Fábio Mitidieri, the incumbent PSD governor of Sergipe seeking re-election, holds a commanding lead in the 2026 gubernatorial race, reflected in Polymarket pricing at 81.5% implied probability. A late-August Quaest poll showed him at 40% first-round support against Valmir de Francisquinho (Republicanos) at 28%, with Ricardo Marques (PL) at 5% and all others at 1% or below, alongside 66% approval for his administration. Earlier surveys from June through August produced similar gaps favoring the incumbent across first- and second-round scenarios. With voting set for October 4 and limited recent volatility in polling or campaign developments, traders price Mitidieri as the clear favorite while assigning lower but nonzero odds to his main challenger and minimal shares to remaining candidates.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেডFábio 82%
Valmir de Francisquinho 16%
Taty Cristina de Jesus 1.0%
Emanuel Cacho <1%
$16,503 Vol.
$16,503 Vol.
Oct 4, 2026
Fábio
82%
Valmir de Francisquinho
16%
Taty Cristina de Jesus
1%
Emanuel Cacho
<1%
Dr. Helton
<1%
Ricardo Marques
<1%
Fábio 82%
Valmir de Francisquinho 16%
Taty Cristina de Jesus 1.0%
Emanuel Cacho <1%
$16,503 Vol.
$16,503 Vol.
Oct 4, 2026
Fábio
$13,201 Vol.
82%
Valmir de Francisquinho
$1,222 Vol.
16%
Taty Cristina de Jesus
$537 Vol.
1%
Emanuel Cacho
$518 Vol.
<1%
Dr. Helton
$582 Vol.
<1%
Ricardo Marques
$443 Vol.
<1%
The Sergipe gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).Fábio Mitidieri, the incumbent PSD governor of Sergipe seeking re-election, holds a commanding lead in the 2026 gubernatorial race, reflected in Polymarket pricing at 81.5% implied probability. A late-August Quaest poll showed him at 40% first-round support against Valmir de Francisquinho (Republicanos) at 28%, with Ricardo Marques (PL) at 5% and all others at 1% or below, alongside 66% approval for his administration. Earlier surveys from June through August produced similar gaps favoring the incumbent across first- and second-round scenarios. With voting set for October 4 and limited recent volatility in polling or campaign developments, traders price Mitidieri as the clear favorite while assigning lower but nonzero odds to his main challenger and minimal shares to remaining candidates.
The Sergipe gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে: Aug 17, 2026, 5:45 AM ET
ভলিউম
$16,503শেষ তারিখ
Oct 4, 2026মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে
Aug 17, 2026, 5:45 AM ETরেজলভার
0x69c47De9D...The Sergipe gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).Fábio Mitidieri, the incumbent PSD governor of Sergipe seeking re-election, holds a commanding lead in the 2026 gubernatorial race, reflected in Polymarket pricing at 81.5% implied probability. A late-August Quaest poll showed him at 40% first-round support against Valmir de Francisquinho (Republicanos) at 28%, with Ricardo Marques (PL) at 5% and all others at 1% or below, alongside 66% approval for his administration. Earlier surveys from June through August produced similar gaps favoring the incumbent across first- and second-round scenarios. With voting set for October 4 and limited recent volatility in polling or campaign developments, traders price Mitidieri as the clear favorite while assigning lower but nonzero odds to his main challenger and minimal shares to remaining candidates.
The Sergipe gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
ভলিউম
$16,503শেষ তারিখ
Oct 4, 2026মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে
Aug 17, 2026, 5:45 AM ETরেজলভার
0x69c47De9D...Fábio Mitidieri, the incumbent PSD governor of Sergipe seeking re-election, holds a commanding lead in the 2026 gubernatorial race, reflected in Polymarket pricing at 81.5% implied probability. A late-August Quaest poll showed him at 40% first-round support against Valmir de Francisquinho (Republicanos) at 28%, with Ricardo Marques (PL) at 5% and all others at 1% or below, alongside 66% approval for his administration. Earlier surveys from June through August produced similar gaps favoring the incumbent across first- and second-round scenarios. With voting set for October 4 and limited recent volatility in polling or campaign developments, traders price Mitidieri as the clear favorite while assigning lower but nonzero odds to his main challenger and minimal shares to remaining candidates.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেড
বাহ্যিক লিংক থেকে সাবধান।
বাহ্যিক লিংক থেকে সাবধান।
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