular-way trading following its IPO.
An IPO refers to Anthropic shares becoming listed and open for trading on a public securities exchange, whether through a traditional initial public offering or a direct listing. If Anthropic becomes publicly traded through a merger, SPAC transaction, reverse merger, acquisition, or absorption by an entity that is already publicly traded, this market will resolve to "Other".
If Anthropic lists on multiple exchanges simultaneously, the exchange designated as the primary listing venue by the company or in official exchange materials will be used for resolution.
If Anthropic lists primarily on an exchange other than the Nasdaq Stock Market or the New York Stock Exchange, or if its shares do not begin regular-way public trading through an IPO or direct listing by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
Announcements, reports, or indications of intended listing venue prior to the IPO will not be considered. The market will resolve based on the actual listing at the time trading begins.
The primary resolution source will be official information from Anthropic or the relevant exchange; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Вирішувач
0x69c47De9D...The strong trader consensus behind NASDAQ at 82.5% implied probability stems from Anthropic’s profile as a leading artificial intelligence developer behind the Claude large language model, where NASDAQ remains the standard venue for high-growth tech IPOs due to its liquidity, investor base, and historical precedent with peers. Recent developments, including the June 2026 confidential S-1 filing and expectations for a public prospectus shortly after Labor Day, have accelerated timelines toward a potential late-September or October listing without any signals favoring NYSE. Underwriters including Goldman Sachs and JPMorgan, combined with the company’s rapid valuation growth to near $1 trillion privately, further align with NASDAQ’s ecosystem for AI firms. The low 3% odds on NYSE highlight the limited precedent for such companies choosing the more traditional exchange.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
Часті запитання