BTS’s “Swim” holds the narrowest edge in trader sentiment for VMA Song of the Year 2026 at 44.5% implied probability, ahead of Ella Langley’s “Choosin’ Texas” at 19% and the Madonna–Sabrina Carpenter collaboration “Bring Your Love” at 14.5%. With the September 27 ceremony just days away, the field remains fragmented across K-pop, country crossover, pop legacy acts, and rising UK talents like Raye and Olivia Dean. BTS benefits from dedicated global fandom voting patterns and recent chart momentum, while Langley’s record-setting Billboard Hot 100 run underscores commercial dominance yet faces genre-headwinds in academy-style tallies. Multiple viable paths to victory keep the outcome fluid until final votes are cast.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于2026年VMA年度歌曲
2026年VMA年度歌曲
Swim（BTS） 62%
Choosin' Texas（Ella Langley） 19%
Bring Your Love（Madonna 和 Sabrina Carpenter） 15%
Where Is My Husband!（Raye） 5.8%
最新
最新
2026-09-27
Swim（BTS）
45%
Choosin' Texas（Ella Langley）
19%
Bring Your Love（Madonna 和 Sabrina Carpenter）
15%
Where Is My Husband!（Raye）
6%
Man I Need（Olivia Dean）
5%
Golden（Huntrix）
5%
Stateside + Zara Larsson（PinkPantheress）
4%
Swim（BTS） 62%
Choosin' Texas（Ella Langley） 19%
Bring Your Love（Madonna 和 Sabrina Carpenter） 15%
Where Is My Husband!（Raye） 5.8%
最新
最新
2026-09-27
Swim（BTS）
$398 交易量
45%
Choosin' Texas（Ella Langley）
$184 交易量
19%
Bring Your Love（Madonna 和 Sabrina Carpenter）
$101 交易量
15%
Where Is My Husband!（Raye）
$1 交易量
6%
Man I Need（Olivia Dean）
$1 交易量
5%
Golden（Huntrix）
$1 交易量
5%
Stateside + Zara Larsson（PinkPantheress）
$1 交易量
4%
The MTV Video Music Awards are presented annually by MTV to honor outstanding achievement in music videos. The 2026 MTV Video Music Awards are currently scheduled for September 27, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the listed song that wins the 2026 MTV Video Music Award for Song of the Year.
If a song was not officially nominated for the MTV Video Music Award for Song of the Year when the 2026 nominees were announced, the corresponding market will immediately resolve to "No".
In case of a tie for the winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominated song whose listed title comes first in alphabetical order.
If, for any reason, no winner is declared by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the MTV Video Music Awards and MTV, including data from their website (e.g., https://www.mtv.com/vma) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.BTS’s “Swim” holds the narrowest edge in trader sentiment for VMA Song of the Year 2026 at 44.5% implied probability, ahead of Ella Langley’s “Choosin’ Texas” at 19% and the Madonna–Sabrina Carpenter collaboration “Bring Your Love” at 14.5%. With the September 27 ceremony just days away, the field remains fragmented across K-pop, country crossover, pop legacy acts, and rising UK talents like Raye and Olivia Dean. BTS benefits from dedicated global fandom voting patterns and recent chart momentum, while Langley’s record-setting Billboard Hot 100 run underscores commercial dominance yet faces genre-headwinds in academy-style tallies. Multiple viable paths to victory keep the outcome fluid until final votes are cast.
The MTV Video Music Awards are presented annually by MTV to honor outstanding achievement in music videos. The 2026 MTV Video Music Awards are currently scheduled for September 27, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the listed song that wins the 2026 MTV Video Music Award for Song of the Year.
If a song was not officially nominated for the MTV Video Music Award for Song of the Year when the 2026 nominees were announced, the corresponding market will immediately resolve to "No".
In case of a tie for the winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominated song whose listed title comes first in alphabetical order.
