**Forecast consensus for Zhengzhou on September 1, 2026, centers on a minimum near 20–22°C under clear, calm conditions that favor nocturnal radiative cooling.** Multiple models (including WeatherBug, Yr.no, and others) project highs around 29–32°C followed by overnight lows of 20–22°C, consistent with early-autumn transition patterns in the North China Plain where weakening summer heat allows greater diurnal temperature ranges. Key scientific drivers include light northeasterly winds (4–10 mph or ~2–5 m/s), low cloud cover, and dew points near 18–20°C, which limit excessive cooling while permitting temperatures to drop below daytime levels. Clear skies promote outgoing longwave radiation, the dominant mechanism for minimum temperatures, with minimal advection or moisture to moderate the drop. Historical September averages (lows ~17–18°C) place the current forecast slightly above normal, reflecting lingering warmth. The market’s near-50% probabilities across 16–24°C capture genuine forecast spread and resolution uncertainty (official observations vs. models), while low odds on extremes (<15°C at 7%, ≥25°C at 4.5%) reflect the low likelihood of strong cold-air intrusion or persistent warmth. No major synoptic changes are expected overnight, keeping probabilities anchored around the model consensus range.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtLowest temperature in Zhengzhou on September 1?
Lowest temperature in Zhengzhou on September 1?
17°C 100%
18°C 100%
20°C 100%
22°C 100%
MỚI
MỚI
Sep 1, 2026
15°C or below
14%
16°C
99%
17°C
100%
18°C
100%
19°C
99%
20°C
100%
21°C
99%
22°C
100%
23°C
100%
24°C
2%
25°C or higher
2%
17°C 100%
18°C 100%
20°C 100%
22°C 100%
MỚI
MỚI
Sep 1, 2026
15°C or below
$5 KL.
14%
16°C
$5 KL.
99%
17°C
$5 KL.
100%
18°C
$10 KL.
100%
19°C
$0 KL.
99%
20°C
$0 KL.
100%
21°C
$0 KL.
99%
22°C
$0 KL.
100%
23°C
$20 KL.
100%
24°C
$55 KL.
2%
25°C or higher
$45 KL.
2%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Zhengzhou Xinzheng International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhcc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Forecast consensus for Zhengzhou on September 1, 2026, centers on a minimum near 20–22°C under clear, calm conditions that favor nocturnal radiative cooling.** Multiple models (including WeatherBug, Yr.no, and others) project highs around 29–32°C followed by overnight lows of 20–22°C, consistent with early-autumn transition patterns in the North China Plain where weakening summer heat allows greater diurnal temperature ranges.
Key scientific drivers include light northeasterly winds (4–10 mph or ~2–5 m/s), low cloud cover, and dew points near 18–20°C, which limit excessive cooling while permitting temperatures to drop below daytime levels. Clear skies promote outgoing longwave radiation, the dominant mechanism for minimum temperatures, with minimal advection or moisture to moderate the drop. Historical September averages (lows ~17–18°C) place the current forecast slightly above normal, reflecting lingering warmth.
The market’s near-50% probabilities across 16–24°C capture genuine forecast spread and resolution uncertainty (official observations vs. models), while low odds on extremes (<15°C at 7%, ≥25°C at 4.5%) reflect the low likelihood of strong cold-air intrusion or persistent warmth. No major synoptic changes are expected overnight, keeping probabilities anchored around the model consensus range.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Zhengzhou Xinzheng International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhcc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhcc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Thị trường mở: Aug 31, 2026, 12:28 AM ET
Khối lượng
$145Ngày kết thúc
Sep 1, 2026Thị trường mở
Aug 31, 2026, 12:28 AM ETNguồn giải quyết
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhccNgười giải quyết
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Zhengzhou Xinzheng International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhcc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Forecast consensus for Zhengzhou on September 1, 2026, centers on a minimum near 20–22°C under clear, calm conditions that favor nocturnal radiative cooling.** Multiple models (including WeatherBug, Yr.no, and others) project highs around 29–32°C followed by overnight lows of 20–22°C, consistent with early-autumn transition patterns in the North China Plain where weakening summer heat allows greater diurnal temperature ranges.
Key scientific drivers include light northeasterly winds (4–10 mph or ~2–5 m/s), low cloud cover, and dew points near 18–20°C, which limit excessive cooling while permitting temperatures to drop below daytime levels. Clear skies promote outgoing longwave radiation, the dominant mechanism for minimum temperatures, with minimal advection or moisture to moderate the drop. Historical September averages (lows ~17–18°C) place the current forecast slightly above normal, reflecting lingering warmth.
The market’s near-50% probabilities across 16–24°C capture genuine forecast spread and resolution uncertainty (official observations vs. models), while low odds on extremes (<15°C at 7%, ≥25°C at 4.5%) reflect the low likelihood of strong cold-air intrusion or persistent warmth. No major synoptic changes are expected overnight, keeping probabilities anchored around the model consensus range.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Zhengzhou Xinzheng International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhcc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhcc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Khối lượng
$145Ngày kết thúc
Sep 1, 2026Thị trường mở
Aug 31, 2026, 12:28 AM ETNguồn giải quyết
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhccNgười giải quyết
0x69c47De9D...**Forecast consensus for Zhengzhou on September 1, 2026, centers on a minimum near 20–22°C under clear, calm conditions that favor nocturnal radiative cooling.** Multiple models (including WeatherBug, Yr.no, and others) project highs around 29–32°C followed by overnight lows of 20–22°C, consistent with early-autumn transition patterns in the North China Plain where weakening summer heat allows greater diurnal temperature ranges. Key scientific drivers include light northeasterly winds (4–10 mph or ~2–5 m/s), low cloud cover, and dew points near 18–20°C, which limit excessive cooling while permitting temperatures to drop below daytime levels. Clear skies promote outgoing longwave radiation, the dominant mechanism for minimum temperatures, with minimal advection or moisture to moderate the drop. Historical September averages (lows ~17–18°C) place the current forecast slightly above normal, reflecting lingering warmth. The market’s near-50% probabilities across 16–24°C capture genuine forecast spread and resolution uncertainty (official observations vs. models), while low odds on extremes (<15°C at 7%, ≥25°C at 4.5%) reflect the low likelihood of strong cold-air intrusion or persistent warmth. No major synoptic changes are expected overnight, keeping probabilities anchored around the model consensus range.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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