Democratic incumbent Mary Gay Scanlon holds a commanding position in Pennsylvania’s 5th congressional district, reflected in trader consensus pricing the Democratic nominee above 98 percent. The district carries a D+15 Partisan Voter Index, placing it among the state’s most reliably Democratic seats, and nonpartisan forecasters rate the general election Solid or Safe Democratic. Scanlon advanced unopposed through the May primary, while the Republican nominee, Nick Manganaro, lacks comparable name recognition or fundraising. Recent Democratic overperformance in Pennsylvania special elections has reinforced expectations of strong turnout among the party’s base in suburban and urban portions of the district. A late scandal, health event, or dramatic national political shift could narrow the margin, though structural factors would still require an unusually large swing to alter the outcome.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtPA-05 House Election Winner
PA-05 House Election Winner
$36,997 KL.
$36,997 KL.
Nov 2, 2026
Democratic Party
98%
Republican Party
2%
$36,997 KL.
$36,997 KL.
Nov 2, 2026
Democratic Party
$12,497 KL.
98%
Republican Party
$24,501 KL.
2%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the PA-05 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Democratic incumbent Mary Gay Scanlon holds a commanding position in Pennsylvania’s 5th congressional district, reflected in trader consensus pricing the Democratic nominee above 98 percent. The district carries a D+15 Partisan Voter Index, placing it among the state’s most reliably Democratic seats, and nonpartisan forecasters rate the general election Solid or Safe Democratic. Scanlon advanced unopposed through the May primary, while the Republican nominee, Nick Manganaro, lacks comparable name recognition or fundraising. Recent Democratic overperformance in Pennsylvania special elections has reinforced expectations of strong turnout among the party’s base in suburban and urban portions of the district. A late scandal, health event, or dramatic national political shift could narrow the margin, though structural factors would still require an unusually large swing to alter the outcome.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the PA-05 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Thị trường mở: Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ET
Khối lượng
$36,997Ngày kết thúc
Nov 3, 2026Thị trường mở
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETNgười giải quyết
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the PA-05 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Democratic incumbent Mary Gay Scanlon holds a commanding position in Pennsylvania’s 5th congressional district, reflected in trader consensus pricing the Democratic nominee above 98 percent. The district carries a D+15 Partisan Voter Index, placing it among the state’s most reliably Democratic seats, and nonpartisan forecasters rate the general election Solid or Safe Democratic. Scanlon advanced unopposed through the May primary, while the Republican nominee, Nick Manganaro, lacks comparable name recognition or fundraising. Recent Democratic overperformance in Pennsylvania special elections has reinforced expectations of strong turnout among the party’s base in suburban and urban portions of the district. A late scandal, health event, or dramatic national political shift could narrow the margin, though structural factors would still require an unusually large swing to alter the outcome.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the PA-05 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Khối lượng
$36,997Ngày kết thúc
Nov 3, 2026Thị trường mở
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETNgười giải quyết
0x2F5e3684c...Democratic incumbent Mary Gay Scanlon holds a commanding position in Pennsylvania’s 5th congressional district, reflected in trader consensus pricing the Democratic nominee above 98 percent. The district carries a D+15 Partisan Voter Index, placing it among the state’s most reliably Democratic seats, and nonpartisan forecasters rate the general election Solid or Safe Democratic. Scanlon advanced unopposed through the May primary, while the Republican nominee, Nick Manganaro, lacks comparable name recognition or fundraising. Recent Democratic overperformance in Pennsylvania special elections has reinforced expectations of strong turnout among the party’s base in suburban and urban portions of the district. A late scandal, health event, or dramatic national political shift could narrow the margin, though structural factors would still require an unusually large swing to alter the outcome.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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