Recent strength in U.S. services activity, highlighted by the August ISM Services PMI rising to 55.4 from July’s 54.1 and beating consensus estimates, has shaped trader positioning for the September reading due on October 5. Broad-based demand gains, including business activity at 61.7 and new orders at 60.9, were tempered by persistent contraction in the employment index near 47.8, elevated prices paid at 72.6 amid tariffs and Middle East supply disruptions, and cautious hiring. With the 12-month average near 53.7 and seasonal back-to-school effects fading, market-implied odds cluster around the mid-54 range while allowing for modest pullbacks or further upside depending on labor trends and cost pressures. This dispersion reflects the balance between resilient output and softening employment signals.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert54,0 bis 54,9 32%
55,0 bis 55,9 22%
57,0 bis 57,9 19.7%
53,0 bis 53,9 13%
NEU
NEU
5. Okt. 2026
<51,0
1%
51,0 bis 51,9
1%
52,0 bis 52,9
4%
53,0 bis 53,9
13%
54,0 bis 54,9
32%
55,0 bis 55,9
22%
56,0 bis 56,9
10%
57,0 bis 57,9
20%
58,0 bis 58,9
10%
59,0+
9%
54,0 bis 54,9 32%
55,0 bis 55,9 22%
57,0 bis 57,9 19.7%
53,0 bis 53,9 13%
NEU
NEU
5. Okt. 2026
<51,0
$872 Vol.
1%
51,0 bis 51,9
$127 Vol.
1%
52,0 bis 52,9
$127 Vol.
4%
53,0 bis 53,9
$370 Vol.
13%
54,0 bis 54,9
$4,015 Vol.
32%
55,0 bis 55,9
$168 Vol.
22%
56,0 bis 56,9
$670 Vol.
10%
57,0 bis 57,9
$1,962 Vol.
20%
58,0 bis 58,9
$139 Vol.
10%
59,0+
$168 Vol.
9%
This is a market about the ISM Services Purchasing Managers' Index (PMI) for September 2026, as reported by the Institute for Supply Management (ISM). A reading above 50 indicates expansion in the services sector relative to the previous month; a reading below 50 indicates contraction.
This market will resolve to the bracket containing the ISM Services PMI for September 2026 according to the monthly ISM Services PMI Report On Business.
The resolution source for this market will be the ISM Services PMI Report On Business released for September 2026 (https://www.ismworld.org/supply-management-news-and-reports/reports/ism-report-on-business/), currently scheduled to be released on October 5, 2026, at 10:00 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
Note: although ISM describes the PMI reading using the term "percent" in its official release (e.g., "The Services PMI registered 53.6 percent"), the PMI is a diffusion index, not a true percentage. For the purposes of this market, the PMI reading will be treated as a plain numerical value, consistent with how the index is universally quoted in financial markets.
Note: The ISM Services PMI is reported to one decimal point. Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market.
If ISM does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open until the scheduled release time of the next ISM Services PMI report (https://www.ismworld.org/supply-management-news-and-reports/reports/rob-report-calendar/). If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.Recent strength in U.S. services activity, highlighted by the August ISM Services PMI rising to 55.4 from July’s 54.1 and beating consensus estimates, has shaped trader positioning for the September reading due on October 5. Broad-based demand gains, including business activity at 61.7 and new orders at 60.9, were tempered by persistent contraction in the employment index near 47.8, elevated prices paid at 72.6 amid tariffs and Middle East supply disruptions, and cautious hiring. With the 12-month average near 53.7 and seasonal back-to-school effects fading, market-implied odds cluster around the mid-54 range while allowing for modest pullbacks or further upside depending on labor trends and cost pressures. This dispersion reflects the balance between resilient output and softening employment signals.
This is a market about the ISM Services Purchasing Managers' Index (PMI) for September 2026, as reported by the Institute for Supply Management (ISM). A reading above 50 indicates expansion in the services sector relative to the previous month; a reading below 50 indicates contraction.
This market will resolve to the bracket containing the ISM Services PMI for September 2026 according to the monthly ISM Services PMI Report On Business.
The resolution source for this market will be the ISM Services PMI Report On Business released for September 2026 (https://www.ismworld.org/supply-management-news-and-reports/reports/ism-report-on-business/), currently scheduled to be released on October 5, 2026, at 10:00 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
Note: although ISM describes the PMI reading using the term "percent" in its official release (e.g., "The Services PMI registered 53.6 percent"), the PMI is a diffusion index, not a true percentage. For the purposes of this market, the PMI reading will be treated as a plain numerical value, consistent with how the index is universally quoted in financial markets.
Note: The ISM Services PMI is reported to one decimal point. Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market.
If ISM does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open until the scheduled release time of the next ISM Services PMI report (https://www.ismworld.org/supply-management-news-and-reports/reports/rob-report-calendar/). If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.
This market will resolve to the bracket containing the ISM Services PMI for September 2026 according to the monthly ISM Services PMI Report On Business.
The resolution source for this market will be the ISM Services PMI Report On Business released for September 2026 (https://www.ismworld.org/supply-management-news-and-reports/reports/ism-report-on-business/), currently scheduled to be released on October 5, 2026, at 10:00 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
Note: although ISM describes the PMI reading using the term "percent" in its official release (e.g., "The Services PMI registered 53.6 percent"), the PMI is a diffusion index, not a true percentage. For the purposes of this market, the PMI reading will be treated as a plain numerical value, consistent with how the index is universally quoted in financial markets.
