Recent polling from Datafolha and Quaest in early September shows Cid Gomes (PSB) leading overall at 23-24% for one of Ceará’s two Senate seats, leaving a tight contest for second between Capitão Wagner (União) at 20% and Luizianne Lins (Rede) at 13-17%, all within margins of error. Ticket-splitting by voters, combined with 14-19% undecided or blank/null shares, sustains the narrow gap ahead of the October 4 election. Luizianne’s alignment with the state government ticket and Wagner’s opposition positioning have consolidated distinct voter bases without decisive separation, while lower-polling names such as Alcides Fernandes remain further back. Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects this ongoing uncertainty over which contender secures the second-highest vote total.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtCapitão Wagner 36%
Luizianne 30%
Cid Gomes 28%
Alcides Fernandes 5.3%
$36,560 KL.
$36,560 KL.
Oct 4, 2026
Capitão Wagner
36%
Luizianne
29%
Cid Gomes
28%
Alcides Fernandes
5%
Catarina Matos
<1%
Guilherme Theophilo
<1%
Lino Alves
<1%
Reginaldo
<1%
Capitão Wagner 36%
Luizianne 30%
Cid Gomes 28%
Alcides Fernandes 5.3%
$36,560 KL.
$36,560 KL.
Oct 4, 2026
Capitão Wagner
$14,359 KL.
36%
Luizianne
$11,634 KL.
29%
Cid Gomes
$4,910 KL.
28%
Alcides Fernandes
$1,116 KL.
5%
Catarina Matos
$1,541 KL.
<1%
Guilherme Theophilo
$825 KL.
<1%
Lino Alves
$942 KL.
<1%
Reginaldo
$1,234 KL.
<1%
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Ceará is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).Recent polling from Datafolha and Quaest in early September shows Cid Gomes (PSB) leading overall at 23-24% for one of Ceará’s two Senate seats, leaving a tight contest for second between Capitão Wagner (União) at 20% and Luizianne Lins (Rede) at 13-17%, all within margins of error. Ticket-splitting by voters, combined with 14-19% undecided or blank/null shares, sustains the narrow gap ahead of the October 4 election. Luizianne’s alignment with the state government ticket and Wagner’s opposition positioning have consolidated distinct voter bases without decisive separation, while lower-polling names such as Alcides Fernandes remain further back. Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects this ongoing uncertainty over which contender secures the second-highest vote total.
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Ceará is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Thị trường mở: Aug 17, 2026, 5:56 AM ET
Khối lượng
$36,560Ngày kết thúc
Oct 4, 2026Thị trường mở
Aug 17, 2026, 5:56 AM ETNgười giải quyết
0x69c47De9D...The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Ceará is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).Recent polling from Datafolha and Quaest in early September shows Cid Gomes (PSB) leading overall at 23-24% for one of Ceará’s two Senate seats, leaving a tight contest for second between Capitão Wagner (União) at 20% and Luizianne Lins (Rede) at 13-17%, all within margins of error. Ticket-splitting by voters, combined with 14-19% undecided or blank/null shares, sustains the narrow gap ahead of the October 4 election. Luizianne’s alignment with the state government ticket and Wagner’s opposition positioning have consolidated distinct voter bases without decisive separation, while lower-polling names such as Alcides Fernandes remain further back. Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects this ongoing uncertainty over which contender secures the second-highest vote total.
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Ceará is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Khối lượng
$36,560Ngày kết thúc
Oct 4, 2026Thị trường mở
Aug 17, 2026, 5:56 AM ETNgười giải quyết
0x69c47De9D...Recent polling from Datafolha and Quaest in early September shows Cid Gomes (PSB) leading overall at 23-24% for one of Ceará’s two Senate seats, leaving a tight contest for second between Capitão Wagner (União) at 20% and Luizianne Lins (Rede) at 13-17%, all within margins of error. Ticket-splitting by voters, combined with 14-19% undecided or blank/null shares, sustains the narrow gap ahead of the October 4 election. Luizianne’s alignment with the state government ticket and Wagner’s opposition positioning have consolidated distinct voter bases without decisive separation, while lower-polling names such as Alcides Fernandes remain further back. Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects this ongoing uncertainty over which contender secures the second-highest vote total.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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