Official forecasts from the Royal Netherlands Meteorological Institute (KNMI) and supporting model runs place Amsterdam’s maximum temperature for August 31 at 20 °C under persistent cloud cover, scattered showers, and moderate westerly winds that limit daytime heating. Current observations near 17–18 °C and the absence of strong solar insolation reinforce trader consensus around this value, reflected in the 99.9 % implied probability. A realistic challenge would require unexpected clearing skies or a temporary wind shift allowing brief additional warming, though ensemble guidance shows low likelihood of exceeding 21 °C before resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于8月31日阿姆斯特丹气温最高？
8月31日阿姆斯特丹气温最高？
20°C 100.0%
21°C <1%
14°C或以下 <1%
15℃ <1%
$37,733 交易量
$37,733 交易量
2026-08-31
14°C或以下
<1%
15℃
<1%
16°C
<1%
17°C
<1%
18°C
<1%
19°C
<1%
20°C
100%
21°C
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C或更高
<1%
20°C 100.0%
21°C <1%
14°C或以下 <1%
15℃ <1%
$37,733 交易量
$37,733 交易量
2026-08-31
14°C或以下
$67 交易量
<1%
15℃
$67 交易量
<1%
16°C
$311 交易量
<1%
17°C
$4,932 交易量
<1%
18°C
$3,139 交易量
<1%
19°C
$7,488 交易量
<1%
20°C
$9,572 交易量
100%
21°C
$6,319 交易量
<1%
22°C
$3,778 交易量
<1%
23°C
$1,643 交易量
<1%
24°C或更高
$419 交易量
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 31 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eham
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Official forecasts from the Royal Netherlands Meteorological Institute (KNMI) and supporting model runs place Amsterdam’s maximum temperature for August 31 at 20 °C under persistent cloud cover, scattered showers, and moderate westerly winds that limit daytime heating. Current observations near 17–18 °C and the absence of strong solar insolation reinforce trader consensus around this value, reflected in the 99.9 % implied probability. A realistic challenge would require unexpected clearing skies or a temporary wind shift allowing brief additional warming, though ensemble guidance shows low likelihood of exceeding 21 °C before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 31 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eham
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eham
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间： Aug 29, 2026, 12:58 AM ET
交易量
$37,733结束日期
2026-08-31市场开放时间
Aug 29, 2026, 12:58 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 31 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eham
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Official forecasts from the Royal Netherlands Meteorological Institute (KNMI) and supporting model runs place Amsterdam’s maximum temperature for August 31 at 20 °C under persistent cloud cover, scattered showers, and moderate westerly winds that limit daytime heating. Current observations near 17–18 °C and the absence of strong solar insolation reinforce trader consensus around this value, reflected in the 99.9 % implied probability. A realistic challenge would require unexpected clearing skies or a temporary wind shift allowing brief additional warming, though ensemble guidance shows low likelihood of exceeding 21 °C before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 31 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eham
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eham
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$37,733结束日期
2026-08-31市场开放时间
Aug 29, 2026, 12:58 AM ETOfficial forecasts from the Royal Netherlands Meteorological Institute (KNMI) and supporting model runs place Amsterdam’s maximum temperature for August 31 at 20 °C under persistent cloud cover, scattered showers, and moderate westerly winds that limit daytime heating. Current observations near 17–18 °C and the absence of strong solar insolation reinforce trader consensus around this value, reflected in the 99.9 % implied probability. A realistic challenge would require unexpected clearing skies or a temporary wind shift allowing brief additional warming, though ensemble guidance shows low likelihood of exceeding 21 °C before resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
常见问题