If, for any reason, no winner is declared by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the MTV Video Music Awards and MTV, including data from their website (e.g., https://www.mtv.com/vma) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve according to the listed song that wins the 2026 MTV Video Music Award for Song of the Year.
If a song was not officially nominated for the MTV Video Music Award for Song of the Year when the 2026 nominees were announced, the corresponding market will immediately resolve to "No".
In case of a tie for the winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominated song whose listed title comes first in alphabetical order.
If, for any reason, no winner is declared by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the MTV Video Music Awards and MTV, including data from their website (e.g., https://www.mtv.com/vma) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
市场开放时间： Sep 18, 2026, 5:55 PM ET
交易量
$684结束日期
2026-09-28市场开放时间
Sep 18, 2026, 5:55 PM ETThe MTV Video Music Awards are presented annually by MTV to honor outstanding achievement in music videos. The 2026 MTV Video Music Awards are currently scheduled for September 27, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the listed song that wins the 2026 MTV Video Music Award for Song of the Year.
If a song was not officially nominated for the MTV Video Music Award for Song of the Year when the 2026 nominees were announced, the corresponding market will immediately resolve to "No".
In case of a tie for the winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominated song whose listed title comes first in alphabetical order.
If, for any reason, no winner is declared by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the MTV Video Music Awards and MTV, including data from their website (e.g., https://www.mtv.com/vma) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.BTS’s “Swim” holds the narrowest edge in trader sentiment for VMA Song of the Year 2026 at 44.5% implied probability, ahead of Ella Langley’s “Choosin’ Texas” at 19% and the Madonna–Sabrina Carpenter collaboration “Bring Your Love” at 14.5%. With the September 27 ceremony just days away, the field remains fragmented across K-pop, country crossover, pop legacy acts, and rising UK talents like Raye and Olivia Dean. BTS benefits from dedicated global fandom voting patterns and recent chart momentum, while Langley’s record-setting Billboard Hot 100 run underscores commercial dominance yet faces genre-headwinds in academy-style tallies. Multiple viable paths to victory keep the outcome fluid until final votes are cast.
The MTV Video Music Awards are presented annually by MTV to honor outstanding achievement in music videos. The 2026 MTV Video Music Awards are currently scheduled for September 27, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the listed song that wins the 2026 MTV Video Music Award for Song of the Year.
If a song was not officially nominated for the MTV Video Music Award for Song of the Year when the 2026 nominees were announced, the corresponding market will immediately resolve to "No".
In case of a tie for the winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominated song whose listed title comes first in alphabetical order.
If, for any reason, no winner is declared by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the MTV Video Music Awards and MTV, including data from their website (e.g., https://www.mtv.com/vma) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve according to the listed song that wins the 2026 MTV Video Music Award for Song of the Year.
If a song was not officially nominated for the MTV Video Music Award for Song of the Year when the 2026 nominees were announced, the corresponding market will immediately resolve to "No".
In case of a tie for the winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominated song whose listed title comes first in alphabetical order.
If, for any reason, no winner is declared by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the MTV Video Music Awards and MTV, including data from their website (e.g., https://www.mtv.com/vma) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
交易量
$684结束日期
2026-09-28市场开放时间
Sep 18, 2026, 5:55 PM ETBTS’s “Swim” holds the narrowest edge in trader sentiment for VMA Song of the Year 2026 at 44.5% implied probability, ahead of Ella Langley’s “Choosin’ Texas” at 19% and the Madonna–Sabrina Carpenter collaboration “Bring Your Love” at 14.5%. With the September 27 ceremony just days away, the field remains fragmented across K-pop, country crossover, pop legacy acts, and rising UK talents like Raye and Olivia Dean. BTS benefits from dedicated global fandom voting patterns and recent chart momentum, while Langley’s record-setting Billboard Hot 100 run underscores commercial dominance yet faces genre-headwinds in academy-style tallies. Multiple viable paths to victory keep the outcome fluid until final votes are cast.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
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警惕外部链接哦。
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