Note: The ISM Services PMI is reported to one decimal point. Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market.
If ISM does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open until the scheduled release time of the next ISM Services PMI report (https://www.ismworld.org/supply-management-news-and-reports/reports/rob-report-calendar/). If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.
Markt eröffnet: Sep 3, 2026, 4:01 PM ET
Volumen
$8,617Enddatum
5. Okt. 2026Markt eröffnet
Sep 3, 2026, 4:01 PM ETAbwickler
0x69c47De9D...This is a market about the ISM Services Purchasing Managers' Index (PMI) for September 2026, as reported by the Institute for Supply Management (ISM). A reading above 50 indicates expansion in the services sector relative to the previous month; a reading below 50 indicates contraction.
This market will resolve to the bracket containing the ISM Services PMI for September 2026 according to the monthly ISM Services PMI Report On Business.
The resolution source for this market will be the ISM Services PMI Report On Business released for September 2026 (https://www.ismworld.org/supply-management-news-and-reports/reports/ism-report-on-business/), currently scheduled to be released on October 5, 2026, at 10:00 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
Note: although ISM describes the PMI reading using the term "percent" in its official release (e.g., "The Services PMI registered 53.6 percent"), the PMI is a diffusion index, not a true percentage. For the purposes of this market, the PMI reading will be treated as a plain numerical value, consistent with how the index is universally quoted in financial markets.
Note: The ISM Services PMI is reported to one decimal point. Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market.
If ISM does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open until the scheduled release time of the next ISM Services PMI report (https://www.ismworld.org/supply-management-news-and-reports/reports/rob-report-calendar/). If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.Recent strength in U.S. services activity, highlighted by the August ISM Services PMI rising to 55.4 from July’s 54.1 and beating consensus estimates, has shaped trader positioning for the September reading due on October 5. Broad-based demand gains, including business activity at 61.7 and new orders at 60.9, were tempered by persistent contraction in the employment index near 47.8, elevated prices paid at 72.6 amid tariffs and Middle East supply disruptions, and cautious hiring. With the 12-month average near 53.7 and seasonal back-to-school effects fading, market-implied odds cluster around the mid-54 range while allowing for modest pullbacks or further upside depending on labor trends and cost pressures. This dispersion reflects the balance between resilient output and softening employment signals.
This is a market about the ISM Services Purchasing Managers' Index (PMI) for September 2026, as reported by the Institute for Supply Management (ISM). A reading above 50 indicates expansion in the services sector relative to the previous month; a reading below 50 indicates contraction.
This market will resolve to the bracket containing the ISM Services PMI for September 2026 according to the monthly ISM Services PMI Report On Business.
The resolution source for this market will be the ISM Services PMI Report On Business released for September 2026 (https://www.ismworld.org/supply-management-news-and-reports/reports/ism-report-on-business/), currently scheduled to be released on October 5, 2026, at 10:00 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
Note: although ISM describes the PMI reading using the term "percent" in its official release (e.g., "The Services PMI registered 53.6 percent"), the PMI is a diffusion index, not a true percentage. For the purposes of this market, the PMI reading will be treated as a plain numerical value, consistent with how the index is universally quoted in financial markets.
Note: The ISM Services PMI is reported to one decimal point. Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market.
If ISM does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open until the scheduled release time of the next ISM Services PMI report (https://www.ismworld.org/supply-management-news-and-reports/reports/rob-report-calendar/). If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.
This market will resolve to the bracket containing the ISM Services PMI for September 2026 according to the monthly ISM Services PMI Report On Business.
The resolution source for this market will be the ISM Services PMI Report On Business released for September 2026 (https://www.ismworld.org/supply-management-news-and-reports/reports/ism-report-on-business/), currently scheduled to be released on October 5, 2026, at 10:00 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
Note: although ISM describes the PMI reading using the term "percent" in its official release (e.g., "The Services PMI registered 53.6 percent"), the PMI is a diffusion index, not a true percentage. For the purposes of this market, the PMI reading will be treated as a plain numerical value, consistent with how the index is universally quoted in financial markets.
Note: The ISM Services PMI is reported to one decimal point. Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market.
If ISM does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open until the scheduled release time of the next ISM Services PMI report (https://www.ismworld.org/supply-management-news-and-reports/reports/rob-report-calendar/). If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.
Volumen
$8,617Enddatum
5. Okt. 2026Markt eröffnet
Sep 3, 2026, 4:01 PM ETAbwickler
0x69c47De9D...Recent strength in U.S. services activity, highlighted by the August ISM Services PMI rising to 55.4 from July’s 54.1 and beating consensus estimates, has shaped trader positioning for the September reading due on October 5. Broad-based demand gains, including business activity at 61.7 and new orders at 60.9, were tempered by persistent contraction in the employment index near 47.8, elevated prices paid at 72.6 amid tariffs and Middle East supply disruptions, and cautious hiring. With the 12-month average near 53.7 and seasonal back-to-school effects fading, market-implied odds cluster around the mid-54 range while allowing for modest pullbacks or further upside depending on labor trends and cost pressures. This dispersion reflects the balance between resilient output and softening employment signals.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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