Taylor Swift holds the strongest market-implied odds for VMA Artist of the Year 2026 at 53.5 percent, driven by her unmatched streaming totals, radio airplay, and record 30 prior Moon Person wins that reinforce her frontrunner status among traders. Madonna’s 25.5 percent reflects her leading 11-plus nominations and Confessions II campaign momentum, while Ariana Grande, Bruno Mars, Sabrina Carpenter, and Morgan Wallen sit near 50 percent or lower amid fan-voting dynamics and competitive chart trajectories. With the September 27 ceremony just days away, recent social-category voting and performance announcements could shift sentiment, though Swift’s year-long dominance continues to anchor trader consensus in this closely contested field.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于2026年度VMA艺术家
泰勒·斯威夫特 54%
麦当娜 26%
Ariana Grande 5%
摩根·沃伦 2.0%

泰勒·斯威夫特
54%

麦当娜
26%

Ariana Grande
5%

摩根·沃伦
2%

Bruno Mars
2%

Sabrina Carpenter
2%
泰勒·斯威夫特 54%
麦当娜 26%
Ariana Grande 5%
摩根·沃伦 2.0%

泰勒·斯威夫特
54%

麦当娜
26%

Ariana Grande
5%

摩根·沃伦
2%

Bruno Mars
2%

Sabrina Carpenter
2%
This market will resolve according to the listed artist who wins the 2026 MTV Video Music Award for Artist of the Year.
If an artist was not officially nominated for the MTV Video Music Award for Artist of the Year when the 2026 nominees were announced, the corresponding market will immediately resolve to "No".
In case of a tie for the winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominated artist whose listed name comes first in alphabetical order.
If, for any reason, no winner is declared by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the MTV Video Music Awards and MTV, including data from their website (e.g., https://www.mtv.com/vma) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
市场开放时间: Sep 18, 2026, 5:55 PM ET
This market will resolve according to the listed artist who wins the 2026 MTV Video Music Award for Artist of the Year.
If an artist was not officially nominated for the MTV Video Music Award for Artist of the Year when the 2026 nominees were announced, the corresponding market will immediately resolve to "No".
In case of a tie for the winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominated artist whose listed name comes first in alphabetical order.
If, for any reason, no winner is declared by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the MTV Video Music Awards and MTV, including data from their website (e.g., https://www.mtv.com/vma) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Taylor Swift holds the strongest market-implied odds for VMA Artist of the Year 2026 at 53.5 percent, driven by her unmatched streaming totals, radio airplay, and record 30 prior Moon Person wins that reinforce her frontrunner status among traders. Madonna’s 25.5 percent reflects her leading 11-plus nominations and Confessions II campaign momentum, while Ariana Grande, Bruno Mars, Sabrina Carpenter, and Morgan Wallen sit near 50 percent or lower amid fan-voting dynamics and competitive chart trajectories. With the September 27 ceremony just days away, recent social-category voting and performance announcements could shift sentiment, though Swift’s year-long dominance continues to anchor trader consensus in this closely contested field.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于

警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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