Michelle Fischbach holds a commanding lead in the Minnesota 7th Congressional District race due to the district’s strong Republican lean, reflected in its R+18 Partisan Voter Index and consistent double-digit margins in recent cycles. As the incumbent since 2021, she secured her party’s nomination without opposition in the August 2026 primary and benefits from substantial fundraising advantages, with over $980,000 raised compared to Democratic nominee Erik Osberg’s roughly $212,000. Osberg, a media marketing firm owner who won his primary with 65.7% of the vote, faces the structural headwinds of a rural, agricultural district that has trended firmly Republican. Nonpartisan ratings classify the seat as Solid or Safe Republican. Late developments such as national economic shifts affecting farm policy, candidate-specific controversies, or unusually high Democratic turnout could narrow the gap, though the current trader consensus aligns with the district’s established voting patterns.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于$24,259 交易量
$24,259 交易量
2026-11-02
米歇尔·费什巴赫（共和党）
95%
埃里克·奥斯伯格（民主党）
6%
$24,259 交易量
$24,259 交易量
2026-11-02
米歇尔·费什巴赫（共和党）
$6,265 交易量
95%
埃里克·奥斯伯格（民主党）
$17,994 交易量
6%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MN-07 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Michelle Fischbach holds a commanding lead in the Minnesota 7th Congressional District race due to the district’s strong Republican lean, reflected in its R+18 Partisan Voter Index and consistent double-digit margins in recent cycles. As the incumbent since 2021, she secured her party’s nomination without opposition in the August 2026 primary and benefits from substantial fundraising advantages, with over $980,000 raised compared to Democratic nominee Erik Osberg’s roughly $212,000. Osberg, a media marketing firm owner who won his primary with 65.7% of the vote, faces the structural headwinds of a rural, agricultural district that has trended firmly Republican. Nonpartisan ratings classify the seat as Solid or Safe Republican. Late developments such as national economic shifts affecting farm policy, candidate-specific controversies, or unusually high Democratic turnout could narrow the gap, though the current trader consensus aligns with the district’s established voting patterns.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MN-07 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
市场开放时间： Jan 28, 2026, 11:10 AM ET
交易量
$24,259结束日期
2026-11-03市场开放时间
Jan 28, 2026, 11:10 AM ETThis market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MN-07 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Michelle Fischbach holds a commanding lead in the Minnesota 7th Congressional District race due to the district’s strong Republican lean, reflected in its R+18 Partisan Voter Index and consistent double-digit margins in recent cycles. As the incumbent since 2021, she secured her party’s nomination without opposition in the August 2026 primary and benefits from substantial fundraising advantages, with over $980,000 raised compared to Democratic nominee Erik Osberg’s roughly $212,000. Osberg, a media marketing firm owner who won his primary with 65.7% of the vote, faces the structural headwinds of a rural, agricultural district that has trended firmly Republican. Nonpartisan ratings classify the seat as Solid or Safe Republican. Late developments such as national economic shifts affecting farm policy, candidate-specific controversies, or unusually high Democratic turnout could narrow the gap, though the current trader consensus aligns with the district’s established voting patterns.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MN-07 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
交易量
$24,259结束日期
2026-11-03市场开放时间
Jan 28, 2026, 11:10 AM ETMichelle Fischbach holds a commanding lead in the Minnesota 7th Congressional District race due to the district’s strong Republican lean, reflected in its R+18 Partisan Voter Index and consistent double-digit margins in recent cycles. As the incumbent since 2021, she secured her party’s nomination without opposition in the August 2026 primary and benefits from substantial fundraising advantages, with over $980,000 raised compared to Democratic nominee Erik Osberg’s roughly $212,000. Osberg, a media marketing firm owner who won his primary with 65.7% of the vote, faces the structural headwinds of a rural, agricultural district that has trended firmly Republican. Nonpartisan ratings classify the seat as Solid or Safe Republican. Late developments such as national economic shifts affecting farm policy, candidate-specific controversies, or unusually high Democratic turnout could narrow the gap, though the current trader consensus aligns with the district’s established voting patterns.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
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